Tuesday, 11 February 2020

2020 Genesis Invitational - Value DFS Picks

Based on the statistics on Golf Predictor for the 2020 Genesis Invitational, here is my analysis of the tournament for DFS (DraftKings) purposes. The field is stacked with top players with new world number one Rory McIlroy and the recently usurped Brooks Koepka among the nine of the top ten in the world teeing it up at Riviera. Anyone can pick the top golfers for their line-up, but it's the roster fillers that can make or break your chances. Therefore, I will concentrate on low and mid salary picks and exclude any golfers above $7600. Of course, you are free to disagree and log in to Golf Predictor to make your own informed choices for the event!

Approach

To maximise your scoring potential, it's important to get as many of your line-up through the cut as possible. Therefore, I will look for golfers with a good recent record in each of the stats examined. This generally means relatively long cut streaks, although in some cases, I allow one aberration if the golfer's record is good otherwise. Golfers with shorter streaks of good results will also be listed. For this tournament, the stats I will look at are current form, course/tournament form and same region form.

Current Form Golfers

The following surprisingly long list of golfers have relatively good recent records or long cut streaks in their salary bracket:

C.T. Pan (excluding one event)  - $6200
Kevin Tway (excluding one event)  - $6200
Talor Gooch - $6300
Scott Stallings (excluding last event) - $6400
Cameron Tringale (excluding one event) - $6500
Pat Perez (excluding last event) - $6500
Denny McCarthy- $6600
Dylan Frittelli (excluding one event)  - $6700
Matt Jones (excluding one event)  - $6700
Patrick Rodgers (excluding last event)  - $6800
Andrew Putnam (excluding last event)  - $6800
Carlos Ortiz (excluding one event)  - $6800
Jhonattan Vegas (excluding last event)  - $6800
Brian Harman - $6900
J.T. Poston (excluding one event) - $6900
Corey Connors - $7000
Jim Furyk (excluding last event) - $7000
Erik van Rooyen (excluding last event) - $7000
Matthew Wolfe (excluding last event) - $7100
Danny Willett (excluding one event) - $7100
Adam Hadwin (excluding one event) - $7200   
Russell Knox (excluding last event) - $7200
Scott Piercy - $7200
Alex Noren - $7300
Joaquin Niemann (excluding one event) - $7300
Cameron Champ  - $7400
Brendan Todd  - $7400
Ryan Palmer (excluding last year) - $7600
Max Homa - $7500
Branden Grace (excluding last event) - $7500
Cameron Smith (excluding last event) - $7500
Keegan Bradley (excluding one event) - $7500      
Ryan Moore (excluding last year) - $7600
Kevin Na (excluding one event) - $7600

Course/Tournament Specialists

The following golfers have relatively good records in their salary bracket at the tournament itself:

Steve Stricker - $6100
Jason Dufner (excluding last year) - $6300 
Martin Laird (excluding last year)- $6500
James Hahn (excluding one year) - $6500
Cameron Tringale (excluding his last outing here) - $6500
Pat Perez (excluding one year) - $6500
Charley Hoffman (excluding last event) - $6700
Jim Furyk (excluding one year) - $7000
Jason Kokrak - $7100
Nick Taylor (excluding one year) - $7200 
Adam Hadwin - $7200 
Charles Howell III - $7500
Cameron Smith - $7500  
Kevin Na - $7600

Same Region Performers

The following golfers have relatively good recent records or long cut streaks in their salary bracket in the same region as this week's event:

Sam Ryder (excluding one event) - $6200
Troy Merritt (excluding one event) - $6200
Jason Dufner (excluding last year) - $6300  
Cameron Tringale (excluding one event) - $6500
Sung-Hoon Kang (excluding one event) - $6700
Patrick Rodgers (excluding last event)  - $6800
Brian Harman - $6900
J.T. Poston - $6900
Rafa Cabrera Bello (excluding last event) - $7300
Scott Piercy - $7200
Adam Hadwin (excluding last event) - $7200  
Russell Knox (excluding last event) - $7200 
Max Homa - $7500
Cameron Smith - $7500
Keegan Bradley (excluding one event) - $7500 

Summary

Hadwin, Tringale and Smith feature in all three categories, so they might be good low and mid value DFS DraftKings picks this week. Homa, Dufner, Bradley, Knox, Poston, Perez, Piercy, Na and Harman all appear in two categories, so they could be worth considering also.




1 comment:

Golf Predictor Guru! said...

Not a bad week, considering the quality field. Hadwin & Tringale had solid weeks, but Smith missed the cut. Homa played very well, as did Piercy to a lesser degree. Poston, Perez, Dufner and Harman all made the cut, but Bradley, Knox and Na became croppers at the weekend. High finishers Kang, Hahn and Gooch were also flagged. I can't really claim Gooch though, as there were a lot of golfers with good recent form!