Tuesday 4 February 2020

2020 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am - Value DFS Picks

Based on the statistics on Golf Predictor for the 2020 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, here is my analysis of the tournament for DFS (DraftKings) purposes. Anyone can pick the top golfers for their line-up, but it's the roster fillers that can make or break your chances. Therefore, I will concentrate on low and mid salary picks and exclude any golfers above $7600. Of course, you are free to disagree and log in to Golf Predictor to make your own informed choices for the event!


To maximise your scoring potential, it's important to get as many of your line-up through the cut as possible. Therefore, I will look for golfers with a good recent record in each of the stats examined. This generally means relatively long cut streaks, although in some cases, I allow one aberration if the golfer's record is good otherwise. Golfers with shorter streaks of good results will also be listed. For this tournament, the stats I will look at are current form, course/tournament form and same region form.

Current Form Golfers

The following fairly long list of golfers have relatively good recent records or long cut streaks in their salary bracket:

Ryan Brehm (excluding one event) - $6200
Ricky Barnes (excluding last event) - $6300
Stewart Cink (excluding one event) - $6500
Zac Blair (excluding one event) - $6700
Brian Stuard (excluding last event) - $6900
Chase Seiffert  - $6800
Matt Jones (excluding last event) - $7000 
Henrik Norlander (excluding last event) - $7000 
Cameron Tringale (excluding last event) - $7000 
Mark Hubbard (excluding one event) - $7100
Matthew Nesmith - $7100
Harry Higgs (excluding one event) - $7200
Maverick McNealy - $7300
Sung-Hoon Kang (excluding one event) - $7300
Pat Perez  - $7500
Lucas Glover (excluding one event) - $7600
Scott Stallings - $7600

Course/Tournament Specialists

The following golfers have relatively good records in their salary bracket at the tournament itself:

Jonathan Byrd - $6000
Alex Cejka - $6200 
Ricky Barnes (excluding one year) - $6300
Luke Donald (excluding one year) - $6500
Sean O'Hair (note: non-finish last year)  - $6800
Kevin Chappell (excluding one year) - $6800
Brian Gay - $6900
Nick Taylor (excluding one year) - $7000
Cameron Tringale (excluding last event) - $7000  
Kevin Streelman - $7400
Pat Perez (excluding last year) - $7500
Scott Stallings (excluding last year) - $7600

Same Region Performers

The following golfers have relatively good recent records or long cut streaks in their salary bracket in the same region as this week's event:

Ryan Brehm - $6200
Tim Wilkinson (excluding last event) - $6600
Doc Redman - $6800
Sean O'Hair (excluding one event, one non-finish & no event this year)  - $6800
Brian Stuard (excluding last event) - $6900
Nick Taylor (excluding one event) - $7000
Mark Hubbard - $7100
Charley Hoffman (excluding one event) - $7200
Sung-Hoon Kang - $7300
Cameron Davis - $7300


No one features in all three categories, but Brehm, Taylor, Hubbard, Stuard (again this week!), Barnes, Kang, Perez and Stallings all appear in two. Therefore, they might be worth considering as low and mid value DFS DraftKings picks this week. O'Hair also features in two categories, but given his long standing injury problems, he may be a brave choice.

1 comment:

Golf Predictor Guru! said...

Bit of a mixed bag this week. Recommended the winner, Taylor, which is the most important thing. Most of the others in the summary missed the cut in the windy weather, which is annoying, even if it wasn't as critical given it was a third round cut. Brehm made the cut, but had a nightmare closing round. Of others mentioned in the analysis, Jones, Nesmith, McNealy, Blair, Higgs and Norlander all played well and several others (e.g. O'Hair, Davis, Seiffert, Cink and Tringale) made the cut.