Monday, 18 March 2019

2019 - Week 12 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions and statistics for this week, the Maybank Championship (European PGA Tour) and the Valspar Championship (US PGA Tour) are now available on Golf Predictor. As the build up to Augusta begins in earnest, eight of the top twenty in the world rankings are teeing it up in Florida, including world number one Dustin Johnson. Meanwhile, the European PGA Tour is back in Malaysia, where the field isn't quite as impressive in steamy Kuala Lumper!

2019 - Week 11 Winners

Guido Migliozzi (ranked 78th by Golf Predictor) won the Magical Kenya Open pres. by Absa on the European PGA Tour. The 22 year old Italian won his first tour title with an assured final day's play in East Africa. Migliozzi edged clear of a crowded leaderboard on the closing stretch and held his nerve admirably to close it out and win by a single shot. Our top ranked player, last week's winner Justin Harding, finished strongly for tied 2nd and despite the poor field, we had twelve of the top seventeen plus ties (12/23).

Rory McIlroy (ranked 4th by Golf Predictor) won The Players Championship on the US PGA Tour. The 29 year old Northern Irishman finally sealed another victory with a strong finish at Sawgrass. McIlroy overcame a slow start on Sunday to finish with two late birdies for a one shot victory over Jim Furyk. Our top ranked player, Dustin Johnson, finished in tied 5th for his first top ten at the event. Overall, we had eight of the top twenty plus ties (8/21) in an event where many of the bigger names failed to perform on the tough layout.

Friday, 15 March 2019

Region Change Accommodated on Golf Predictor

Due to The Players Championship moving back to March and thus into the Florida Swing, I have had to accommodate this on Golf Predictor. This is because the Florida Swing is one of the "logical" regions on Golf Predictor (along with the West Coast Swing) and is distinct from tournaments held in Florida at other times of the year (such as The Players Championship in previous seasons on Golf Predictor).

This means that from 2019 on (and while it remains it March), The Players Championship will be deemed to be in the Florida Swing, rather than the Florida US region. However, when viewing stats in the system for The Players Championship in seasons before 2019, the event will remain in the original Florida US region. In addition, when computing region stats for the Florida Swing, The Players Championship will only be included from 2019 on (and while it remains it March).

The updating of the system to allow for a region change will make it easy in the future to add any other similar changes to the system. This latest update means Golf Predictor now deals with changes in course par, tournament name, tournament format, season structure, course region and player names. Besides that, there are are no complications in the system!

Monday, 11 March 2019

2019 - Week 11 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions and statistics for this week, The Players Championship (US PGA Tour) and the  Magical Kenya Open pres. by Absa (European PGA Tour) are now available on Golf Predictor. As usual, there's a very strong field for the so called "fifth major" in Florida, with all of the top fifty in the world rankings teeing it up at Sawgrass. That doesn't leave much top talent for the European Tour, which heads to Kenya for an event elevated from the Challenge Tour. There, last week's winner Justin Harding is only golfer inside the top one hundred in the world rankings. Note that the course history from the Challenge Tour event is not tracked by Golf Predictor.

Sunday, 10 March 2019

2019 - Week 10 Winners

Justin Harding (ranked 5th by Golf Predictor) won the Commercial Bank Qatar Masters on the European PGA Tour. The 32 year old South African broke out of a packed leaderboard to win his first tour title in Qatar. Despite a poor third round, Harding regrouped and pulled away with a string finish to win by two shots from nine runners-up. Our top ranked player, Thomas Pieters, missed the cut and we had nine of the top twenty plus ties (9/26) in the wind affected event.

Francesco Molinari (ranked 7th by Golf Predictor) won the Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. by Mastercard on the US PGA Tour. The 36 year old Italian won his third tour title by coming through the field at Bay Hill. Molinari also overcame a poor Saturday, roaring home with 64 (-8) on Sunday to post the winning score early. He could then watch while his opponents failed to match him, including overnight leader Matthew Fitzpatrick, who finished two shots back in second. Our top ranked player, Justin Rose, faded badly over the weekend and we had nine of the top seventeen plus ties (9/22*) on the testing layout. 


*Day withdrew, promoting Wallace into the top 22 of the  rankings.

Monday, 4 March 2019

2019 - Week 10 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions and statistics for this week, the Commercial Bank Qatar Masters (European PGA Tour) and the Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. by Mastercard (US PGA Tour), are now available on Golf Predictor The European Tour stays in the Arabian Gulf this week, where the action moves to Qatar. Meanwhile, there is a much better field in Orlando, where thirteen of the top twenty in the world are teeing it up at Bay Hill. However, all eyes will be once again on Tiger Woods, who's continuing his latest comeback on a course where he has had tremendous success in the past. 

Sunday, 3 March 2019

2019 - Week 9 Winners

Kurt Kitayama (ranked 59th by Golf Predictor) won the Oman Open on the European PGA Tour. The 26 year old American continued the impressive start to his tour career, winning his second tour title in just his eleventh start. In a week of calamities in the windy conditions, Kitayama overcame a disastrous start to his third round where he dropped six shots in his opening three holes to prevail by a single shot in the desert. Our top ranked player, defending champion Joost Luiten, finished in tied 12th and we had only five of the top eighteen plus ties (5/20) in the weak fielded and weather affected event.


Keith Mitchell (ranked 82nd by Golf Predictor) won The Honda Classic on the US PGA Tour. The 27 year old American won his maiden tour title on one of the toughest tracks on the PGA Tour. Trailing by one overnight, Mitchell holed a fifteen foot putt on the last to win by a single shot from Rickie Fowler and Brooks Koepka. Our top ranked player, defending champion Justin Thomas, finished in tied 30th. Overall, we only had five of the top sixteen plus ties (5/19).

Monday, 25 February 2019

2019 - Week 9 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions and statistics for this week, the Oman Open (European PGA Tour) and The Honda Classic (US PGA Tour), are now available on Golf Predictor. Thanks to the new tour schedule, the field isn't as strong in Florida this year with just three out of the top twenty in the world rankings teeing it up. Things are much worse in the Middle East, where they have to make do with seven golfers from the lower regions of the world's top one hundred. Note that the course history from the Challenge Tour event is not tracked by Golf Predictor.

Sunday, 24 February 2019

2019 - Week 8 Winners

Dustin Johnson (ranked 1st by Golf Predictor) won the WGC - Mexico Championship on the European/US PGA Tour. The 34 year old American won his landmark twentieth tour title and sixth WGC title in Mexico. In winning there for the second time in three years, Johnson also joined an elite group who won in their first twelve seasons on tour. Despite playing a tight, tree lined course at altitude in Mexico, the big hitting Johnson put in another impressive performance on the short, but testing layout. He did make it somewhat hard on himself early on, having had his four shot overnight lead halved by Rory McIlroy. However, he steadied the ship and won easily by five shots in the end, despite a noble effort by the Northern Irishman on the back nine. Including the winner, we had eight of the top seventeen plus ties (8/18).

Martin Trainer (ranked 29th by Golf Predictor) won the Puerto Rico Open on the US PGA Tour. The 27 year old American overcame a shaky start to his PGa Tour career and won his first first title in the second string event in Puerto Rico. Trainer finished strongly with two birdies in his last four holes to win by three shots from a quartet of players. Our top ranked player, Daniel Berger, was one of those who finished in tied second. Overall, we had only five of the top sixteen plus ties (5/20) in this usually difficult to predict event.

Monday, 18 February 2019

2019 - Week 8 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions and statistics for this week, the WGC - Mexico Championship (European/US PGA Tour) and the Puerto Rico Open (US PGA Tour), are now available on Golf Predictor. All eyes will be on Mexico, where a quality field has once again assembled for the first WGC event of the year. There's an impressive forty six of top fifty in the world rankings playing in Mexico, even if world number one Justin Rose is one of the absentees. As usual, there's a second string line up for the Puerto Rico event as all the big names are playing in the WGC. That will give some of the lesser lights a great chance of tasting success on tour!

2019 - Week 7 Winners

Ryan Fox (ranked 5th by Golf Predictor) won the ISPS HANDA World Super 6 Perth on the European PGA Tour. The 32 year old Kiwi won his maiden title at the hybrid stroke play/match play event in Australia. Fox rode his luck slightly to make the matchplay final after several visits to the play-off hole and a couple of close matches. However, he only needed four holes to beat format specialist Adrian Otaegui in the final. Our top ranked golfer, Justin Harding, narrowly missed out on the matchplay section and finished in tied 26th. Overall, we had eight of the top seventeen plus ties (8/19) in the breezy conditions.
 

J.B. Holmes (ranked 41st by Golf Predictor) won the Genesis Open title on the US PGA Tour. The 36 year old American won his fifth tour title in the trying conditions in Los Angeles. The insufferably slow Holmes took advantage of a poor final day by third round leader Justin Thomas to overcome a four shot deficit and win by a shot. Our top ranked golfer, Dustin Johnson, overcame a poor first round to finish in tied 9th and we had thirteen of the top fifteen plus ties (13/24) in total at the weather affected event.

Monday, 11 February 2019

2019 - Week 7 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions and statistics for this week, the ISPS HANDA World Super 6 Perth (European PGA Tour) and the Genesis Open (US PGA Tour), are now available on Golf Predictor. It's the last week of the California swing on the US PGA Tour this week and there's a quality field in Los Angeles. Fourteen of the top twenty in the world are teeing it up, which doesn't leave many of the top players for the Super 6 event in Perth! They have to make do with several from the lower reaches of the top one hundred for the combined stroke and match play event. 

2019 - Week 6 Winners

David Law (ranked 60th by Golf Predictor) won the inaugural ISPS Handa Vic Open on the European PGA Tour. The 27 year old Scot won his maiden tour title with a fantastic finish in Australia. Trailing Wade Ormsby by three shots with three shots to play, Law closed with birdie-par-eagle to win by a single shot after a costly double bogey-birdie finish by Ormsby. Our top ranked player, Justin Harding, finished 4th and in a new tour event with a poor field and where many of the bigger names did not perform, we had only seven of the top seventeen plus ties (7/21).

Phil Mickelson (ranked 8th by Golf Predictor) won the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am on the US PGA Tour. The 48 year old American won his forty fourth tour event and fifth on the scenic Pacific layout. Trailing by three shots overnight, Mickelson overtook Paul Casey to win by three shots with a fine closing 65 (-7). Our top ranked player, Dustin Johnson, failed to shake off the effects of a long journey from Saudi Arabia, finishing in tied 45th. Overall, we only had five of the top eighteen plus ties (5/21) in the weather affected event.

Monday, 4 February 2019

2019 - Week 6 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions and statistics for this week, the inaugural ISPS Handa Vic Open (European PGA Tour) and the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (US PGA Tour) are now available on Golf Predictor. The California swing continues this week on the US Tour, where, as usual, a strong field has assembled to play with the stars. Seven of the top twenty in the world rankings, including world number three and winner in the Middle East last week Dustin Johnson, are teeing it up in the annual pro-am at scenic Pebble Beach and two other nearby courses. Meanwhile, the European PGA Tour is back in Australia for a new event in Victoria.

Sunday, 3 February 2019

2019 - Week 5 Winners

Dustin Johnson (ranked 2nd by Golf Predictor) won the inaugural Saudi International on the European PGA Tour. The 34 year old American won his first regular tour title in a final day battle with Hao-Tong Li. Tied overnight after a marvellous eagle-eagle finish (in a round with four eagles in total!) by Li on Saturday, Johnson pulled clear on the back nine Sunday when Li recorded three bogeys. Despite a mini comeback by the Chinese golfer, Johnson easily kept him at bay to win by two shots in the end. Our top ranked player, Justin Rose, disappointingly missed the cut and we had only eight of the top nineteen (8/21) in an event where many struggled on the slow undulating greens.

Rickie Fowler (ranked 3rd by Golf Predictor) won the Waste Management Phoenix Open on the US PGA Tour. The 30 year old American eventually won his fifth tour title in an error filled final day in Phoenix. On an uncharacteristically damp final day in the desert, Fowler outlasted the rest to win by two shots from Branden Grace. Despite a four shot overnight advantage and a five shot mid round lead, Fowler fell behind mainly due to a calamity on the eleventh hole, when he found water with his third shot. After placing his ball on the bank, it rolled back in for an extra penalty shot. However, the popular American bounced back admirably to come through for the win. Our top ranked player, John Rahm, finished in tied 10th and we had ten of the top fifteen plus ties (10/19) in total.

Monday, 28 January 2019

2019 - Week 5 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions and statistics for this week, the Saudi International (European PGA Tour) and the Waste Management Phoenix Open (US PGA Tour) are now available on Golf Predictor. It's the last week of the Desert Swing (for now!) on the European PGA Tour and a strong field, including four of the top five in the world, has been somehow lured to Saudi Arabia for the inaugural event! Meanwhile, the US PGA Tour has made the short hop from California to Arizona, where the raucous fans can cheer on a quality field, with seven of the top twenty in the world rankings teeing it up!

Sunday, 27 January 2019

2019 - Week 4 Winners

Bryson DeChambeau (ranked 1st by Golf Predictor) won the Omega Dubai Desert Classic on the European PGA Tour. The 25 year old American kept his impressive recent winning run going by winning his first European Tour tour title in Dubai. Leading by a shot overnight, DeChambeau came out of the blocks fast with three opening birdies and never let up in a fine closing round of 64 (-8). That allowed him to cruise to a seven shot victory over Matt Wallace. DeChambeau was our top ranked player and including the winner, we had a solid eleven of the top sixteen (11/19) in total.

Justin Rose (ranked 1st by Golf Predictor) won the Farmers Insurance Open on the US PGA Tour. The promising 38 year old Englishman won his tenth tour title with an impressive display at Torrey Pines. Rose entered Sunday with a three shot lead and despite a late surge by Adam Scott, was never seriously challenged, winning by two shots in the end. His exhibition of front running cemented his status as world number one. Rose was our top ranked player and we had twelve of the top twenty plus ties (12/24) in total.

Monday, 21 January 2019

2019 - Week 4 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions and statistics for this week, the Omega Dubai Desert Classic (European PGA Tour) and the Farmers Insurance Open (US PGA Tour) are now available on Golf Predictor. The European Tour stays in the UAE this week, where the action moves to Dubai with American Bryson DeChambeau headlining the field. Meanwhile, there is a strong field in California, where twelve of the top twenty in the world are teeing it up at Torrey Pines. However, all eyes will be once again on Tiger Woods, who's making his 2019 debut on a course where he has had tremendous success in the past.

2019 - Week 3 Winners

Shane Lowry (ranked 26th by Golf Predictor) won the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship on the European PGA Tour. The 31 year old Irish man won his fourth tour title during a topsy turvy last day in Abu Dhabi. Despite leading by three overnight, Lowry found himself four shots behind the charging Richard Sterne with seven holes to play. However, the South African tightened up and Lowry made some great clutch putts to stay in the hunt until the last, where a birdie sealed a one shot win. Our top ranked golfer, Dustin Johnson, finished strongly for tied sixteenth and we had nine of the top sixteen plus ties (9/21) in total.

Adam Long (ranked 138th by Golf Predictor) won the Desert Classic on the US PGA Tour. The 31 year old rookie and rank outsider won his first tour title in a final day duel with seasoned pros Phil Mickelson and Adam Hadwin. Long hung in there on the back nine Sunday with a few chip ins and arrived on the final tee tied with his two more illustrious competitors. Despite having the worse lie by some margin, he hit a great approach from a hanging lie to set up the winning birdie. Our top ranked golfer, word number one Justin Rose, finished in tied 34th in the first event with his new clubs. Overall, in a birdie fest where most of the bigger names failed to perform, we had only had eight of the top eighteen plus ties (8/27) in total.

Sunday, 20 January 2019

More Cosmetic Changes to Data Panels on Golf Predictor


Old look panels
New look panels




Further to this post, I have made some further cosmetic updates to most of the data panels on Golf Predictor. As you can see above, the text in the panels has been made bigger. The labels have also been bolded, the background lightened and a different font has been applied for increased legibility. These changes primarily affect wider screens - smaller devices in particular are not affected by these changes.

I trust you will agree that this is another small improvement. Just another way to make Golf Predictor a little better! 

Monday, 14 January 2019

2019 - Week 3 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions and statistics for this week, the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship (European PGA Tour) and the Desert Classic (US PGA Tour) are now available on Golf Predictor. It's the first event of the new year on the European Tour and once again, several big names have been lured to the Middle East. Big hitting Americans Brookes Koepka and Dustin Johnson are headlining the event and they have a strong cast of Europeans chomping at the bit to get going in 2019! Meanwhile, the US PGA Tour makes its 2019 debut on the mainland at La Quinta. All eyes at the annual birdie fest will probably be on world number one Justin Rose and defending champion Jon Rahm.

2019 - Week 2 Winner

In the first full field event of the year on the US PGA Tour, Matt Kuchar (ranked 7th by Golf Predictor) won the Sony Open in Hawaii. After waiting four and a half years for his eight career win in November, the 40 year old American won for the second time in two months in Hawaii. After opening with a pair of 63s, Kuchar closed with a pair of 66s to win by four shots from Andrew Putnam. Kuchar didn't have it all his own way as he actually lost the lead to Putnam after a shaky start on Sunday. However, he bounced back with a strong back nine to win comfortably in the end. Our top ranked player, Justin Thomas, finished in tied 16th and we had only six of the top sixteen plus ties (6/19) in total as the field brushed off the Christmas cobwebs!

There was no event on the European Tour this week. 

Sunday, 13 January 2019

More Field Spider/Radar Charts Added to Golf Predictor

Field Comparison for the Sony Open with new metric DK Ave Pts/Game selected and Danny Lee hovered over.

Further to this post from a few years ago, I am pleased to announce twelve new field comparison spider/radar/star charts to Golf Predictor. Like before, these new charts allow you to see at a glance which golfers have the best (or worst!) values in the metric of your choosing. The list of new charts is as follows:
  1. Spider chart of world rankings for the field.
  2. Spider chart of DraftKings salary for the field.
  3. Spider chart of DraftKings average points/game for the field.
  4. Spider chart of PlayON salary for the field.
  5. Spider chart of PlayON average points/game for the field.
  6. Spider chart of performance likelihood for the field.
  7. Spider chart of cut streak for the field.
  8. Spider chart of winless streak for the field.
  9. Spider chart of wins in current season for the field.
  10. Spider chart of wins in last twelve similar events for the field.
  11. Spider chart of top tens in current seasons for the field. 
  12. Spider chart of top tens in last twelve similar events for the field. 
These charts are available from the same Metric drop down box as the original nine charts on the chart page, linked to on the main Rankings page (Predictions menu). Because of the new metrics added to the chart page, this chart link has also been added to the Rankings (Streaks), Rankings (DraftKings) and Rankings (PlayOn) pages and renamed (see note one below). Clicking on this chart link on any of these pages will display a chart similar to above, which shows the DraftKings average points per game for the 2019 Sony open in Hawaii Field. As you can see, outliers (both good and bad!) can now be easily spotted at a a glance.

This brings the number of field comparison charts on this page to 21 and the total number of charts on Golf Predictor up to 587. Some notes on these new charts (similar to referenced post above):
  1. I have renamed the link to this chart at its original location on the main Rankings page from Compare Form (Spider)" to "Compare Field (Spider)" as there is now a wider rang of metrics available.
  2. The nearer the points are to the centre of the chart, the lower the value is.
  3. Hovering over a point on the chart will show the golfer's name, his value in the metric, his GP Rank and another statistic, if relevant. This is shown above for Danny Lee, who is one of the golfers in the field with the largest number of average points per game.
  4. The chart is ordered by GP Rank, with the top ranked golfer who is Justin Thomas in the chart above (not labelled, see next note) in the twelve o'clock position. As can be seen above, this means the values will tend to be better in the upper right quadrant (higher ranked golfers) and worse in the upper left quadrant (lower ranked golfers).
  5. Due to the large number of golfers typically shown on these new charts is large, it is not possible to show the labels for each golfer in the field for legibility reasons. Therefore, the labels are shown for every n golfers, where n depends on the number of golfers displayed. This value varied from every golfer to every sixth golfer. For example, the chart above with 128 golfers shows the label for every fourth golfer.
  6. Also for legibility purposes, golfer names are truncated if their surname is too long. This is shown above for O(llie) Schniederjans.
  7. Golfers with no value for the metric are excluded from the chart and are listed underneath instead. These zero values are also excluded from the average field value shown.
  8. You may have to reload a page (press F5 on Windows) to see the new chart links. 
  9. I wanted to add strokes gained and round scores radar/spider charts too, but due to charting limitations, this was not possible. I can only vary the maximum value of the charts, not the minimum (zero). This makes plotting negative values (possible with strokes gained) or very similar values (round averages) infeasible (and I tried!). 
  10. Depending on the values, some of these new charts (e.g. the streak ones) may be difficult to read for all golfers due to the scale. Unfortunately, I can't do much about that, but you will still be able to see most of the values easily, as smaller ones are the ones that suffer the most.
I trust you will find these new charts useful for quickly spotting good picks for upcoming tournaments. As with the existing field comparison charts, you must be subscribed to Golf Predictor to see these great charts. So, sign up today to Golf Predictor, the best golf statistics site!

Monday, 7 January 2019

2019 - Week 2 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions and statistics for this week, the Sony Open in Hawaii (US PGA Tour), are now available on Golf Predictor. It's the second leg of the Hawaiian swing and the first full field event on the US PGA Tour in 2019. A pretty strong field has gathered again this year with eight of the top twenty five in the world teeing it up at Waialae.
  
There is no event on the European Tour this week. 

2019 - Week 1 Winner

Xander Schauffele (ranked 13th by Golf Predictor) won the Sentry Tournament of Champions. The 25 year old American won his fourth tour title with an amazing final day performance in Hawaii. Trailing Gary Woodland by five shots overnight, Schauffele opened with a bogey, but still shot 62 (-11) to pip the overnight leader by a single shot. Our top ranked golfer, defending champion Dustin Johnson, finished well for tied 4th and we had ten of the top fourteen plus ties (10/15) in this restricted field event.

There was no event on the European Tour this week.