Saturday, 30 May 2020

Results By Form Pages Added to Golf Predictor

New Results Form (Tournaments) page for the 2020 Arnold Palmer Invitational

Similar to the existing Compare Form, Field Form and Winners Form pages on Golf Predictor, I have added two new "Results by Form" pages to the site. These new pages are available from the Results menu and also show each golfer's form in previous tournaments. However, these new pages show the results of the tournament, as opposed to the field stats ahead of the tournament.

This means you can now easily see things like the following:
  1. Which golfers have come from nowhere to place well (or win!) the event.
  2. Which golfers have bombed, despite good form leading up to the event.
  3. Which golfers have continued to improve their results and which golfers have continued to slide.
  4. Which golfers have kept their consistently good or bad runs going.
  5. Which golfers were good or bad DraftKings picks (DraftKings salary and average points per game are on the table).
  6. Which golfers played well despite no/little recent form e.g. Tyrrell Hatton in the screenshot above.

Like the other pairs of pages listed above, the first of the new "Results by Form" pages shows the previous ten matching results for each golfer while the second page shows the results from the fifteen previous matching tournaments. You can link from one page to the other using the link on each page.

The notes on the second of these new pages are very similar to those on the "Form Golfer (Field) - Tournaments" page, so please refer to that for more information. In addition, the following notes apply to both now pages:
  1. As this is of lesser use for older events and relatively computationally intensive, I have limited this new functionality to tournament results in the current season. 
  2. Due to the computationally intensiveness of these pages, the information for the entire field on these two new pages is restricted to donors (more below).
  3. As in the other pages mentioned above, hovering over the golfer name shows more information. In these new pages, you get the round scores and total in addition to a summary of the golfers performance in the matching tournaments. This can be seen above for Marc Leishman.
  4. As in the other pages mentioned above, you can also see more information by hovering over the DraftKings salary and the matching tournament columns.
These new pages should prove useful for analysing picks for completed tournaments, especially for DraftKings DFS purposes. This in turn should help with picks for future events. As this is a donor only feature, free site users will only see the data for golfers who finished in 11-25th*. However, you can donate after you log in to see the data for the entire tournament field. So, please consider donating today to reap the full benefits of Golf Predictor, the premium professional golf statistics site.


* Depends on the ties for a particular tournament.

Sunday, 10 May 2020

Compare Form Pages Enhanced on Golf Predictor

New Compare Tee-off Groups Form (Tournaments) page for the 2020 Players Championship

Further to the recent addition of the Form Golfer (Field) - Tournaments page and Winners' Form - Tournaments pages, I have added new versions of the Compare Form and Compare Tee-off Groups Form pages to Golf Predictor. On each page ('Form' menu), this new version is available from the new link below the Tournament drop-down box. There is also a similar link on the new pages (see the screenshot above for the Compare Tee-off Groups Form for the 2020 Players Championship) back to the original Compare Form page. These new pages still list the same golfers, but they differ from the existing Compare Form pages in several ways: please click on the "Form Golfer (Field) - Tournaments" link above to see these differences. 

These new pages showing every tournament in the previous fifteen weeks (if using the "All Tournaments" scope) makes certain things more apparent visually. You can see tournament and rest streaks on the chosen tour* at a glance for each golfer shown, allowing you to get an indication if a golfer has played too much or too little recently. As each column lists the same tournament for each golfer, you can also easily see correlated events in the previous fifteen tournaments by examining the table.

The notes on these new pages are very similar to those on the "Form Golfer (Field) - Tournaments" page linked above, so please refer to that for more information. In addition, the following notes apply:
  1. I have also added Same Region form to the Scope dropdown for both the original and new Compare Form pages.
  2. There are no graphs on these new pages, unlike their original counterparts.That is because there are now gaps in the results which makes these less useful and less visually appealing.
These great new pages should prove very useful for deciding on good picks for upcoming tournaments, particular for match up bets. This information is available for free for all Golf Predictor users, so sign up today to Golf Predictor, the premium professional golf statistics site.


*Doesn't show the golfer's results on the other major tour, unless the new checkbox is selected. Also, note that some weeks have more than one event on a particular tour.


Tuesday, 5 May 2020

"Winners' Form - Tournaments" Pages Added to Golf Predictor


2020 Winners on US PGA Tour

Further to the recent addition of the Form Golfer (Field) - Tournaments page, I have added new versions of the Winners Form (all winners in a GP season) and Winners Form by Tournament (all winners of a particular tournament) pages to Golf Predictor. On each page ('Other Stats' menu), this new version is available from the new link below the GP Season and Tour drop-down box. There is also a similar link on the new pages (see the screenshot above for the curtailed 2020 GP season on the PGA Tour) back to the original Winners' Form pages. These new pages still list each winning golfer, but they differ from the existing Winners' Form pages in several ways: please click on the "Form Golfer (Field) - Tournaments" link above to see these differences.
    These new pages show every tournament in the previous fifteen weeks (if using the "All Tournaments" scope) and make certain things more apparent visually. You can see tournament and rest streaks on the chosen tour* for each winner at a glance, allowing you to get an indication of the optimum level of play a golfer should have in advance of a tournament.

    The notes on this new page are very similar to those on the "Form Golfer (Field) - Tournaments" page linked above, so please refer to that for more information. The main difference with these two new pages is that the "Include results from other tour?" checkbox on them triggers an automatic page post back. This is because there is no button on these pages, unlike the "Form Golfer (Field) - Tournaments" page.

    These new pages should prove useful for deciding on good picks for upcoming tournaments, as they show the form of the winner of previous events with skipped events as well as those played. This information is available for free for all Golf Predictor users, so sign up today to Golf Predictor, the premium professional golf statistics site.


    *Doesn't show the golfer's results on the other major tour, unless the new checkbox is selected. Also, note that some weeks have more than one event on a particular tour.

    Saturday, 2 May 2020

    'Form Golfers (Field) - Tournaments' Page Added to Golf Predictor

    New Field Form (Tournaments) page for the 2020 Players Championship

    Further to the recent addition of the Form Golfer (Field) page, I have added a new version of the page to Golf Predictor. This new version is available from the new link below the Tournaments drop-down box on the original Form Golfers (Field) page, which is available on the Form menu. There is also a similar link on the new page (see the screenshot above for the 2020 Players Championship) back to the original Form Golfers (Field) page. This new page still lists each golfer with his DraftKings salary, but it differs from the existing Form Golfers (Field) page in the following ways:

    1. The table shows all recent tournaments, regardless of whether any given player played in it or not (the original page only shows events each golfer played in). This means there will be gaps in the rows where a golfer has skipped events. You can see these gaps in the image above for all three players listed.
    2. There is no average and standard deviation on this table. Because of the gaps mentioned above, I deemed it not as useful as in the original page.
    3. To compensate for the above omission, I have added five more tournament fields to the table. That means you can can a significant amount of history when viewing the results for a single tour (up to fifteen weeks or about one third of a season if using the "All Tournaments" scope).
    4. There is no "Both" option in the Tour drop-down box, so you must choose either the European or the US PGA Tour.
    5. There is a new "Include results from other tour?" checkbox under the Compare button as some of the bigger names (especially Europeans) play both tours. However, ticking this checkbox could halve the timespan covered in the table, as results for both tours are now shown. Since both scenarios have their advantages and disadvantages, I have provided the ability to see both. Most golfers tend to play on one tour only, so the default view excludes the tournaments from the other tour.

    This new page showing every tournament in the previous fifteen weeks (if using the "All Tournaments" scope) makes certain things more apparent visually. You can see tournament and rest streaks on the chosen tour* for each golfer at a glance, allowing you to get an indication if a golfer has played too much or too little recently. You can also easily see correlated events in the previous fifteen tournaments by examining the results in each column. Since each column now has the result for the same tournament for each golfer, it is possible to see, for example, that in 2020, the Mayakoba event, the Genisis Invitational and the WGC in Mexico seem to have similar good results for many golfers.

    Some notes on this new page (many similar to the notes for the original page) :
    1. As this new page is computationally intensive, this data restricted to the current week's events, and is available after the field stats are created and before the results are input into the system. This is usually approximately from Monday evening to Sunday evening (GMT) of the tournament week. However, The Players Championship was cancelled after it began due to the Coronavirus, so there are no results and the field stats are still on the system (for now!), so you can see this new page for that event.
    2. Further to the above point, you cannot change the GP Season in the drop down box.
    3. To keep things manageable, there is no sorting on the form data. However, you can sort by GP Rank, golfer name and DraftKings salary.
    4. To ensure even the longest names can appear in the space available, the golfer names are displayed in one column in the Lastname, Firstname format.
    5. Golfers with no DraftKings information are assigned "n/a" in the table. The metrics (finishing position, round scores etc.) are colour coded depending on their values, as shown in the screenshot above.
    6. Hovering over a golfer name will show a summary of his performance in the matching (up to fifteen) tournaments.
    7. Hovering over a tournament (T1-15) in the table for a golfer will show more information about that tournament and the golfer's performance in it. This is shown above for the T2 column for Rory McIlroy. You can still hover over the "-" to get the name of any tournament that the golfer skipped.
    8. If there aren't enough matching tournaments to fill out the table, e.g. a new tournament with no course history, the table will be filled out with  "--", with no pop up.
    9. There is a key table at the bottom of the page explaining the column headers.
    10. The original Form Golfers (Field) page has been renamed slightly to the 'Form Golfers (Field) - Results' page to distinguish it more from this new page.
       
    This great new page should prove very useful for deciding on good picks for upcoming tournaments, especially for DraftKings DFS contests. As this is a donor only feature, free site users will only see the data for golfers ranked 11-25 by the GP algorithm. However, you can donate after you log in to see the data for the entire tournament field. So, please consider donating today to reap the full benefits of Golf Predictor, the premium professional golf statistics site.


    *Doesn't show the golfer's results on the other major tour, unless the new checkbox is selected. Also, note that some weeks have more than one event on a particular tour.


    Tuesday, 17 March 2020

    Golf Predictor Donations -Coronavirus Update

    As per my social media post the other day, all valued Golf Predictor donors will have their donation period frozen while the world is in Coronavirus lock down. That way, they will retain access to the extra features for actual tournaments. I will extend everyone's donation periods when things get back to normal in the golf world. Donor's accounts will be extended by the amount of time the tournaments were not held.
     

    Monday, 16 March 2020

    'Tournament Winners by Round Rank' Page Enhanced

    2020 US PGA Tour winners (to date) with new extra stats panel

    Further to this post, I have added a useful new stats panel to the 'Tournament Winners by Round Rank' page on Golf Predictor. This new panel is located under the existing table of winners, as shown in the screenshot above for 2020 US PGA Tour events (up to the week of the Arnold Palmer Invitational). You can now read the season breakdown of the winners' positions after each round directly off the screen or see the breakdown visually with the pop-up charts available on the final row of the new panel. You can also see the average position for the winners after each round and how many rounds this was calculated over. Some notes on this new panel:
    1. To facilitate the easier collation of these stats, I have removed the pager for the winners table on this page.
    2. I have replaced the three non-pop-up charts which were located above the winners table with the three pop-up charts located on the last row of the new panel. These new pop-up charts show the same information as the replaced charts, but are generated differently.
    3. The tournament winners table is now collapsible by clicking on it. This will allow you to see the new stats panel easier for years with a lot of tournaments. You can also click on the link in the introduction section.
    4. This page update shows some interesting stats at a glance, such as the low number of first round leaders that win events. This tends to be about 20% percent for the PGA Tour and around 15% for the European Tour. This goes up to about 60% and 55% for round three leaders for the respective tours in recent years.
    5. You might be surprised about the number of winners that aren't even in th top ten after round one, especially on the PGA Tour!
    Just another way to make Golf Predictor even better! The stats on this new panel should help you make better in-tournament decisions. So, sign up today and reap the full benefits of Golf Predictor, the premium professional golf statistics site.
      

    Monday, 9 March 2020

    2020 - Week 11 Predictions/Statistics Online

    The predictions and statistics for this week, The Players Championship (US PGA Tour) are now available on Golf Predictor. No Tiger Woods, but as usual, there's a very strong field for the so called "fifth major" in Florida, with forty seven of the top fifty in the world rankings teeing it up at Sawgrass. 

    The Magical Kenya Open pres. by Absa due to be played on the European PGA Tour this week has been postponed due to the Coronavirus (Covid-19).

    Sunday, 8 March 2020

    2020 - Week 10 Winners

    Jorge Campillo (ranked 26th by Golf Predictor) won the Commercial Bank Qatar Masters on the European PGA Tour. The 33 year old Spaniard won his second tour title in a battle with David Drysdale. After Campillo had thrown away three shots on the seventieth and seventy-first holes, he finished level with the Scot after the end of regulation play. It then took five extra holes to separate the pair, when Campillo holed yet another long putt to deny Drysdale his first win in 498 starts. Our top ranked player, Mike Lorenzo-Vera, missed the cut and we had twelve of the top twenty one plus ties (12/27) in the weak fielded event on a new course.

    Tyrrell Hatton (ranked 20th by Golf Predictor) won the Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. by Mastercard on the US PGA Tour. The 28 year old Englishman won his first tour title by coming through the field at Bay Hill. On a week of high attrition on the very demanding layout, Hatton saw off nearest challenger Marc Leishman to win by a single shot. Our top ranked player, Rory McIlroy, once again started very well, but faded the rest of the week. He somehow still managed another top five this season (tied 5th), despite a closing 76. Overall, we had nine of the top eighteen plus ties (9/23*) on the testing layout. 


    *Day withdrew again & Molinari didn't play, promoting Morikawa into the top 23 of the rankings.

    Monday, 2 March 2020

    2020 - Week 10 Predictions/Statistics Online

    The predictions and statistics for this week, the Commercial Bank Qatar Masters (European PGA Tour) and the Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. by Mastercard (US PGA Tour), are now available on Golf Predictor. The European Tour stays in the Arabian Gulf this week, where the action moves to Qatar. A new course, a poor enough field and windy weather make it harder to call this year. Meanwhile, there is a much better field in Orlando, where although there is no Tiger Woods this year, ten of the top twenty in the world are teeing it up at Bay Hill. 

    Sunday, 1 March 2020

    2020 - Week 9 Winners

    Sami Valimaki (ranked 59th by Golf Predictor) won the Oman Open on the European PGA Tour. The 21 year old Finn won his first tour title with a play-off victory over Brandon Stone in the windy conditions. Stone had birdied the last to edge out Adrien Saddier, but under pressure, Valimaki birdied two of the last three holes including the difficult final hole, to catch the South African on what was just his sixth tour start. After holing a ballsy putt on the second extra hole to stay in it, Valimaki won with a par on the third extra hole after Stone missed the green and failed to get up and down. Our top ranked player, Thomas Pieters, disappointingly missed the cut and we had only eight of the top eighteen plus ties (8/24) in the weak fielded and weather affected event.


    Sungjae Im (ranked 8th by Golf Predictor) won The Honda Classic on the US PGA Tour. The hard working 21 year old Korean won his maiden tour title on one of the toughest tracks on the PGA Tour. Trailing by three overnight, Im got off to a fast start Sunday with four birdies in his first five holes, That allowed him to get into contention after third round leader Tommy Fleetwood came back to the field. Im then negotiated the difficult Bear Trap in an impressive two under par to post -6. He then had a short anxious wait before a poor Fleetwood approach at the par five last found the water, which led to the Englishman failing to catch him. Our top ranked player, defending champion Brooks Koepka, missed the cut and overall, we had seven of the top seventeen plus ties (7/20).

    Monday, 24 February 2020

    2020 - Week 9 Predictions/Statistics Online

    The predictions and statistics for this week, the Oman Open (European PGA Tour) and The Honda Classic (US PGA Tour), are now available on Golf Predictor. The field is a bit stronger in Florida this year with six out of the top twenty in the world rankings teeing it up. Things are much worse in the Middle East, where they have to make do with seven golfers from the lower regions of the world's top one hundred. Note that the course history from the Challenge Tour event is not tracked by Golf Predictor.

    2020 - Week 8 Winners

    Patrick Reed (ranked 14th by Golf Predictor) won the WGC - Mexico Championship on the European/US PGA Tour. The 29 year old American won his second WGC title with a great finish in Mexico. After Bryson DeChambeau bogeyed the seventeenth, Reed took advantage with three late birdies to take a two shot lead up the last. After finding trouble off the tee, Reed chipped out and made a bogey five to pip The Scientist by a shot. Our top ranked player, Rory McIlroy, started brilliantly on Thursday, but failed to impress after that, finishing in tied fifth. Overall, we had twelve of the top eighteen plus ties (12/21).

    Viktor Hovland (ranked 3rd by Golf Predictor) won the Puerto Rico Open on the US PGA Tour. The 22 year old became the first Norwegian to win on the PGA Tour with a one shot victory over Josh Teater. Hovland overcame a potentially disastrous treble bogey on the eleventh hole on Sunday to win his first tour itle in the second string event in Puerto Rico. The young Norwegian bounced back with an eagle on fifteen and a long birdie putt on the last to edge out Teater. Our top ranked player, Tom Lewis, missed the cut and we had seven of the top fourteen plus ties (7/19) in this usually difficult to predict event.

    Tuesday, 18 February 2020

    2020 WGC - Mexico Championship - Value DFS Picks

    Based on the statistics on Golf Predictor for the 2020 WGC - Mexico Championship, here is my analysis of the tournament for DFS (DraftKings) purposes. Although there are some high profile absentees this year, there is still an impressive field teeing it up at Chapultepec. Anyone can pick the top golfers for their line-up, but it's the roster fillers that can make or break your chances. Therefore, I will concentrate on low and mid salary picks and exclude any golfers above $7600. Of course, you are free to disagree and log in to Golf Predictor to make your own informed choices for the event!

    Approach

    To maximise your scoring potential, it's important to get as many of your line-up performing well as possible. Therefore, I will look for golfers with a good recent record in each of the stats examined. There is no cut at WGC events and lower salaried golfers generally have little or no course or WGC experience. This makes the task more difficult than usual, but for this tournament, the stats I will look at are current form, course/tournament form and similar tournament (WGC) form.

    Current Form Golfers

    The following list of (mostly European Tour) golfers have relatively good recent records or long cut streaks in their salary bracket:

    Zach Murray (Euro Tour) - $6000
    Benjamin Hebert (Euro Tour, excluding one event) - $6300
    Mike Lorenzo-Vera (Euro Tour, excluding last event) - $6400
    Ryan Fox (Euro Tour, excluding one event) - $6400
    Marcus Kinhult (Euro Tour, excluding one event) - $6500
    Matt Wallace (Euro Tour, excluding one event) - $6600
    Carlos Ortiz (excluding one event) - $6600
    Lucas Herbert (Euro Tour) - $6700
    Jazz Janewattananond - $6700
    Brendan Todd - $6800
    Lee Westwood (Euro Tour, excluding last event) - $6900 
    Matthias Schwab - $6900 
    Kurt Kitayama (mostly Euro Tour) - $7200
    Robert MacIntyre (Euro Tour, excluding last event) - $7200
    Tyrell Hatton (was out injured) - $7400
    Corey Connors (excluding last event) - $7500
    Victor Perez (Euro Tour) - $7600

    Course/Tournament Specialists

    Not many golfers below $7600 have good records (or any record!) in their salary bracket at the tournament itself (especially at the course). The few that do are:

    Danny Willett (event) - $7000
    Francesco Molinari - $7100
    Charles Howell III - $7100
    Tyrell Hatton - $7400
    Graeme McDowell (event) - $7500
    Rafa Cabrera Bello - $7600

    WGC Performers

    Not many golfers below $7600 have good records (or any record!) in WGC events in their salary bracket. Those that do are:

    Lucas Glover - $6800 
    Lee Westwood - $6900 
    Francesco Molinari - $7100
    Charles Howell III - $7100
    Kevin Kisner - $7200
    Kevin Na - $7300
    Billy Horschel - $7300
    Tyrell Hatton - $7400
    Bernd Wiesberger - $7400
    Byeong-Hun An - $7500
    Graeme McDowell - $7500
    Victor Perez (one event - 4th place) - $7600
    Rafa Cabrera Bello - $7600

    Summary

    Hatton appears in all three categories, but he is coming back after a wrist operation so he might be a risky choice. Molinari, Perez, Cabrera Bello, Howell III, Westwood and McDowell all appear in two categories, so they could be worth considering as good low and mid value DFS DraftKings picks this week.


    Monday, 17 February 2020

    2020 - Week 8 Predictions/Statistics Online

    The predictions and statistics for this week, the WGC - Mexico Championship (European/US PGA Tour) and the Puerto Rico Open (US PGA Tour), are now available on Golf Predictor. Most eyes will be on Mexico, where a quality field has once again assembled for the first WGC event of the year. Despite several high profile absentees, there's still fifteen of top twenty in the world rankings playing in Mexico City. As usual, there's a second string line up for the Puerto Rico event as all the big names are playing in the WGC. That will give some of the lesser lights a great chance of tasting success on tour!

    2020 - Week 7 Winners

    Adam Scott (ranked 14th by Golf Predictor) won the Genesis Invitational on the US PGA Tour. The 39 year old Australian won his fourteenth tour title in Los Angeles against a high quality field. With nine of the top ten in the world competing, Scott took his first tour title in four years. On a day where many of the contenders failed to make any serious progress, the Australian managed to stay clear of the field for most of the final day. Indeed, even Scott himself had to overcome an early wobble, before steadying the ship to take the title by two shots. Our top ranked golfer, Rory McIlroy, had a poor final day, but still managed to finish in tied 5th. Overall, we had eight of the top seventeen plus ties (8/22) in total, in an event where many of the highly ranked players failed to perform.

    This was no event on the European Tour this week.

    Saturday, 15 February 2020

    Form Golfers (Field) Page Added to Golf Predictor

     
     Composite image of the Field Rankings (Field) page for the 2020 Genesis Invitational.


    I am pleased to announce the addition of more donor only advanced functionality to Golf Predictor. Similar to the recently added Field Ranking (Field) page, this very useful new Form Golfers (Field) page also shows colour coded data for the entire field in one place. However, on this page, you can select to see the following data for the field in one place:
    1. Finishing position
    2. Round 1 score 
    3. Round 2 score 
    4. Round 3 score  
    5. Final Round score
    6. Made Cut
    7. Finishing score (to par)  
      You can also select which tournaments are examined for the above data:
    1. All tournaments
    2. Similar events (regular/WGC/major/FedEx) 
    3. Same course/tournament
    4. Same region 
    In each case, the last ten matching tournaments (T1-10, with T10 being the most recent) will be shown for each golfer and you will be able to discern the form of the field at a glance. This new page is available from the 'Form' menu in the Member section. As can be seen in the screenshot above for the 2020 Genesis Invitational, these scores/finishing positions are colour coded and the average value is calculated for each golfer. As an added bonus for DraftKings DFS players, the DraftKings salary (hover over it for average points per game!) is also displayed on this new page. This should greatly help you make good selections for your DFS contests. 

    Some notes on this new page :
    1. As this new page is computationally intensive, this data restricted to the current week's events, and is available after the field stats are created and before the results are input into the system. This is approximately from Monday evening to Sunday evening (GMT) of the tournament week.
    2. Further to the above point, you cannot change the GP Season in the drop down box.
    3. To keep things manageable, there is no sorting on the form data. However, you can sort by GP Rank, golfer name and DraftKings salary.
    4. To ensure even the longest names can appear in the space available, the golfer names are displayed in one column in the Lastname, Firstname format.
    5. Further to the above point, I have changed the Field Rank (Field) page to display the names in the same format (was Lastname, Firstname initial).
    6. Golfers with no data for a metric are assigned "n/a" in the table and are skipped for the average calculation. These metrics are colour coded brown, as shown in the screenshot above. Golfers with no DraftKings information are also assigned "n/a".
    7. Hovering over a golfer name will show a summary of the performance in the matching (up to ten) tournaments. This is shown above for Rory McIlroy.
    8. Hovering over a tournament (T1-10) in the table for a golfer will show more information about that tournament and the golfer's performance in it. This is shown above for the T4 column for Rory McIlroy.
    9. There is a key table at the bottom of the page explaining the column headers.
    10. I have had to edit the Form menu as there is now just too much functionality in it! To make space for this new addition and keep the Form menu to a reasonable size, I have converted the Performance Analysis options (Rounds 1 to 3) into a group.
    This great new page should prove very useful for deciding on good picks for upcoming tournaments, especially for DraftKings DFS contests. As this is a donor only feature, free site users will only see the data for golfers ranked 11-25 by the GP algorithm. However, you can donate after you log in to see the data for the entire tournament field. So, please consider donating today to reap the full benefits of Golf Predictor, the premium professional golf statistics site.

    Tuesday, 11 February 2020

    2020 Genesis Invitational - Value DFS Picks

    Based on the statistics on Golf Predictor for the 2020 Genesis Invitational, here is my analysis of the tournament for DFS (DraftKings) purposes. The field is stacked with top players with new world number one Rory McIlroy and the recently usurped Brooks Koepka among the nine of the top ten in the world teeing it up at Riviera. Anyone can pick the top golfers for their line-up, but it's the roster fillers that can make or break your chances. Therefore, I will concentrate on low and mid salary picks and exclude any golfers above $7600. Of course, you are free to disagree and log in to Golf Predictor to make your own informed choices for the event!

    Approach

    To maximise your scoring potential, it's important to get as many of your line-up through the cut as possible. Therefore, I will look for golfers with a good recent record in each of the stats examined. This generally means relatively long cut streaks, although in some cases, I allow one aberration if the golfer's record is good otherwise. Golfers with shorter streaks of good results will also be listed. For this tournament, the stats I will look at are current form, course/tournament form and same region form.

    Current Form Golfers

    The following surprisingly long list of golfers have relatively good recent records or long cut streaks in their salary bracket:

    C.T. Pan (excluding one event)  - $6200
    Kevin Tway (excluding one event)  - $6200
    Talor Gooch - $6300
    Scott Stallings (excluding last event) - $6400
    Cameron Tringale (excluding one event) - $6500
    Pat Perez (excluding last event) - $6500
    Denny McCarthy- $6600
    Dylan Frittelli (excluding one event)  - $6700
    Matt Jones (excluding one event)  - $6700
    Patrick Rodgers (excluding last event)  - $6800
    Andrew Putnam (excluding last event)  - $6800
    Carlos Ortiz (excluding one event)  - $6800
    Jhonattan Vegas (excluding last event)  - $6800
    Brian Harman - $6900
    J.T. Poston (excluding one event) - $6900
    Corey Connors - $7000
    Jim Furyk (excluding last event) - $7000
    Erik van Rooyen (excluding last event) - $7000
    Matthew Wolfe (excluding last event) - $7100
    Danny Willett (excluding one event) - $7100
    Adam Hadwin (excluding one event) - $7200   
    Russell Knox (excluding last event) - $7200
    Scott Piercy - $7200
    Alex Noren - $7300
    Joaquin Niemann (excluding one event) - $7300
    Cameron Champ  - $7400
    Brendan Todd  - $7400
    Ryan Palmer (excluding last year) - $7600
    Max Homa - $7500
    Branden Grace (excluding last event) - $7500
    Cameron Smith (excluding last event) - $7500
    Keegan Bradley (excluding one event) - $7500      
    Ryan Moore (excluding last year) - $7600
    Kevin Na (excluding one event) - $7600

    Course/Tournament Specialists

    The following golfers have relatively good records in their salary bracket at the tournament itself:

    Steve Stricker - $6100
    Jason Dufner (excluding last year) - $6300 
    Martin Laird (excluding last year)- $6500
    James Hahn (excluding one year) - $6500
    Cameron Tringale (excluding his last outing here) - $6500
    Pat Perez (excluding one year) - $6500
    Charley Hoffman (excluding last event) - $6700
    Jim Furyk (excluding one year) - $7000
    Jason Kokrak - $7100
    Nick Taylor (excluding one year) - $7200 
    Adam Hadwin - $7200 
    Charles Howell III - $7500
    Cameron Smith - $7500  
    Kevin Na - $7600

    Same Region Performers

    The following golfers have relatively good recent records or long cut streaks in their salary bracket in the same region as this week's event:

    Sam Ryder (excluding one event) - $6200
    Troy Merritt (excluding one event) - $6200
    Jason Dufner (excluding last year) - $6300  
    Cameron Tringale (excluding one event) - $6500
    Sung-Hoon Kang (excluding one event) - $6700
    Patrick Rodgers (excluding last event)  - $6800
    Brian Harman - $6900
    J.T. Poston - $6900
    Rafa Cabrera Bello (excluding last event) - $7300
    Scott Piercy - $7200
    Adam Hadwin (excluding last event) - $7200  
    Russell Knox (excluding last event) - $7200 
    Max Homa - $7500
    Cameron Smith - $7500
    Keegan Bradley (excluding one event) - $7500 

    Summary

    Hadwin, Tringale and Smith feature in all three categories, so they might be good low and mid value DFS DraftKings picks this week. Homa, Dufner, Bradley, Knox, Poston, Perez, Piercy, Na and Harman all appear in two categories, so they could be worth considering also.




    Monday, 10 February 2020

    2020 - Week 7 Predictions/Statistics Online

    The predictions and statistics for this week, the Genesis Invitational (US PGA Tour), are now available on Golf Predictor. It's the last week of the California swing on the US PGA Tour this week and there's a real quality field in Los Angeles. Nine of the top ten in the world rankings are teeing it up at Riviera, led by new number one Rory McIlroy, who has just reclaimed top spot from Brooks Koepka.

    This is no event on the European Tour this week.

    2020 - Week 6 Winners

    Min Woo Lee (ranked 8th by Golf Predictor) won the ISPS Handa Vic Open on the European PGA Tour. The 21 year old Australian won his maiden tour title in front of home fans in Australia. In doing so, Lee made it a unique family affair, emulating his sister who has won the female event twice. Lee was well clear on the final day, until a brilliant finish by Ryan Fox in the windy conditions meant he onlyhad a one shot lead going to the last. However, Lee birdied the finishing hole to put a little more daylight between him and the fast finishing Kiwi. Our top ranked player, Lucas Herbert, finished tied 12th and in the event with a poor field and challenging weather, we had six of the top twenty plus ties (6/21).

    Nick Taylor (ranked 37th by Golf Predictor) won the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am on the US PGA Tour. The 31 year old Canadian won his second tour event with a wire to wire victory on the scenic Pacific layout(s). Despite a wobble on the back nine on Sunday in very windy conditions, Taylor steadied the ship to win by four shots from event specialist Kevin Streelman. Our top ranked player, Dustin Johnson, failed to shake off the effects of a long journey from Saudi Arabia, finishing in tied 32nd with a poor finish. Overall, we had eight of the top eighteen plus ties (8/24) in the weather affected event.

    Tuesday, 4 February 2020

    2020 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am - Value DFS Picks

    Based on the statistics on Golf Predictor for the 2020 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, here is my analysis of the tournament for DFS (DraftKings) purposes. Anyone can pick the top golfers for their line-up, but it's the roster fillers that can make or break your chances. Therefore, I will concentrate on low and mid salary picks and exclude any golfers above $7600. Of course, you are free to disagree and log in to Golf Predictor to make your own informed choices for the event!

    Approach

    To maximise your scoring potential, it's important to get as many of your line-up through the cut as possible. Therefore, I will look for golfers with a good recent record in each of the stats examined. This generally means relatively long cut streaks, although in some cases, I allow one aberration if the golfer's record is good otherwise. Golfers with shorter streaks of good results will also be listed. For this tournament, the stats I will look at are current form, course/tournament form and same region form.

    Current Form Golfers

    The following fairly long list of golfers have relatively good recent records or long cut streaks in their salary bracket:

    Ryan Brehm (excluding one event) - $6200
    Ricky Barnes (excluding last event) - $6300
    Stewart Cink (excluding one event) - $6500
    Zac Blair (excluding one event) - $6700
    Brian Stuard (excluding last event) - $6900
    Chase Seiffert  - $6800
    Matt Jones (excluding last event) - $7000 
    Henrik Norlander (excluding last event) - $7000 
    Cameron Tringale (excluding last event) - $7000 
    Mark Hubbard (excluding one event) - $7100
    Matthew Nesmith - $7100
    Harry Higgs (excluding one event) - $7200
    Maverick McNealy - $7300
    Sung-Hoon Kang (excluding one event) - $7300
    Pat Perez  - $7500
    Lucas Glover (excluding one event) - $7600
    Scott Stallings - $7600

    Course/Tournament Specialists

    The following golfers have relatively good records in their salary bracket at the tournament itself:

    Jonathan Byrd - $6000
    Alex Cejka - $6200 
    Ricky Barnes (excluding one year) - $6300
    Luke Donald (excluding one year) - $6500
    Sean O'Hair (note: non-finish last year)  - $6800
    Kevin Chappell (excluding one year) - $6800
    Brian Gay - $6900
    Nick Taylor (excluding one year) - $7000
    Cameron Tringale (excluding last event) - $7000  
    Kevin Streelman - $7400
    Pat Perez (excluding last year) - $7500
    Scott Stallings (excluding last year) - $7600

    Same Region Performers

    The following golfers have relatively good recent records or long cut streaks in their salary bracket in the same region as this week's event:

    Ryan Brehm - $6200
    Tim Wilkinson (excluding last event) - $6600
    Doc Redman - $6800
    Sean O'Hair (excluding one event, one non-finish & no event this year)  - $6800
    Brian Stuard (excluding last event) - $6900
    Nick Taylor (excluding one event) - $7000
    Mark Hubbard - $7100
    Charley Hoffman (excluding one event) - $7200
    Sung-Hoon Kang - $7300
    Cameron Davis - $7300

    Summary

    No one features in all three categories, but Brehm, Taylor, Hubbard, Stuard (again this week!), Barnes, Kang, Perez and Stallings all appear in two. Therefore, they might be worth considering as low and mid value DFS DraftKings picks this week. O'Hair also features in two categories, but given his long standing injury problems, he may be a brave choice.




    Monday, 3 February 2020

    2020 - Week 6 Predictions/Statistics Online

    The predictions and statistics for this week, the ISPS Handa Vic Open (European PGA Tour) and the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (US PGA Tour) are now available on Golf Predictor. The California swing continues this week on the US Tour, where a weaker field than normal has assembled to play with the stars. There are only three of the top twenty in the world rankings this year, led by world number five and runner-up in the Middle East last week Dustin Johnson, teeing it up in the annual pro-am at scenic Pebble Beach and two other nearby courses. Meanwhile, the European PGA Tour is back in Australia for the second year of the weak fielded mixed event in Victoria.

    Tuesday, 28 January 2020

    2020 Waste Management Phoenix Open - Value DFS Picks

    Based on the statistics on Golf Predictor for the 2020 Waste Management Phoenix Open, here is my analysis of the tournament for DFS (DraftKings) purposes. Anyone can pick the top golfers for their line-up, but it's the roster fillers that can make or break your chances. Therefore, I will concentrate on low and mid salary picks and exclude any golfers above $7600. Of course, you are free to disagree and log in to Golf Predictor to make your own informed choices for the event!

    Approach

    To maximise your scoring potential, it's important to get as many of your line-up through the cut as possible. Therefore, I will look for golfers with a good recent record in each of the stats examined. This generally means relatively long cut streaks, although in some cases, I allow one aberration if the golfer's record is good otherwise. Golfers with shorter streaks of good results will also be listed. For this tournament, the stats I will look at are current form, course/tournament form and same region form.

    Current Form Golfers

    The following golfers have relatively good recent records or long cut streaks in their salary bracket:

    Mark Hubbard (excluding one event) - $6200
    C.T. Pan (excluding last event) - $6500
    Brian Stuard - $6600
    Kevin Tway (excluding one event) - $6700
    Talor Gooch - $7000
    Matt Jones - $7000
    Max Homa - $7100
    Scott Piercy - $7100
    Denny McCarthy - $7200
    Tom Hoge (hot last 3 events) - $7400
    Andrew Putnam - $7500
    Vaughn Taylor - $7500
    J.T. Poston (excluding one event) - $7600

    Course/Tournament Specialists

    The following golfers have relatively good records in their salary bracket at the tournament itself:

    Chris Kirk - $6300
    John Huh - $6400
    Brian Stuard - $6600
    Martin Laird - $6700
    Brian Gay - $6700
    Matt Jones - $7000
    Zach Johnson (excluding last event) - $7300
    Charley Hoffman - $7400
    Brendan Steele (excluding last year) - $7500

    Same Region Performers

    The following golfers have relatively good recent records or long cut streaks in their salary bracket in the same region as this week's event:

    Mark Hubbard - $6200
    Trey Mullinax - $6500
    Kevin Chappell (excluding last event) - $6500
    Sam Ryder (excluding last event) - $6600
    Brian Stuard - $6600
    Max Homa - $7100
    Scott Piercy - $7100
    Emiliano Grillo (excluding last event) - $7300
    Zach Johnson (excluding last event) - $7300
    J.T. Poston - $7600
    Russell Knox - $7600

    Summary

    Brian Stuard looks like a great choice as he features in all three lists. Scott Piercy, Max Homa, Matt Jones, J.T. Poston and Mark Hubbard all feature in two of the lists, so they might be worth considering as low and mid value picks this week.




    2020 Saudi International - Value DFS Picks

    Based on the statistics on Golf Predictor for the 2020 Saudi International, here is my analysis of the tournament for DFS (DraftKings) purposes. Anyone can pick the top golfers for their line-up, but it's the roster fillers that can make or break your chances. Therefore, I will concentrate on low and mid salary picks and exclude any golfers above $7600. Of course, you are free to disagree and log in to Golf Predictor to make your own informed choices for the event!

    Approach

    To maximise your scoring potential, it's important to get as many of your line-up through the cut as possible. Therefore, I will look for golfers with a good recent record in each of the stats examined. This generally means relatively long cut streaks, although in some cases, I allow one aberration if the golfer's record is good otherwise. Golfers with shorter streaks of good results will also be listed. For this tournament, the stats I will look at are current form, course/tournament form and same region form.

    Current Form Golfers

    The following golfers have relatively good recent records or long cut streaks in their salary bracket:

    Ashley Chesters (excluding last event) - $6300
    Joakim Largergren (excluding last event) - $6700
    Matthieu Pavon - $6800
    Scott Hend (excluding last event) - $6900
    Calum Hill (excluding last event) - $6900
    Haydn Porteous (excluding last event) - $6900
    Jorge Campillo - $7000
    Richie Ramsay - $7000
    Nicolas Colsaerts (excluding one event) - $7000
    Jack Sing Brar - $7200
    Benjamin Hebert (excluding one event) - $7200
    Sam Horsfield (excluding last event) - $7300
    Marcus Kinhult (excluding last event) - $7500
    Lucas Herbert - $7600

    Course/Tournament Specialists

    As this is only the second running of the event, there isn't much to go on. However. the following golfers played relatively well at the tournament itself last year:

    Victor Dubuisson - $6800
    Scott Hend - $6900
    Alex Levy - $7000
    Renate Paratore - $7200
    Zander Lombard - $7300
    Ryan Fox - $7400
    Brendan Steele (excluding last year) - $7500
     

    Same Region Performers

    The following golfers have relatively good recent records or long cut streaks in their salary bracket in the same region as this week's event:

    Ricardo Santos (excluding last event) - $6100
    Gaganjeet Bhullar (excluding one event) - $6300
    Grant Forrest - $6700
    Alexander Bjork - $6800
    Jeff Winther - $6800
    Jorge Campillo (excluding last event) - $7000
    Nicolas Colsaerts - $7000
    Scott Jamieson - $7100
    Ross Fisher (excluding last event) - $7300
    Jordan L Smith - $7400
    Lucas Herbert - $7600

    Summary

    No one features in all three categories, which is unsurprising given the paucity of course/tournament history.  However, Colsaerts, Herbert, Hend and Campillo appear in two, so they might be worth considering as low and mid value picks this week. Given that Herbert's maiden win was only a few days ago on Australia Day, it might be best to avoid him this week though! 




    Monday, 27 January 2020

    2020 - Week 5 Predictions/Statistics Online

    The predictions and statistics for this week, the Saudi International (European PGA Tour) and the Waste Management Phoenix Open (US PGA Tour) are now available on Golf Predictor. It's the last week of the Desert Swing (for now!) on the European PGA Tour and a strong enough field has been somehow lured back to Saudi Arabia! Meanwhile, the US PGA Tour has made the short hop from California to Arizona, where the raucous fans can cheer on a quality field, with seven of the top twenty in the world rankings teeing it up!

    2020 - Week 4 Winners

    Lucas Herbert (ranked 65th by Golf Predictor) won the Omega Dubai Desert Classic on the European PGA Tour. The 24 year old Australian won his first European Tour tour title on Australia Day in Dubai. With many of the leaders struggling in the conditions on the tough layout, Herbert finished level with Christiaan Bezuidenhout after the duo shot best of the day 68s to finish on nine under par.  Herbert overcame a water ball on the first extra hole to salvage a par with a great wedge. That allowed him to take the title on the next with a two putt birdie after he got on the par five eighteenth in two. Our top ranked player, Tommy Fleetwood, started and finished poorly, but still finished tied 11th. Overall, we had eight of the top sixteen (8/22) in total in the testing conditions.

    Marc Leishman (ranked 10th by Golf Predictor) won the Farmers Insurance Open on the US PGA Tour. The 36 year old Australian  made it a great Australia Day for professional golfers with an impressive closing round at Torrey Pines. Trailing Jon Rahm by four strokes overnight, Leishman shot a fine 65 (-7) to edge the slow starting and fast finishing Spaniard by a single shot. Rahm was our top ranked player and we had nine of the top sixteen plus ties (9/20) in total.

    Sunday, 26 January 2020

    Field Rankings (Field) Page Added to Golf Predictor

    Composite image of the Field Rankings (Field) page for the 2020 Farmers Insurance Open.

    As mentioned in the post on the site going free, I am pleased to announce the addition of donor only advanced functionality to Golf Predictor. This useful new page shows the field ranks of the entire field in various metrics at a glance and is available from the 'Predictions' menu in the Member section. As can be seen in the screenshot above for the 2020 Farmers Insurance Open, these field ranks are colour coded and the average value is calculated for each golfer. This new page will allow you to easily spot the relative performance of the golfers in the field in these metrics. The field rankings visible for the field on this page are:
    1. GP season average
    2. Last 5 events average
    3. Similar length course average
    4. World ranking
    5. Wins in current GP Season
    6. Top tens in current GP Season
    7. Wins in last 12 similar events
    8. Top tens in last 12 similar events
    9. Course average
    10. Tournament average
    11. Last 12 similar event average
    12. Same Region average
    13. Cut streak
    14. Winless streak

    Some notes on this new page :
    1. As this new page is computationally intensive, this data restricted to the current week's events, and is available after the field stats are created and before the results are input into the system. This is approximately from Monday evening to Sunday evening (GMT) of the tournament week.
    2. Further to the above point, you cannot change the GP Season in the drop down box.
    3. To keep things manageable, there is no sorting on the field rank data. However, you can sort by GP Rank and golfer name.
    4. To ensure even the longest names can appear in the space available, the golfer names are displayed in the Lastname, Firstname Initial format.
    5. Golfers with no data for a metric are assigned "n/a" in the table and are skipped for the average calculation. These metrics are colour coded brown, as shown in the screenshot above.
    6. Hovering over a golfer name will show a summary of the rankings in the various metrics. This is shown above for Jon Rahm.
    7. Hovering over a field rank in the table for a golfer will show more information and show what the column header means. This is shown above for the WS (Winless Streak) column for John Rahm.
    8. There is a key table at the bottom of the page explaining the column headers.
    I hope this new page will prove useful for deciding on good picks for upcoming tournaments. As this is a donor only feature, free site users will only see the data for golfers ranked 11-25 by the GP algorithm. However, you can donate after you log in to see the data for the entire tournament field. So, please consider donating today to reap the full benefits of Golf Predictor, the premium professional golf statistics site.


    Monday, 20 January 2020

    2020 - Week 4 Predictions/Statistics Online

    The predictions and statistics for this week, the Omega Dubai Desert Classic (European PGA Tour) and the Farmers Insurance Open (US PGA Tour) are now available on Golf Predictor. The European Tour stays in the UAE this week, where the action moves to Dubai with eight of the top thirty in the world are teeing it up. Meanwhile, there is a pretty strong field in California, where twelve of the top thirty in the world are teeing it up at Torrey Pines, including Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm. However, all eyes will be once again on Tiger Woods, who's making his 2020 debut on a course where he has had tremendous success in the past.

    2020 - Week 3 Winners

    Lee Westwood (ranked 26th by Golf Predictor) won the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship on the European PGA Tour. The 46 year old Englishman won his twenty fifth tour title with an impressive front running display in Abu Dhabi. Leading by one overnight, Westwood was never caught and birdied the final hole to win by two strokes from Matthew Fitzpatrick and the fast finishing Victor Perez and Tommy Fleetwood. Our top ranked golfer, Brooks Koepka, shook off the rust and finished tied 34th. Overall, we had nine of the top seventeen plus ties (9/20) in total.

    Andrew Landry (ranked 97th by Golf Predictor) won The American Express on the US PGA Tour. The 32 year old American overcame a final day wobble to win his second tour title. Leading by four overnight with Scottie Scheffler, Landry led by six shots at one stage, before falling back into a tie with Abraham Ancer. However, he collected himself and finished with two birdies to defeat the Mexican by two shots. Our top ranked golfer, Paul Casey, finished in tied 21st and in a birdie fest where most of the bigger names failed to perform, we had only had seven of the top seventeen plus ties (7/20) in total.