Monday, 3 August 2020

2020 - Week 32 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions and statistics for this week, the US PGA Championship (European/US PGA Tour) and the English Championship (European PGA Tour), are now available on Golf Predictor. The second major of the year heads to Harding Park for the first major of the COVID affected year. While there aren't many big golfing names teeing it up in England this week, the PGA Championship makes up for it with ninety three of the world's top one hundred golfers. All eyes will probably be on Brooks Koepka and Tiger Woods. The former goes for a rare three PGA Championships in a row while the latter makes only his second post lock-down appearance as he tries to narrow the gap on Jack Nicklaus' impressive major record.

2020 - Week 31 Winners

Justin Thomas (ranked 3rd by Golf Predictor) won the WGC - Bridgestone Invitational on the European/US PGA Tour. The 27 year old American won his second WGC and thirteenth tour title  in Memphis. Thomas and defending champion Brooks Koepka broke clear of a crowded leaderboard late on Sunday and aided by some good fortune, Thomas took a two shot lead to the final hole. Koepka reduced that to one with a birdie on the penultimate hole and with Thomas in some trouble on the last, it looked in the balance. However, Koepka found water on the last and a great pitch by Thomas meant he won by three shots in the end. In doing so, the American became world number one again, deposing Jon Rahm, who was our top ranked player. The Spaniard didn't get going until the final round and finished in tied 52nd. Overall, we had seven of the top fifteen plus ties (7/19) in an event where several of the top players in the world failed to perform.

Sam Horsfield (ranked 21st by Golf Predictor) won the Hero Open on the European PGA Tour. The 23 year old Florida raised Englishman claimed his maiden tour title with an impressive performance at the Forest of Arden. Despite leading after the second and third rounds and getting off to a fast start on Sunday, Horsfield was briefly overtaken by the fast finishing Thomas Detry. However, the distraught Belgian bogeyed the final hole and after Horsfield birdied the penultimate hole to edge ahead, he sealed the win with a closing par. Our top ranked player, Joost Luiten, missed the cut and we had only five of the top fifteen plus ties (5/21) in this weak fielded event, where many of the bigger names failed to perform.

Richy Werenski (ranked 14th by Golf Predictor) won the Barracuda Championship on the US PGA Tour. The 28 year old American secured his first tour title with a strong finish in the modified Stableford event. Werenski holed out for a five point eagle on the sixteen and birdied the final hole to pip Troy Merritt by a single point. Our top ranked player, Branden Grace, had to withdraw while in contention after unfortunately contracting COVID 19. Overall, we had eight of the top nineteen plus ties (8/20*) in the second tier event. 


*Grace withdrawal promoted Merritt into the top 20 of the GP Rankings.

Monday, 27 July 2020

2020 - Week 31 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions and statistics for this week, the WGC - FedEx St. Jude Invitational (European/US PGA Tour), the Hero Open (European PGA Tour) and the Barracuda Championship (US PGA Tour), are now available on Golf Predictor. While there aren't many big golfing names teeing it up in Reno or England this week, the WGC makes up for it with the vast majority of the world's top fifty golfers!

Sunday, 26 July 2020

2020 - Week 30 Winners

Renato Paratore (ranked 36th by Golf Predictor) won the Betfred British Masters on the European PGA Tour. The 23 year old Italian claimed his second tour title with an impressive performance at Close House. Leading after the second and third rounds, Paratore playing well in challenging conditions to win by three shots from Rasmus Hojgaard. Indeed, the young Italian went an impressive 62 holes without a bogey during the event. Our top ranked player, host Lee Westwood, never featured and finished poorly for 70th. Overall, we had only four of the top seventeen plus ties (4/20) in this weak fielded event.

Michael Thompson (ranked 62nd by Golf Predictor) won the 3M Open on the US PGA Tour. The 35 year old American won his second tour title seven years after his first with an assured final day display in Minnesota. Thompson did it in some style at the end, birdieing the last to win by two shots from Adam Long. Our top ranked player, Dustin Johnson, had another poor round Thursday and pulled out afterwards, citing a bad back. Overall, in an event where many of the bigger names failed to perform, we had only five of the top eighteen plus ties (5/22).

Monday, 20 July 2020

2020 - Week 30 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions and statistics for this week, the Betfred British Masters (European PGA Tour) and the 3M Open (US PGA Tour) are now available on Golf Predictor. The PGA Tour heads back to Minnesota and with only four of the top twenty in the world playing, the field is weaker than most recent weeks on tour. New host Lee Westwood hasn't managed to attract any of the big European names to the event in England, where the tournament has moved back to Close House. With the pandemic travel restrictions and modest prize fund hampering his efforts, it doesn't make the task of forecasting it any easier! 

2020 - Week 29 Winners

Joel Stalter (ranked 42nd by Golf Predictor) won inaugural Euram Bank Open on the European PGA Tour. The 28 year old Frenchman won his first tour title in difficult conditions in Austria. Trailing by four shots overnight, Stalter took advantage of a stalling leader Robin Sciot-Siegrist and won by two shots from Richard Mansell. Our top ranked player, Joost Luiten, had an horrendous ten on day three and a double bogey on the penultimate hole, but still managed to finish tied 6th. Overall, we had eight of the top eighteen plus ties (8/23) in the weak fielded event.

John Rahm (ranked 5th by Golf Predictor) won the Memorial Tournament pres. by Nationwide on the US PGA Tour. The 25 year old Spaniard won his fourth tour title with a mostly dominant display at a difficult Muirfield Village. On a demanding set up in difficult conditions, Rahm built up a commanding lead of eight shots by the turn on Sunday. However, nerves and a two shot penalty for a moving ball meant he limped home in 41 to win by three shots in the end. In doing so, Rahm became world number one for the first time, emulating his great compatriot Seve Ballesteros. Our top ranked player, deposed world number one Rory McIlroy, finished poorly on Sunday for tied 32nd. In an event where many of the bigger names struggled, we had only five of the top eighteen plus ties (5/21) in total.

Monday, 13 July 2020

2020 - Week 29 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions and statistics for this week, the Euram Bank Open (European PGA Tour) and the Memorial Tournament pres. by Nationwide (US PGA Tour), are now available on Golf Predictor. Not much travelling on either tour this week as it's the same course (albeit with a different set-up) in America and the European Tour moves one hour down the road in Austria. As usual, there's a strong field for Jack's tournament, with seventeen of the world's top twenty teeing it up in Ohio. As to be expected, the field in Austria is not as stellar, with only one of the top one hundred in the world playing in this new event on the European Tour. Note that this event has been on the Challenge Tour for the past two years.

Sunday, 12 July 2020

2020 - Week 28 Winners

Marc Warren (ranked 69th by Golf Predictor) won the Austrian Open on the European PGA Tour. The 39 year old Scot won his fourth title at the tour comeback event co-sanctioned with the Challenge Tour. Despite having played only one event on tour this year, Warren showed few signs of rust, breaking clear of a logjam at the top to win by a single shot from Marcel Schneider. Our top ranked player, Joost Luiten, finished in tied 18th and despite the poor field and inclement weather on Saturday, we had nine of the top eighteen plus ties (9/22*) in total.

Collin Morikawa (ranked 23rd by Golf Predictor) won the Workday Charity Open on the US PGA Tour. The 23 year old American won his second tour title in a play-off with Justin Thomas. Despite a poor start, it looked like Thomas was home and hosed after a birdie burst around the turn. However, a poor finish meant Morikawa was able to match his seventy two hole total. After halving the first extra hole with two extraordinary birdies, Morikawa prevailed at the third extra hole after Thomas was stymied with his second shot. Our top ranked player, Patrick Cantlay, finished in tied 7th with a strong finish on Sunday. A lot of the bigger names failed to perform and we only had seven of the top seventeen plus ties (7/21).


*Porteous withdrew, promoting Lengden into the top twenty two of the GP Rankings.

Monday, 6 July 2020

Betting Odds Comparison Updated


Field Stats (Odds) page for the Rocket Mortgage Classic, showing pop-up for Webb Simpson

Further to this post, I've resurrected this feature on Golf Predictor. While it looks almost the same as before, I have completely changed the back end to make it much easier to produce. As a quick refresher, this page shows the field ranked by their GP Score and the approximate fair odds they should be at given that GP Score. For tournaments that have bookie prices imported, the bookie rank for each player is also shown in a column along with the best price for him and the bookie(s) offering it in the pop-up on the Odds column. This can be seen in the screenshot above for Webb Simpson ahead of the 2020 Rocket Mortgage Classic.

Some notes on this page:
  1. This is subject to change, but I plan to do this for most US PGA Tour and bigger European Tour events. 
  2. The bookie rank for each player is based on his best price at the time of the comparison (see next point). 
  3. I can only display the odds and comparisons at the beginning of the week (usually Monday afternoon/early evening GMT). I recommend you use a site such as Oddschecker to get the latest best prices for each golfer.
  4. The Odds column is colour coded when the bookie odds are imported for a tournament. This allows you to see good and bad value at a glance. The greener the price is, the more undervalued Golf Predictor thinks the golfer is by the bookies and thus might be a good pick. Conversely, the redder the price, the more overvalued the golfer is. Yellow/gold means the bookies and Golf Predictor agree (more or less) on the ranking for a golfer.
  5. Often, many bookies (can be sixteen or more) have the same top price. This is impractical to display, so if there are more than four, the number of bookies and the name of one taken at random will be shown in the pop-up.
  6. I only can check the prices with a number of European bookies. However, the golfer ranks tend to be very similar for most bookies, so the colour coding could still be useful.
  7. All odds are displayed "X/1". Some best odds at the top end from the bookies may not be like this. For example, odds of 11/2 will be displayed as 5.5/1.

Hopefully, this page will be useful for anyone looking for value bets for a tournament. This information is available for free for all Golf Predictor users, so sign up today to Golf Predictor, the premium professional golf statistics site.

2020 - Week 28 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions and statistics for this week, the Austrian Open (European PGA Tour) and the Workday Charity Open (US PGA Tour), are now available on Golf Predictor. It's the return of the European Tour, but it's a poor field that will be teeing it up in Austria this week. No golfer from the top one hundred in the world in Austria, but there is an impressive line-up of stars at the first of a Muirfield Village double header. Ten of the top twenty in the world are teeing it up at Jack's Place, where the set-up will be different from The Memorial next week.

Sunday, 5 July 2020

2020 - Week 27 Winners

Bryson DeChambeau (ranked 2nd by Golf Predictor) won the Rocket Mortgage Classic on the US PGA Tour. The 26 year old American won his sixth tour title with another bludgeoning display in Detroit. DeChambeau sealed his great run of recent form by overtaking the faltering overnight leader Matthew Wolff early on and holding on to win by three shots with a closing 65 (-7). Our top ranked player, Webb Simpson, faded over the weekend from a promising position to finish in tied 8th place. Overall, we had  twelve of the top twenty on plus ties (12/29*) in an event where, like last year, many of the bigger names failed to shine.

There was no event on the European Tour this week.   

*Na withdrew, promoting Wallace into the top 29 of the GP Rankings.

Monday, 29 June 2020

2020 - Week 27 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions and statistics for this week, the Rocket Mortgage Classic (US PGA Tour) are now available on Golf Predictor. The PGA Tour goes back to Detroit where alternate Nate Lashley won the inaugural event last year. There is a decent field lined up in the Great Lakes area for the event, although not as strong as those in the previous three weeks since coming back from the Coronavirus enforced break.

There is no event on the European Tour this week. 

2020 - Week 26 Winners

Dustin Johnson (ranked 9th by Golf Predictor) won the Travelers Championship on the US PGA Tour. The 36 year old American overcame recent poor form to extend his one win a season streak to thirteen at TPC River Highlands. Trailing by two shots overnight, Johnson overtook overnight leader Brendon Todd and despite a few errant shots coming in, won by one from Kevin Streelman after a short weather delay late on. Our top ranked player, Rory McIlroy, finished in tied 11th and in an event where many of the big names failed to perform, we only had five of the top eleven (5/19) in total.

There was no event on the European Tour this week. 

Monday, 22 June 2020

2020 - Week 26 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions and statistics for this week, the Travelers Championship (US PGA Tour), are now available on Golf Predictor. Unusually for a third week in a row, there are a large number of the top players teeing it up this week. Nine of the top ten in the world are teeing it up in Connecticut, with Adam Scott the only absentee from that elite bunch. The Covid-19 rust should well and truly be shaken off for the competitors after this week!

There is no event on the European Tour this week.

2020 - Week 25 Winners

Webb Simpson (ranked 4th by Golf Predictor) won the RBC Heritage on the US PGA Tour. The 34 year old American won his his seven tour title with an impressive performance on the testing Harbour Town layout. On a week of low scoring, Simpson finished strongly to edge a crowded field by a shot with a record score of -22. Our top ranked player, Rory McIlroy, had another poor week and finished in tied 41st. Overall, we had nine of the top seventeen plus ties (9/20) in a top quality field.

Monday, 15 June 2020

2020 - Week 25 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions and statistics for this week, the RBC Heritage (US PGA Tour) are now available on Golf Predictor. After the excitement of the return to action last week, it's back to South Carolina for the next leg of the tour. Despite the exertions of Colonial, there are quite a few big names teeing it up again this week to continue to shake off the rust. Headlining the field is the world number one Rory McIlroy, who will be hoping for a better showing than last week. McIlroy is joined by eight of the top ten in the world for the popular event in South Carolina.

There is no event on the European Tour this week. 

Sunday, 14 June 2020

2020 - Week 24 Winners

Daniel Berger ranked 56th by Golf Predictor) won the Charles Schwab Challenge on the US PGA Tour. The 27 year old American put his injury woes behind him, recording his third tour title against a stacked field at the first event back after a three month suspension due to the Coronavirus pandemic. Berger posted -15 first and was only matched by Collin Morikawa from a bunched leaderboard. In the resultant play-off, Morikawa missed a three foot par putt to hand the title to Berger at the first extra hole. Our top ranked player, Rory McIlroy, had a disastrous final day and finished in tied 32nd. Overall, in a quality field where many of the world's best players didn't perform, we had only seven of the top fourteen plus ties (7/18)

There was no event on the European Tour this week.

Monday, 8 June 2020

2020 - Week 24 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions and statistics for this week, the Charles Schwab Challenge (US PGA Tour), are now available on Golf Predictor. It's all excitement this week as the PGA Tour starts up again after a three month break due to the Coronavirus pandemic. That means no crowds, but there is a very strong field in Texas, where an impressive sixteen out of the top twenty in the world will battle it out for the title.

The European Tour has not restarted yet.

Saturday, 6 June 2020

Golf Predictor Donations - Coronavirus Update 2

As promised in my original Coronavirus post a few months ago, I have updated all Golf Predictor donor accounts in advance of the resumption of the PGA Tour next week. Donors whose donation period have expired since the suspension have had an equal amount of time added to their accounts as they had outstanding at the time. Donors whose donation periods were still active have had three months added to their accounts. This corresponds to the period from 8th March to 8th June, which marks the beginning and end of the suspension period.

I think I have got all donors, but if I have missed your account, then please contact me via the Contact GP page. I look forward to seeing some tournament golf again and I hope you will continue to find Golf Predictor useful!


Saturday, 30 May 2020

Results By Form Pages Added to Golf Predictor

New Results Form (Tournaments) page for the 2020 Arnold Palmer Invitational

Similar to the existing Compare Form, Field Form and Winners Form pages on Golf Predictor, I have added two new "Results by Form" pages to the site. These new pages are available from the Results menu and also show each golfer's form in previous tournaments. However, these new pages show the results of the tournament, as opposed to the field stats ahead of the tournament.

This means you can now easily see things like the following:
  1. Which golfers have come from nowhere to place well (or win!) the event.
  2. Which golfers have bombed, despite good form leading up to the event.
  3. Which golfers have continued to improve their results and which golfers have continued to slide.
  4. Which golfers have kept their consistently good or bad runs going.
  5. Which golfers were good or bad DraftKings picks (DraftKings salary and average points per game are on the table).
  6. Which golfers played well despite no/little recent form e.g. Tyrrell Hatton in the screenshot above.

Like the other pairs of pages listed above, the first of the new "Results by Form" pages shows the previous ten matching results for each golfer while the second page shows the results from the fifteen previous matching tournaments. You can link from one page to the other using the link on each page.

The notes on the second of these new pages are very similar to those on the "Form Golfer (Field) - Tournaments" page, so please refer to that for more information. In addition, the following notes apply to both now pages:
  1. As this is of lesser use for older events and relatively computationally intensive, I have limited this new functionality to tournament results in the current season. 
  2. Due to the computationally intensiveness of these pages, the information for the entire field on these two new pages is restricted to donors (more below).
  3. As in the other pages mentioned above, hovering over the golfer name shows more information. In these new pages, you get the round scores and total in addition to a summary of the golfers performance in the matching tournaments. This can be seen above for Marc Leishman.
  4. As in the other pages mentioned above, you can also see more information by hovering over the DraftKings salary and the matching tournament columns.
These new pages should prove useful for analysing picks for completed tournaments, especially for DraftKings DFS purposes. This in turn should help with picks for future events. As this is a donor only feature, free site users will only see the data for golfers who finished in 11-25th*. However, you can donate after you log in to see the data for the entire tournament field. So, please consider donating today to reap the full benefits of Golf Predictor, the premium professional golf statistics site.


* Depends on the ties for a particular tournament.

Sunday, 10 May 2020

Compare Form Pages Enhanced on Golf Predictor

New Compare Tee-off Groups Form (Tournaments) page for the 2020 Players Championship

Further to the recent addition of the Form Golfer (Field) - Tournaments page and Winners' Form - Tournaments pages, I have added new versions of the Compare Form and Compare Tee-off Groups Form pages to Golf Predictor. On each page ('Form' menu), this new version is available from the new link below the Tournament drop-down box. There is also a similar link on the new pages (see the screenshot above for the Compare Tee-off Groups Form for the 2020 Players Championship) back to the original Compare Form page. These new pages still list the same golfers, but they differ from the existing Compare Form pages in several ways: please click on the "Form Golfer (Field) - Tournaments" link above to see these differences. 

These new pages showing every tournament in the previous fifteen weeks (if using the "All Tournaments" scope) makes certain things more apparent visually. You can see tournament and rest streaks on the chosen tour* at a glance for each golfer shown, allowing you to get an indication if a golfer has played too much or too little recently. As each column lists the same tournament for each golfer, you can also easily see correlated events in the previous fifteen tournaments by examining the table.

The notes on these new pages are very similar to those on the "Form Golfer (Field) - Tournaments" page linked above, so please refer to that for more information. In addition, the following notes apply:
  1. I have also added Same Region form to the Scope dropdown for both the original and new Compare Form pages.
  2. There are no graphs on these new pages, unlike their original counterparts.That is because there are now gaps in the results which makes these less useful and less visually appealing.
These great new pages should prove very useful for deciding on good picks for upcoming tournaments, particular for match up bets. This information is available for free for all Golf Predictor users, so sign up today to Golf Predictor, the premium professional golf statistics site.


*Doesn't show the golfer's results on the other major tour, unless the new checkbox is selected. Also, note that some weeks have more than one event on a particular tour.


Tuesday, 5 May 2020

"Winners' Form - Tournaments" Pages Added to Golf Predictor


2020 Winners on US PGA Tour

Further to the recent addition of the Form Golfer (Field) - Tournaments page, I have added new versions of the Winners Form (all winners in a GP season) and Winners Form by Tournament (all winners of a particular tournament) pages to Golf Predictor. On each page ('Other Stats' menu), this new version is available from the new link below the GP Season and Tour drop-down box. There is also a similar link on the new pages (see the screenshot above for the curtailed 2020 GP season on the PGA Tour) back to the original Winners' Form pages. These new pages still list each winning golfer, but they differ from the existing Winners' Form pages in several ways: please click on the "Form Golfer (Field) - Tournaments" link above to see these differences.
    These new pages show every tournament in the previous fifteen weeks (if using the "All Tournaments" scope) and make certain things more apparent visually. You can see tournament and rest streaks on the chosen tour* for each winner at a glance, allowing you to get an indication of the optimum level of play a golfer should have in advance of a tournament.

    The notes on this new page are very similar to those on the "Form Golfer (Field) - Tournaments" page linked above, so please refer to that for more information. The main difference with these two new pages is that the "Include results from other tour?" checkbox on them triggers an automatic page post back. This is because there is no button on these pages, unlike the "Form Golfer (Field) - Tournaments" page.

    These new pages should prove useful for deciding on good picks for upcoming tournaments, as they show the form of the winner of previous events with skipped events as well as those played. This information is available for free for all Golf Predictor users, so sign up today to Golf Predictor, the premium professional golf statistics site.


    *Doesn't show the golfer's results on the other major tour, unless the new checkbox is selected. Also, note that some weeks have more than one event on a particular tour.

    Saturday, 2 May 2020

    'Form Golfers (Field) - Tournaments' Page Added to Golf Predictor

    New Field Form (Tournaments) page for the 2020 Players Championship

    Further to the recent addition of the Form Golfer (Field) page, I have added a new version of the page to Golf Predictor. This new version is available from the new link below the Tournaments drop-down box on the original Form Golfers (Field) page, which is available on the Form menu. There is also a similar link on the new page (see the screenshot above for the 2020 Players Championship) back to the original Form Golfers (Field) page. This new page still lists each golfer with his DraftKings salary, but it differs from the existing Form Golfers (Field) page in the following ways:

    1. The table shows all recent tournaments, regardless of whether any given player played in it or not (the original page only shows events each golfer played in). This means there will be gaps in the rows where a golfer has skipped events. You can see these gaps in the image above for all three players listed.
    2. There is no average and standard deviation on this table. Because of the gaps mentioned above, I deemed it not as useful as in the original page.
    3. To compensate for the above omission, I have added five more tournament fields to the table. That means you can can a significant amount of history when viewing the results for a single tour (up to fifteen weeks or about one third of a season if using the "All Tournaments" scope).
    4. There is no "Both" option in the Tour drop-down box, so you must choose either the European or the US PGA Tour.
    5. There is a new "Include results from other tour?" checkbox under the Compare button as some of the bigger names (especially Europeans) play both tours. However, ticking this checkbox could halve the timespan covered in the table, as results for both tours are now shown. Since both scenarios have their advantages and disadvantages, I have provided the ability to see both. Most golfers tend to play on one tour only, so the default view excludes the tournaments from the other tour.

    This new page showing every tournament in the previous fifteen weeks (if using the "All Tournaments" scope) makes certain things more apparent visually. You can see tournament and rest streaks on the chosen tour* for each golfer at a glance, allowing you to get an indication if a golfer has played too much or too little recently. You can also easily see correlated events in the previous fifteen tournaments by examining the results in each column. Since each column now has the result for the same tournament for each golfer, it is possible to see, for example, that in 2020, the Mayakoba event, the Genisis Invitational and the WGC in Mexico seem to have similar good results for many golfers.

    Some notes on this new page (many similar to the notes for the original page) :
    1. As this new page is computationally intensive, this data restricted to the current week's events, and is available after the field stats are created and before the results are input into the system. This is usually approximately from Monday evening to Sunday evening (GMT) of the tournament week. However, The Players Championship was cancelled after it began due to the Coronavirus, so there are no results and the field stats are still on the system (for now!), so you can see this new page for that event.
    2. Further to the above point, you cannot change the GP Season in the drop down box.
    3. To keep things manageable, there is no sorting on the form data. However, you can sort by GP Rank, golfer name and DraftKings salary.
    4. To ensure even the longest names can appear in the space available, the golfer names are displayed in one column in the Lastname, Firstname format.
    5. Golfers with no DraftKings information are assigned "n/a" in the table. The metrics (finishing position, round scores etc.) are colour coded depending on their values, as shown in the screenshot above.
    6. Hovering over a golfer name will show a summary of his performance in the matching (up to fifteen) tournaments.
    7. Hovering over a tournament (T1-15) in the table for a golfer will show more information about that tournament and the golfer's performance in it. This is shown above for the T2 column for Rory McIlroy. You can still hover over the "-" to get the name of any tournament that the golfer skipped.
    8. If there aren't enough matching tournaments to fill out the table, e.g. a new tournament with no course history, the table will be filled out with  "--", with no pop up.
    9. There is a key table at the bottom of the page explaining the column headers.
    10. The original Form Golfers (Field) page has been renamed slightly to the 'Form Golfers (Field) - Results' page to distinguish it more from this new page.
       
    This great new page should prove very useful for deciding on good picks for upcoming tournaments, especially for DraftKings DFS contests. As this is a donor only feature, free site users will only see the data for golfers ranked 11-25 by the GP algorithm. However, you can donate after you log in to see the data for the entire tournament field. So, please consider donating today to reap the full benefits of Golf Predictor, the premium professional golf statistics site.


    *Doesn't show the golfer's results on the other major tour, unless the new checkbox is selected. Also, note that some weeks have more than one event on a particular tour.


    Tuesday, 17 March 2020

    Golf Predictor Donations - Coronavirus Update

    As per my social media post the other day, all valued Golf Predictor donors will have their donation period frozen while the world is in Coronavirus lock down. That way, they will retain access to the extra features for actual tournaments. I will extend everyone's donation periods when things get back to normal in the golf world. Donor's accounts will be extended by the amount of time the tournaments were not held.

    Monday, 16 March 2020

    'Tournament Winners by Round Rank' Page Enhanced

    2020 US PGA Tour winners (to date) with new extra stats panel

    Further to this post, I have added a useful new stats panel to the 'Tournament Winners by Round Rank' page on Golf Predictor. This new panel is located under the existing table of winners, as shown in the screenshot above for 2020 US PGA Tour events (up to the week of the Arnold Palmer Invitational). You can now read the season breakdown of the winners' positions after each round directly off the screen or see the breakdown visually with the pop-up charts available on the final row of the new panel. You can also see the average position for the winners after each round and how many rounds this was calculated over. Some notes on this new panel:
    1. To facilitate the easier collation of these stats, I have removed the pager for the winners table on this page.
    2. I have replaced the three non-pop-up charts which were located above the winners table with the three pop-up charts located on the last row of the new panel. These new pop-up charts show the same information as the replaced charts, but are generated differently.
    3. The tournament winners table is now collapsible by clicking on it. This will allow you to see the new stats panel easier for years with a lot of tournaments. You can also click on the link in the introduction section.
    4. This page update shows some interesting stats at a glance, such as the low number of first round leaders that win events. This tends to be about 20% percent for the PGA Tour and around 15% for the European Tour. This goes up to about 60% and 55% for round three leaders for the respective tours in recent years.
    5. You might be surprised about the number of winners that aren't even in th top ten after round one, especially on the PGA Tour!
    Just another way to make Golf Predictor even better! The stats on this new panel should help you make better in-tournament decisions. So, sign up today and reap the full benefits of Golf Predictor, the premium professional golf statistics site.
      

    Monday, 9 March 2020

    2020 - Week 11 Predictions/Statistics Online

    The predictions and statistics for this week, The Players Championship (US PGA Tour) are now available on Golf Predictor. No Tiger Woods, but as usual, there's a very strong field for the so called "fifth major" in Florida, with forty seven of the top fifty in the world rankings teeing it up at Sawgrass. 

    The Magical Kenya Open pres. by Absa due to be played on the European PGA Tour this week has been postponed due to the Coronavirus (Covid-19). 

    NOTE: The Players was cancelled after round one due to the Coronavirus pandemic.

    Sunday, 8 March 2020

    2020 - Week 10 Winners

    Jorge Campillo (ranked 26th by Golf Predictor) won the Commercial Bank Qatar Masters on the European PGA Tour. The 33 year old Spaniard won his second tour title in a battle with David Drysdale. After Campillo had thrown away three shots on the seventieth and seventy-first holes, he finished level with the Scot after the end of regulation play. It then took five extra holes to separate the pair, when Campillo holed yet another long putt to deny Drysdale his first win in 498 starts. Our top ranked player, Mike Lorenzo-Vera, missed the cut and we had twelve of the top twenty one plus ties (12/27) in the weak fielded event on a new course.

    Tyrrell Hatton (ranked 20th by Golf Predictor) won the Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. by Mastercard on the US PGA Tour. The 28 year old Englishman won his first tour title by coming through the field at Bay Hill. On a week of high attrition on the very demanding layout, Hatton saw off nearest challenger Marc Leishman to win by a single shot. Our top ranked player, Rory McIlroy, once again started very well, but faded the rest of the week. He somehow still managed another top five this season (tied 5th), despite a closing 76. Overall, we had nine of the top eighteen plus ties (9/23*) on the testing layout. 


    *Day withdrew again & Molinari didn't play, promoting Morikawa into the top 23 of the rankings.

    Monday, 2 March 2020

    2020 - Week 10 Predictions/Statistics Online

    The predictions and statistics for this week, the Commercial Bank Qatar Masters (European PGA Tour) and the Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. by Mastercard (US PGA Tour), are now available on Golf Predictor. The European Tour stays in the Arabian Gulf this week, where the action moves to Qatar. A new course, a poor enough field and windy weather make it harder to call this year. Meanwhile, there is a much better field in Orlando, where although there is no Tiger Woods this year, ten of the top twenty in the world are teeing it up at Bay Hill. 

    Sunday, 1 March 2020

    2020 - Week 9 Winners

    Sami Valimaki (ranked 59th by Golf Predictor) won the Oman Open on the European PGA Tour. The 21 year old Finn won his first tour title with a play-off victory over Brandon Stone in the windy conditions. Stone had birdied the last to edge out Adrien Saddier, but under pressure, Valimaki birdied two of the last three holes including the difficult final hole, to catch the South African on what was just his sixth tour start. After holing a ballsy putt on the second extra hole to stay in it, Valimaki won with a par on the third extra hole after Stone missed the green and failed to get up and down. Our top ranked player, Thomas Pieters, disappointingly missed the cut and we had only eight of the top eighteen plus ties (8/24) in the weak fielded and weather affected event.


    Sungjae Im (ranked 8th by Golf Predictor) won The Honda Classic on the US PGA Tour. The hard working 21 year old Korean won his maiden tour title on one of the toughest tracks on the PGA Tour. Trailing by three overnight, Im got off to a fast start Sunday with four birdies in his first five holes, That allowed him to get into contention after third round leader Tommy Fleetwood came back to the field. Im then negotiated the difficult Bear Trap in an impressive two under par to post -6. He then had a short anxious wait before a poor Fleetwood approach at the par five last found the water, which led to the Englishman failing to catch him. Our top ranked player, defending champion Brooks Koepka, missed the cut and overall, we had seven of the top seventeen plus ties (7/20).

    Monday, 24 February 2020

    2020 - Week 9 Predictions/Statistics Online

    The predictions and statistics for this week, the Oman Open (European PGA Tour) and The Honda Classic (US PGA Tour), are now available on Golf Predictor. The field is a bit stronger in Florida this year with six out of the top twenty in the world rankings teeing it up. Things are much worse in the Middle East, where they have to make do with seven golfers from the lower regions of the world's top one hundred. Note that the course history from the Challenge Tour event is not tracked by Golf Predictor.

    2020 - Week 8 Winners

    Patrick Reed (ranked 14th by Golf Predictor) won the WGC - Mexico Championship on the European/US PGA Tour. The 29 year old American won his second WGC title with a great finish in Mexico. After Bryson DeChambeau bogeyed the seventeenth, Reed took advantage with three late birdies to take a two shot lead up the last. After finding trouble off the tee, Reed chipped out and made a bogey five to pip The Scientist by a shot. Our top ranked player, Rory McIlroy, started brilliantly on Thursday, but failed to impress after that, finishing in tied fifth. Overall, we had twelve of the top eighteen plus ties (12/21).

    Viktor Hovland (ranked 3rd by Golf Predictor) won the Puerto Rico Open on the US PGA Tour. The 22 year old became the first Norwegian to win on the PGA Tour with a one shot victory over Josh Teater. Hovland overcame a potentially disastrous treble bogey on the eleventh hole on Sunday to win his first tour itle in the second string event in Puerto Rico. The young Norwegian bounced back with an eagle on fifteen and a long birdie putt on the last to edge out Teater. Our top ranked player, Tom Lewis, missed the cut and we had seven of the top fourteen plus ties (7/19) in this usually difficult to predict event.

    Tuesday, 18 February 2020

    2020 WGC - Mexico Championship - Value DFS Picks

    Based on the statistics on Golf Predictor for the 2020 WGC - Mexico Championship, here is my analysis of the tournament for DFS (DraftKings) purposes. Although there are some high profile absentees this year, there is still an impressive field teeing it up at Chapultepec. Anyone can pick the top golfers for their line-up, but it's the roster fillers that can make or break your chances. Therefore, I will concentrate on low and mid salary picks and exclude any golfers above $7600. Of course, you are free to disagree and log in to Golf Predictor to make your own informed choices for the event!

    Approach

    To maximise your scoring potential, it's important to get as many of your line-up performing well as possible. Therefore, I will look for golfers with a good recent record in each of the stats examined. There is no cut at WGC events and lower salaried golfers generally have little or no course or WGC experience. This makes the task more difficult than usual, but for this tournament, the stats I will look at are current form, course/tournament form and similar tournament (WGC) form.

    Current Form Golfers

    The following list of (mostly European Tour) golfers have relatively good recent records or long cut streaks in their salary bracket:

    Zach Murray (Euro Tour) - $6000
    Benjamin Hebert (Euro Tour, excluding one event) - $6300
    Mike Lorenzo-Vera (Euro Tour, excluding last event) - $6400
    Ryan Fox (Euro Tour, excluding one event) - $6400
    Marcus Kinhult (Euro Tour, excluding one event) - $6500
    Matt Wallace (Euro Tour, excluding one event) - $6600
    Carlos Ortiz (excluding one event) - $6600
    Lucas Herbert (Euro Tour) - $6700
    Jazz Janewattananond - $6700
    Brendon Todd - $6800
    Lee Westwood (Euro Tour, excluding last event) - $6900 
    Matthias Schwab - $6900 
    Kurt Kitayama (mostly Euro Tour) - $7200
    Robert MacIntyre (Euro Tour, excluding last event) - $7200
    Tyrell Hatton (was out injured) - $7400
    Corey Connors (excluding last event) - $7500
    Victor Perez (Euro Tour) - $7600

    Course/Tournament Specialists

    Not many golfers below $7600 have good records (or any record!) in their salary bracket at the tournament itself (especially at the course). The few that do are:

    Danny Willett (event) - $7000
    Francesco Molinari - $7100
    Charles Howell III - $7100
    Tyrell Hatton - $7400
    Graeme McDowell (event) - $7500
    Rafa Cabrera Bello - $7600

    WGC Performers

    Not many golfers below $7600 have good records (or any record!) in WGC events in their salary bracket. Those that do are:

    Lucas Glover - $6800 
    Lee Westwood - $6900 
    Francesco Molinari - $7100
    Charles Howell III - $7100
    Kevin Kisner - $7200
    Kevin Na - $7300
    Billy Horschel - $7300
    Tyrell Hatton - $7400
    Bernd Wiesberger - $7400
    Byeong-Hun An - $7500
    Graeme McDowell - $7500
    Victor Perez (one event - 4th place) - $7600
    Rafa Cabrera Bello - $7600

    Summary

    Hatton appears in all three categories, but he is coming back after a wrist operation so he might be a risky choice. Molinari, Perez, Cabrera Bello, Howell III, Westwood and McDowell all appear in two categories, so they could be worth considering as good low and mid value DFS DraftKings picks this week.


    Monday, 17 February 2020

    2020 - Week 8 Predictions/Statistics Online

    The predictions and statistics for this week, the WGC - Mexico Championship (European/US PGA Tour) and the Puerto Rico Open (US PGA Tour), are now available on Golf Predictor. Most eyes will be on Mexico, where a quality field has once again assembled for the first WGC event of the year. Despite several high profile absentees, there's still fifteen of top twenty in the world rankings playing in Mexico City. As usual, there's a second string line up for the Puerto Rico event as all the big names are playing in the WGC. That will give some of the lesser lights a great chance of tasting success on tour!

    2020 - Week 7 Winners

    Adam Scott (ranked 14th by Golf Predictor) won the Genesis Invitational on the US PGA Tour. The 39 year old Australian won his fourteenth tour title in Los Angeles against a high quality field. With nine of the top ten in the world competing, Scott took his first tour title in four years. On a day where many of the contenders failed to make any serious progress, the Australian managed to stay clear of the field for most of the final day. Indeed, even Scott himself had to overcome an early wobble, before steadying the ship to take the title by two shots. Our top ranked golfer, Rory McIlroy, had a poor final day, but still managed to finish in tied 5th. Overall, we had eight of the top seventeen plus ties (8/22) in total, in an event where many of the highly ranked players failed to perform.

    This was no event on the European Tour this week.

    Saturday, 15 February 2020

    Form Golfers (Field) Page Added to Golf Predictor

     
     Composite image of the Field Rankings (Field) page for the 2020 Genesis Invitational.


    I am pleased to announce the addition of more donor only advanced functionality to Golf Predictor. Similar to the recently added Field Ranking (Field) page, this very useful new Form Golfers (Field) page also shows colour coded data for the entire field in one place. However, on this page, you can select to see the following data for the field in one place:
    1. Finishing position
    2. Round 1 score 
    3. Round 2 score 
    4. Round 3 score  
    5. Final Round score
    6. Made Cut
    7. Finishing score (to par)  
      You can also select which tournaments are examined for the above data:
    1. All tournaments
    2. Similar events (regular/WGC/major/FedEx) 
    3. Same course/tournament
    4. Same region 
    In each case, the last ten matching tournaments (T1-10, with T10 being the most recent) will be shown for each golfer and you will be able to discern the form of the field at a glance. This new page is available from the 'Form' menu in the Member section. As can be seen in the screenshot above for the 2020 Genesis Invitational, these scores/finishing positions are colour coded and the average value is calculated for each golfer. As an added bonus for DraftKings DFS players, the DraftKings salary (hover over it for average points per game!) is also displayed on this new page. This should greatly help you make good selections for your DFS contests. 

    Some notes on this new page :
    1. As this new page is computationally intensive, this data restricted to the current week's events, and is available after the field stats are created and before the results are input into the system. This is approximately from Monday evening to Sunday evening (GMT) of the tournament week.
    2. Further to the above point, you cannot change the GP Season in the drop down box.
    3. To keep things manageable, there is no sorting on the form data. However, you can sort by GP Rank, golfer name and DraftKings salary.
    4. To ensure even the longest names can appear in the space available, the golfer names are displayed in one column in the Lastname, Firstname format.
    5. Further to the above point, I have changed the Field Rank (Field) page to display the names in the same format (was Lastname, Firstname initial).
    6. Golfers with no data for a metric are assigned "n/a" in the table and are skipped for the average calculation. These metrics are colour coded brown, as shown in the screenshot above. Golfers with no DraftKings information are also assigned "n/a".
    7. Hovering over a golfer name will show a summary of the performance in the matching (up to ten) tournaments. This is shown above for Rory McIlroy.
    8. Hovering over a tournament (T1-10) in the table for a golfer will show more information about that tournament and the golfer's performance in it. This is shown above for the T4 column for Rory McIlroy.
    9. There is a key table at the bottom of the page explaining the column headers.
    10. I have had to edit the Form menu as there is now just too much functionality in it! To make space for this new addition and keep the Form menu to a reasonable size, I have converted the Performance Analysis options (Rounds 1 to 3) into a group.
    This great new page should prove very useful for deciding on good picks for upcoming tournaments, especially for DraftKings DFS contests. As this is a donor only feature, free site users will only see the data for golfers ranked 11-25 by the GP algorithm. However, you can donate after you log in to see the data for the entire tournament field. So, please consider donating today to reap the full benefits of Golf Predictor, the premium professional golf statistics site.