Monday, 30 December 2019

2020 - Week 1 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions and statistics for this week, the Sentry Tournament of Champions (US PGA Tour) are now available on Golf Predictor. It's the first week of the new GP season (the 2020 calendar year) and it's time for everyone to look forward to another full year of golf! I would like to wish all readers/users a Happy New Year and a prosperous 2020 using Golf Predictor, now that it's free!

There is no event on the European Tour this week.

Sunday, 29 December 2019

Golf Predictor Now Free!

I would like to announce that Golf Predictor is now free to use by everyone! I have taken this move after over eleven years of running Golf Predictor on a subscription based model. Developing Golf Predictor to its current state has involved thousands of development hours and many hours almost every single week updating the stats over that time. My personal circumstances have changed this year and it is unlikely that I will continue to be able to dedicate the time to this task. Therefore, I have decided to make the site free in 2020, in case I will not be able to supply the service at the highest possible level.

The site has been updated to show everything* that was previously hidden behind the pay wall to all logged in users. There is no catch or your data will never be sold to anybody. I only ask that you consider donating every now and again to help keep the site alive. I have always run this site as a labour of love, but now that my only revenue stream will be donations, the site shall be dependant on this for continued operation. Instead of prompts encouraging you to subscribe, you will now get similar prompts asking you to donate instead. If you should be gracious enough to do so, these prompts will be hidden for the period of time indicated on the new donate page. To procure another revenue stream, I may add advertising or sponsorship to the site at a future date.

The terms and conditions have been updated to take account of this big change. I haven't missed a week in over eleven years, but now that it's free, that perfect streak may no longer be maintained. I'm not planning to skip any weeks, but unlike in the past, I may not update the site during holidays or other events, such as family funerals etc.

The service may get many more users, now that it's free. However, unless the donations bring in sufficient funding, I will not be able to upgrade the hosting plan. The service will be free, so please don't complain about the site performance unless you are a donor. If you use the site, especially if you do not wish to donate, I would appreciate a shout out on social media or recommendation to your friends.

The donation process is exactly the same as the previous subscription process, save for the addition of a much cheaper donation option. This is so I can leverage the existing payment infrastructure. As before, the donations/subscriptions are once off payments, i.e. you will NOT get a recurring charge. The new cheaper option covers one week and hides the donate prompts for four days. That is enough to cover the tournaments for one week, assuming you donate at the right time!

Current subscribers have two options: you may continue to support the site and you will not be shown any donate prompts until your subscription runs out. Alternatively, since the site is now free, if you want your outstanding subscription fee back, that's totally fine. Obviously, I would appreciate the former, but in the case of the latter, I will return the unused percentage of your subscription**. Please send me an email with your decision. I plan to email all subscribers directly in the near future, but please get in touch if I don't contact you. In addition to not seeing any donate prompts, only donors will be able to see all the results for a tournament. I also plan to add a few great tools for donors only, as a reward for supporting the site.

I'd like to thank everyone for supporting GP down through the years and I wish you a happy year of free golf analysis on GP in 2020! Note that you may have to reload any pages (Ctrl+F5 on Windows) to see the changes to the site.


* Except for full tournament results. Only donors can have access to that infomation.
**PayPal fees may be non-refundable for older subscriptions (their rules, not mine!).

Monday, 23 December 2019

2019 Golf Predictor Betting/Tipping Summary

Another golf year has finished and it's time to report on the Golf Predictor bets/tips for 2019. Only one win this year, a few play-off losses and a plethora of places, which all add up to a loss of just under 41 points for the year*. It's all fine margins and if my 80/1 tip Antoine Rozner had holed his birdie putt on the final hole in Mauritius a few weeks ago or had J.B Hansen been able to chip on to a green from ten yards away at the penultimate hole in France, it would have meant a profit for the year. Alas, it wasn't to be and those failures coupled with a sizeable number of near miss places (including two at the very last tournament in Australia!) meant a non-profitable year. Overall though, over the longer term, I remain significantly ahead of the bookies.

I like to use Golf Predictor to find golfers to bet one unit each way on in the 40/1 to 80/1 range and this is borne out by some basis statistics. Out of the 224 bets that I made over the year, usually three per tournament (US and European Tour), only twelve (5.4%) were 33/1 or 35/1 and another nine (4%) were 125/1 or greater. As the image below shows, 84.4% of my bets were in my preferred range. 

Odds distribution for 2019 Golf Predictor bets/tips

I like each way bets in this range as it usually offers a (modest) profit for the tournament if just one of the golfers place. While a golfer in the 40/1 to 80/1 range hasn't got as much of a chance of winning as the top rated guys in single figures, they are very good golfers. In addition to being capable of winning, I believe they have a better chance of placing than, say, a 6/1 or 8/1 shot has of winning for a similar return. All you need for a profitable year is about two wins and a steady stream of places. While I had the latter this year, only having Shane Lowry in The Open (at 45/1) meant I just came up short in 2019. The basic stats are as follows:

Number of bets: 224
Profit/Loss: = -40.83
Winners: 1 (Shane Lowry at The Open)
Places: 34 (including two play-off losses and ten dead heat places)


No profit this year, but I'm hoping to get back in the black next year!


*Notes: I stuck with one bookie for convenience. If I used an odds checking site and multiple accounts, I probably would have cut my losses by around 10 to 15 points.

Sunday, 22 December 2019

2019 - Week 50 Winner

Adam (ranked 1st by Golf Predictor) won the Australian PGA Championship on the European PGA Tour. The 39 year old Australian won his first title on home soil in over six years on the Gold Coast. Leading by one shot overnight, Scott was overtaken by Michael Hendry around the turn. However,  Scott rallied on the back nine and despite a closing bogey, won by two shots in the end. Scott was our top ranked golfer and we had eight of the top nineteen plus ties (8/21) in total.

Monday, 16 December 2019

2019 - Week 50 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions and statistics for this week, the Australian PGA Championship (European PGA Tour), are now available on Golf Predictor. While this marks the fifth year that the Australian PGA has been on the European Tour (and hence on Golf Predictor), it has a long history, dating all the way back to 1905. However, only the tournament history for when it has been part of the European Tour (i.e. last four years) is available in Golf Predictor, so please factor that into your analysis. Local golfer Cameron Smith is going for a hat-trick of titles this year and Adam Scott aside, the competition isn't particularly fierce!

Sunday, 8 December 2019

2019 - Week 49 Winner

Rasmus Hjogaard (ranked 76th by Golf Predictor) won the AFRASIA BANK Mauritius Open on the European PGA Tour. The talented 18 year old Dane went one better than his twin brother Nicolai by taking first place in a tour event with his win in Mauritius. Hjogaard prevailed over my 80/1 betting tip Antoine Rozner with a fabulous eagle at the third extra hole after Renato Paratore was eliminated two holes earlier. Our top ranked player, Thomas Pieters, finished tied 13th and we had six of the top seventeen plus ties (6/20) in the weak fielded event. 

There was no official event on the US PGA Tour this week. Golf Predictor doesn't cover the (very) restricted field junket that is the Hero Challenge.

Monday, 2 December 2019

2019 - Week 49 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions and statistics for this week, the AFRASIA BANK Mauritius Open (European PGA Tour) are now available on Golf Predictor. Despite the exotic setting in the Indian Ocean, only four golfers inside the top one hundred in the world rankings are teeing it up in Mauritius. Belgium's Thomas Pieters is probably the biggest name in the event and he will be hoping to add to his trophy cabinet on Sunday.

There is no event on the US PGA Tour this week, except for Tiger's invitational junket (Hero World Challenge). As in previous years, Golf Predictor is not not covering that (very) restricted field event.

Sunday, 1 December 2019

2019 - Week 48 Winner

Pablo Larrazabal (ranked 13th by Golf Predictor) won the Alfred Dunhill Championship on the European PGA Tour. The 36 year old Spaniard won his fifth tour title with an amazing performance at sweltering Leopard Creek. Leading by three shots going into the final day, Larrazabal could barely walk on Sunday due to blisters on his feet. That caused him to go out in 41 and drop eight shots in his first thirteen holes. However, he somehow managed to carry on and steady the ship, finishing strongly to pip Joel Sjoholm by a single shot. In doing so, he became the first player ever to win a European Tour even while dropping that amount of shots in his final round! Our top ranked golfer, Eddie Pepperell finished in tied 19th and in an event that is usually difficult to predict, we had nine of the top nineteen plus ties (9/21) in total. 

There was no event on the US PGA Tour this week.

Monday, 25 November 2019

2019 - Week 48 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions and statistics for this week, the Alfred Dunhill Championship (European PGA Tour) are now available on Golf Predictor. It's the first week of the 2020 European Tour, even though it's still 2019 and of course, the event is not in Europe! With the postponement/cancellation of the UBS Hong Kong Open due to security concerns, just the one event this week. Like previous years, there is a strong home presence in South Africa, where the field is pretty weak this time around. There is only three of the top one hundred in the world teeing it up, with Eddie Pepperell the highest ranked golfer in the field.

There is no event on the US PGA Tour this week.

Sunday, 24 November 2019

2019 - Week 47 Winners

John Rahm (ranked 3rd by Golf Predictor) won the DP World Tour Championship, Dubai on the European PGA Tour. The 25 year old Spaniard emulated his great hero Seve Ballesteros by becoming European number one with another victory at the season ending event in Dubai. Rahm started hot with five birdies in his first seven holes to take a commanding six shot lead. However he slowed down on the back nine and when Tommy Fleetwood finished in a similar fashion to his start, the Spaniard needed to birdie the last to pip the Englishman to both the title and Race to Dubai. Our top ranked player, Rory McIlroy, didn't play well over the weekend, but still finished fourth and we had sixteen of the top twenty plus ties (16/27)  in this limited field event.

Tyler Duncan (ranked 78th by Golf Predictor) won The RSM Classic on the US PGA Tour. The 30 year old American won his first PGA Tour title with an an impressive finish in Georgia. Duncan birdied three of the final four holes to tie Webb Simpson after 72 holes. After halving the first extra hole in par, Duncan took the title with a textbook birdie on the next. Simpson was our top ranked player, and in an event that's usually hard to predict, we had only five of the top fourteen plus ties (5/19) overall. 

Monday, 18 November 2019

2019 - Week 47 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions/statistics for this week, the DP World Tour Championship, Dubai (European PGA Tour) and The RSM Classic (US PGA Tour), are now available on Golf Predictor. It's the last event of the season (but not the year!) on the European PGA Tour and the last event of the year (but not the season!) on the US Tour! Rory McIlroy leads a strong, albeit small field in the world for the season finale. While eight of the top twenty in the world are teeing it up in Dubai, the field is more modest in Georgia. Webb Simpson headlines the field and it will be the last chance before January for the lesser lights to put some FedEx Cup points on the board.

2019 - Week 46 Winners

Tommy Fleetwood (ranked 9th by Golf Predictor) won the Nedbank Golf Challenge on the European PGA Tour. The 28 year old Englishman came from behind with a scintillating final round to win at Sun City. Despite trailing overnight by six shots, Fleetwood came through the field with a closing 65 (-7) on the tough Sun City layout to tie Marcus Kinhult after 72 holes. Fleetwood's round included an incredible three eagles in six hole stretch from the ninth. He then took the title with a par on the first extra hole after the young Dane had to chip out to the fairway with his second shot. Fleetwood was our top ranked golfer and we had nine of the top seventeen plus ties (9/19) in total. 

Brendon Todd (ranked 76th by Golf Predictor) won the Mayakoba Golf Classic on the US PGA Tour. The 34 year old American came back on Monday to close out the win in Mexico. That made it two wins in a row for Todd, in his continuing resurgence after a fallow period. Our top ranked golfer, Tony Finau, once again failed to impress in a weaker field and missed the cut. Overall, in an event plagued by weather delays, we had only four of the top eighteen plus ties (4/19).

Monday, 11 November 2019

2019 - Week 46 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions and statistics for this week, the Nedbank Golf Challenge (European PGA Tour) and the Mayakoba Golf Classic (US PGA Tour), are now available on Golf Predictor. Not much by way of top talent this week, with only one member of the world's top twenty in either event. Tommy Fleetwood is once again teeing it up in South Africa, while Tony Finau is the highest ranked in Mexico, where he is headlining the field with defending champion Matt Kuchar.

Sunday, 10 November 2019

2019 - Week 45 Winners

Tyrrell Hatton (ranked 7th by Golf Predictor) won the Turkish Airlines Open on the European PGA Tour. The 28 year old Englishman won his fourth tour title in a mammoth play-off in Turkey. On a week of low scoring, Hatton was one of six players to finish on -20 after seventy two holes. Despite looking dead and buried on the first extra hole, Hatton chipped in for a birdie to stay alive. He then outlasted long time leader Matthias Schwab under the floodlights to finally win on the fourth extra hole. Our top ranked golfer, Justin Rose, failed to make it a hat-trick of titles and finished in tied 21st. Overall, we had nine of the top seventeen plus ties (9/20).

There was no event on the US PGA Tour this week.

Monday, 4 November 2019

2019 - Week 45 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions and statistics for this week, the Turkish Airlines Open (European PGA Tour), are now available on Golf Predictor. The European Tour heads back to Turkey for the first of the final three events of the Rolex Series. Although the field isn't quite as strong as previous years, there are still four members of the top twenty in the world rankings playing, led by double defending champion Justin Rose who will be hoping for a hat-trick of titles there.

There is no event on the US PGA Tour this week.

2019 - Week 44 Winners

Rory McIlroy (ranked 1st by Golf Predictor) won the WGC - HSBC Champions on the European/US PGA Tour. The 30 year old Northern Irishman won his third WGC title in a play-off in Shanghai with defending champion Xander Schauffele. Despite going bogey free over the weekend, third round leader McIlroy was caught by Schauffele with a birdie on the final hole. The world number two then played the par five eighteenth in exemplary fashion in the play-off, with his tap in birdie good enough after Schauffele had to lay up and missed his birdie try. McIlroy was our top ranked player and including the winner, we had eight of the top seventeen (8/19*) in total.

Brendon Todd (ranked 55th by Golf Predictor) won the inaugural Bermuda Championship on the US PGA Tour. The 34 year old American overcame a major career slump to win his second tour title in Bermuda. Trailing Harry Higgs by two shots overnight, Todd came out with all guns blazing, hitting seven birdies in a row on the front nine to leave the field in his wake. A sub-60 round was on when he started the back nine with two further birdies, but he slowed down coming down the stretch. In the end, Todd finished with a bogey on the final hole for a 62 (-9) and a four shot victory over Higgs. Our top ranked player, Alex Noren, finished in tied 15th and we had ten of the top eighteen plus ties (10/23) in total in this second tier event.


*Poulter's withdrawal promoted Hatton into the top 19 of the GP Rankings.

Monday, 28 October 2019

2019 - Week 44 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions and statistics for this week, the WGC - HSBC Champions (European/US PGA Tour) and the Bermuda Championship (US PGA Tour), are now available on Golf Predictor. The field isn't quite as strong this year for the last WGC of the season, but ten of the top twenty in the world will still be teeing it up in Shanghai. That doesn't leave much top talent for Bermuda, where a second string line up will be battling it out. Alex Noren is the only one out of the world's top sixty that will be playing in the new event, so there is a good chance of a surprise winner!

2019 - Week 43 Winners

Steven Brown (ranked 74th by Golf Predictor) won the Portugal Masters on the European PGA Tour. The 32 year old Englishman won his first tour title with an impressive display in Vilamoura. Needing at least a third place finish to secure his card for next season, Brown held his nerve impressively with a closing 66 to put his poor season behind him and win by a shot from Justin Walters. That 66 included a brilliant 267 yard second shot on the long 12th to about five feet to set up an eagle. Our top ranked player, Matt Wallace, finished in tied 8th and we had eight of the top fourteen plus ties (8/20) at the birdiefest in the Algarve. 

Tiger Woods (ranked 10th by Golf Predictor) won the inaugural ZOZO Championship on the US PGA Tour. The 43 year old American won his record equalling 82nd title with an impressive performance at the first ever tour event held in Japan. Coming off  a relatively long lay-off and yet more knee surgery, Woods went wire to wire to add to his legend and tie Sam Snead for most tour wins. Our top ranked player, Rory McIlroy, overcame a slow start yet again to finish in tied 3rd. Overall, we had nine of the top seventeen plus ties (9/21) in total in this restricted field event.

Monday, 21 October 2019

2019 - Week 43 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions for this week, The ZOZO Championship (US PGA Tour) and the Portugal Masters (European PGA Tour) are now available on Golf Predictor. The PGA Tour moves to Japan for the first time, where Tiger Woods and Rory McIlroy are among the impressive field teeing it up near Tokyo. The field in Portugal is much more modest, but there are a significant number of European Tour regulars playing in the Algarve.

Sunday, 20 October 2019

2019 - Week 42 Winners

Nicolas Colsaerts (ranked 41st by Golf Predictor) won the Amundi Open de France on the European PGA Tour. The 36 year old Belgian won his third tour title in Paris, seven years after his last victory. Colsaerts prevailed on a nervy final day to win by one from Joachim B. Hansen. Needing a good finish to secure his card, Colsaerts got off to a great start on Sunday, increasing his lead to five shots after the first hole. However, he still managed to crack and find himself two behind George Coetzee with six to play. When the South African cracked, he found himself one behind Hansen with two to play. However, the Dane cracked with a poor double on seventeen, allowing a relieved and emotional Colsaerts to win. Our top ranked player, Alex Noren, finished in tied eighteenth and we managed to have eleven of the top twenty three plus ties (11/25*) on the testing layout with a weak field.

Justin Thomas (ranked 2nd by Golf Predictor) won The CJ Cup @ Nine Bridges on the US PGA Tour. The 26 year old American won his eleventh tour title and second CJ Cup in three years in South Korea. Thomas cemented his status as a good frontrunner by converting another 54 hole co-lead to take the title. Tied with Korean born Danny Lee overnight, Thomas prevailed by two shots after Lee carded two late bogeys to fall out of the running. Our top ranked player, Brooks Koepka, pulled out before the third round after slipping on a path and hurting his knee. Overall, we had thirteen of the top twenty plus ties (13/25) in the restricted field event.


*Withdrawals promote Ramsay into the top 25 of the GP rankings.

Monday, 14 October 2019

2019 - Week 42 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions and statistics for this week, the Amundi Open de France (European PGA Tour) and The CJ Cup @ Nine Bridges (US PGA Tour), are now available on Golf Predictor. The PGA Tour returns to South Korea and there is a decent (restricted) field heading to Jeju Island for the first week of the Asian Swing. While there are four members of the world's top twenty, including world number one Brooks Koepka, playing in Korea, the downgraded French event has a much weaker field as it is not a Rolex Series event this year.

2019 - Week 41 Winners

Bernd Wiesberger (ranked 8th by Golf Predictor) won the Italian Open on the European PGA Tour. The 34 year old Austrian continued his great season by winning for the third time this season. Wiesberger finished with a flawless 65 (-6) to beat overnight leader Matthew Fitzpatrick by a single shot. The Englishman will rue the seven on the par five ninth hole on Sunday. Our top ranked player, Justin Rose, had a very poor Saturday, but bounced back on Sunday to finish in tied 15th. Overall, we had ten of the top eighteen plus ties (10/23). 

Lanto Griffin (ranked 16th by Golf Predictor) won the Houston Open on the US PGA Tour. The 31 year old American won his first tour title with an impressive final day performance in Texas. Griffin prevailed in a battle with fellow recent Korn Ferry Tour graduates Scott Harrington and Mark Hubbard to win by a shot. Our top ranked player, Henrik Stenson, was one of many bigger names who failed to perform and disappointingly missed the cut. Overall, we only had seven of the top twenty one plus ties (7/22).

Monday, 7 October 2019

2019 - Week 41 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions and statistics for this week, the Houston Open (US PGA Tour) and the Italian Open (European PGA Tour) are now available on Golf Predictor It's the tournament's first year as a Fall Series event, so there's a much weaker field than usual in Houston. Now that it isn't a tune up for The Masters, just two of the top fifty in the world are teeing it up. Meanwhile, the latest Rolex Series event in Italy has attracted a somewhat better field, with four of the tour twenty in the world and a supporting cast of tour regulars.


2019 - Week 40 Winners

Jon Rahm (ranked 1st by Golf Predictor) won the Mutuactivos Open de Espana on the European PGA Tour. The 24 year old Spaniard and short odds favourite delighted the large home following by winning his national open for the second year running. Rahm easily saw off several compatriots and even with a bogey on his penultimate hole won by five shots from a fast finishing Rafa Cabrera Bello. Rahm was our top ranked player (by some margin!) and we had twelve of the top seventeen plus ties (12/22).

Kevin Na (ranked 34th by Golf Predictor) won the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open on the US PGA Tour. The 36 year old American put on an incredible display of putting to win in Las Vegas for the second time. Na holed a record setting just under 559 feet of putts (+14.262 strokes gained on the greens!), but still just pipped another former winner Patrick Cantlay in a play-off. Na was cruising to the win until a treble bogey on ten brought him back to the field, but he finally got the job done on the second extra hole. Our top ranked player, Brooks Koepka, yet again didn't perform at a regular event and missed the cut. Overall, we had only eight of the top eighteen plus ties (8/28), in a birdie fest where many of the lesser lights came to the fore.

Monday, 30 September 2019

2019 - Week 40 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions and statistics for this week, the Mutuactivos Open de Espana (European PGA Tour) and the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open (US PGA Tour) are now available on Golf Predictor. Local heroes John Rahm, Sergio Garcia and Rafa Cabrera Bello are headlining the field in Spain, where no doubt they will be hoping to delight the fans. Meanwhile, the Las Vegas event on the US PGA Tour has got an impressive field this year, with seven of the top twenty in the world teeing it up at TPC Summerlin.

2019 - Week 39 Winners

Victor Perez (ranked 70th by Golf Predictor) won the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship on the European PGA Tour. The 27 year old Frenchman won his first tour title with an impressive display in Scotland. In a week of low scoring, the Challenge Tour graduate held him nerve admirably in a final day battle with Matthew Southgate. The Englishman was also seeking his first win, but he bogeyed two of the last five to allow Perez to grab the lead and win by a single shot. Our top ranked player, Rory McIlroy, finished with six straight birdies, but could still only manage tied 26th. Overall, we only had seven of the top fifteen plus ties (7/22), in an event where many of the bigger names failed to perform.

Cameron Champ (ranked 86th by Golf Predictor) won the Safeway Open on the US PGA Tour. The 24 year old American won his second title in emotional circumstances in California. Despite not much form this season and his grandfather seriously ill in a nearby hospice, Champ somehow still managed to come out on top in Napa. Even though he increased his three shot overnight lead to five shots early on Sunday, Champ prevailed by the bare minimum in the end. Our top ranked player, Justin Thomas, finished in tied 4th, despite being a poor start to the tournament. Overall, we had eight of the top seventeen plus ties (8/22) in the relatively weak fielded event.

Monday, 23 September 2019

2019 - Week 39 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions and statistics for this week, the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship (European PGA Tour) and the Safeway Open (US PGA Tour), are now available on Golf Predictor. There are several big golfing names teeing it up in each event this week. Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm and Justin Rose lead a solid list of European Tour stalwarts teeing it up on the three courses in Scotland, where it looks like golfers and celebrities alike have the usual difficult weather conditions. Meanwhile, Justin Thomas, Francesco Molinari and Phil Mickelson are among the bigger names playing at the event in California.

Sunday, 22 September 2019

2019 - Week 38 Winners

Danny Willett (ranked 33rd by Golf Predictor) won the BMW PGA Championship on the European PGA Tour. The 31 year old Englishman delighted the home fans by winning his sixth tour title with an impressive final round at Wentworth. Tied with Jon Rahm overnight, Willett got off to a great start on Sunday and was never caught, despite the Spaniard's best efforts. Our top ranked player, Rory McIlroy, once shot himself out of a tournament early, but still finished tied ninth with a strong comeback. Overall, we had eleven of the top seventeen plus ties (11/20) on the testing Wentworth layout. 

Sebastian Munoz (ranked 18th by Golf Predictor) won the Sanderson Farms Championship on the US PGA Tour. The 26 year old Colombian won his first tour title in a play-off in Jackson. Trailing Sungjae Im by a stroke after 71 holes, Munoz birdied the difficult closing hole to force a play-off. After both missed the fairway and then the green, Munoz prevailed with a par putt on the first extra hole after Im pulled his effort badly wide. Our top ranked player, Brandt Snedeker, finished in tied 45th and we had nine of the top eighteen plus ties (9/22) in an event that is traditionally hard to call.

Bullet Charts Added to Golf Predictor

Season pane for F Molinari ahead of the 2019 BMW PGA Championship, showing 2 new bullet charts.

I am pleased to announce the addition of colourful new bullet charts to Golf Predictor. Bullet charts are a type of statistical chart that can be used to  show performance at a glance. I have adapted them for use with ranks (mostly field ranks, but also ranks for season and season segment data) in Golf Predictor, using the already available rank statistics on the various pages. This can be seen in the screenshot above of the Prediction Data page for Francesco Molinari ahead of the 2019 BMW PGA Championship.

There are several elements to a bullet chart:
  1. The chart is broken down into five colour coded ranges, from deep green to deep red, with values nearest the left hand side (green end) being better. Each region represents 20% of the entire chart range (see next point).
  2. The middle yellow range are average ranks and the entire chart range is the field size for the bullet charts on the Prediction Data page (varies from about 60 to over 200, depending on the event). For the bullet charts on other pages, the chart range is the total number of records (Season Segment Data) or number of records for that season (Season Segment Data).
  3. The horizontal gold line and vertical bar represent the actual rank for the player in question. The position of the vertical bar tells you immediately how good the rank is. As can be seen above, Molinari's rank for season average is in the top region (dark green), which is well inside the top 20% of the field. However, his rank for average finish in his last five events is not as impressive, being in the second region (lighter green).

Hovering over a coloured range on a bullet chart will tell you the top value (rank) for that range. Doing this on the right hand deep red range will tell you the entire chart range. Hovering over the horizontal gold line or vertical bar will show you the golfer rank. This is shown above for the last five events average rank for Molinari (36). This will be the same as the value shown in the relevant rank field on the page (can also be seen in the final data row above). Some notes on these new bullet charts:
    1. The bullet chart is hidden if the golfer has not played any relevant event and therefore does not have a rank for that metric.
    2. Some extremely good ranks may be difficult to see on the chart, especially when the entire chart range is large (i.e. Season Segment Data and Season Segment Data pages). This is because the horizontal gold line will be extremely short and you may only see the vertical gold line.
    3. These charts have been implemented using the same modestly sized JavaScript library as used for the box plots, so page performance should not be adversely affected. You may need to reload the library (press Ctrl+F5 on Windows) though, as I have amended the library slightly.

    There has been a total of eighteen new bullet charts added to the pages on the site that show statistical information on a golfer's results in a certain collection of tournaments. Specifically, the bullet plots have been added to the following pages:
    1. Season Data page (1 bullet chart for season results)
    2. Season Segment page (4 bullet charts for overall/early/mid/late season segment results)
    3. Prediction Data page (13 bullet charts for GP season/last five events/course/tournament/last twelve similar events/similar weather/similar length course results/region/field strength/season segment (same chart as shown in item 2)/DraftKings/PlayOn/strokes gained)

    This brings the total number of charts on the site crashing through the six hundred barrier to 604! I trust you will find these new bullet charts useful as a graphical representation of a golfer's performance in certain key areas relative to his peers. Just another way to make Golf Predictor even better!


    Monday, 16 September 2019

    2019 - Week 38 Predictions/Statistics Online

    The predictions and statistics for this week, the BMW PGA Championship (European PGA Tour) and the Sanderson Farms Championship (US PGA Tour), are now available on Golf Predictor. It's the flagship event on the European Tour this week and the new spot in the schedule has tempted Rory McIlroy and several other PGA Tour stars to tee it up on the testing Wentworth layout. While eight of the top twenty in the world will be teeing it up in England, a somewhat weaker line up will be battling it out in Mississippi. While stronger than other years, only four of the world's top fifty that will be playing in the event, so there is a decent chance of a surprise winner!

    Sunday, 15 September 2019

    2019 - Week 37 Winners

    Sergio Garcia (ranked 2nd by Golf Predictor) won the KLM Open on the European PGA Tour. The 39 year old Spaniard won his sixteenth tour title on his début in the event. Garcia, who had an up and down front nine, went three shots clear after sixteen holes. However, a bogey on the penultimate hole and a closing birdie by Nicolai Hojgaard meant Garcia won by a single stroke from the young Dane in the end. Our top ranked player, Patrick Reed, finished in tied 15th and in an event on a new course where many of the bigger names failed to perform, we had only six of the top fifteen plus ties (6/20).

    Joaquin Niemann (ranked 8th by Golf Predictor) won the A Military Tribute at the Greenbrier on the US PGA Tour. The 20 year old became the first Chilean to win on tour with an assured final round at Old White TPC. Niemann won in style with a great display of putting on Sunday to pull away and win by six shots in the end. Our top ranked player, Bryson DeChambeau, missed the cut and in an event with a lot of Korn Ferry Tour graduates, we had eight of the top nineteen plus ties (8/23) in total.

    Monday, 9 September 2019

    2019 - Week 37 Predictions/Statistics Online

    The predictions/stats for this week, A Military Tribute at the Greenbrier (US PGA Tour) and the KLM Open (European PGA Tour) are now available on Golf Predictor There are not many big names teeing it up in either event this week, with just two members of the top twenty in the world teeing it up in both events combined. Patrick Reed continues his European odyssey in Amsterdam, while Bryson DeChambeau is headlining the field in the US, where the new PGA Tour season is starting up in West Virginia.

    Sunday, 8 September 2019

    2019 - Week 36 Winner

    Paul Casey (ranked 2nd by Golf Predictor) won the Porsche European Open on the European PGA Tour. The 42 year old Englishman won his fourteenth tour title with an impressive display in Germany. Starting the final day a shot behind Robert MacIntyre and Bernd Ritthammer, Casey put on another great display from tee to green to stay right in the mix coming down the stretch. The Englishman then birdied the sixteen and seventeenth holes to give himself the cushion he needed to claim his first tour title in five years by one shot. Our top ranked player, Patrick Reed, finished in tied 36th, and we had six of the top seventeen plus ties (6/19) in the weather affected event. 

    There was no event on the US PGA Tour this week.

    Tuesday, 3 September 2019

    2019 - Week 36 Predictions/Statistics Online

    The predictions and statistics for this week, the Porsche European Open (European PGA Tour), are now available on Golf Predictor. Not many big names at the European Open, where Patrick Reed headlines the event. The former Masters champion is joined by several other PGA Tour regulars, including Paul Casey and Xander Schauffele, who are playing on this side of the pond during the brief US PGA close season.

    Sunday, 1 September 2019

    2019 - Week 35 winner

    Sebastian Soderberg (ranked 76th by Golf Predictor) won the Omega European Masters on the European PGA Tour. The 28 year old Swede won his first tour title by in a five man play-off in the scenic Swiss mountains.After he three putted the penultimate hole from seven feet, it looked like Soderberg's chances were gone. However, a par at the last was good enough to get in a play-off with Rory McIlroy, Andres Romero, Lorenzo Gagli and Kalle Samooja. Soderberg was the only man to find the fairway on the first extra hole and was one of three in close with their second shots. The Swede putted first and his birdie put McIlroy and Samooja off sufficiently to miss from closer in. McIlroy was our top ranked player and in an event where many of the bigger names failed to perform, we had only five of the top twelve plus ties (5/19). 

    There was no event on the US PGA Tour this week.

    Monday, 26 August 2019

    2019 - Week 35 Predictions/Statistics Online

    The predictions and statistics for this week, the Omega European Masters (European PGA Tour), are now available on Golf Predictor. As usual, there is a decent field of tour members assembled for the popular track in Switzerland this week. The event is headlined by world number two and newly crowned FedEx Cup champion Rory McIlroy, who is joined by several other members of the US PGA Tour, now that their usual tour is in its brief close season.

    Sunday, 25 August 2019

    2019 - Week 34 Winners

    Erik van Rooyen (ranked 5th by Golf Predictor) won the Scandinavian Invitation on the European PGA Tour. The 29 year old South African finally captured his first tour title with a gutsy one shot victory in Sweden. After starting strongly on Sunday, van Rooyen built up a three shot lead early in the back nine. However, in a nervy finish, he just managed to edge out Matthew Fitzpatrick with a birdie on the final hole. Our top ranked player, home favourite Henrik Stenson, finished in tied 3rd and although many of the bigger names didn't perform, we had eleven of the top twenty plus ties (11/28).

    Rory McIlroy (ranked 2nd by Golf Predictor) won the Tour Championship (and therefore the FedEx Cup) on the US PGA Tour. The 30 year old Northern Irishman capped a good year by taking the lucrative season ending title at East Lake. Unlike recent times, McIlroy was particularly impressive on Sunday, save for a brief spell on the back nine. That allowed him to come through to win by four from Xander Schauffele, despite starting five shots behind Justin Thomas on -5 in the new handicap system. Our top ranked player, Brooks Koepka, faded on the back nine with some poor putting and finished in tied 3rd. Overall, we had fourteen of the top sixteen plus ties (14/18)* in the restricted field event.  


    *The handicapped start makes this comparison pretty irrelevant!

    Monday, 19 August 2019

    2019 - Week 34 Predictions/Statistics Online

    The predictions for this week, the Tour Championship (US PGA Tour) and the Scandinavian Invitation (European PGA Tour) are now available on Golf Predictor. Only the top thirty in the FedEx Cup rankings are playing in the US season finale this week and it's the usual cream of the crop, with some exceptions e.g. Tiger Woods and Jordan Spieth. The field in Sweden is obviously nowhere near as strong, with local favourites Henrik Stenson and Alex Noren among the bigger names in the event.

    Sunday, 18 August 2019

    2019 - Week 33 Winners

    Thomas Pieters (ranked 7th by Golf Predictor) won the D+D REAL Czech Masters on the European PGA Tour. The 27 year old Belgian won his fourth tour title and first in three years in Prague. In doing so, Pieters became the first man to win the event twice and continued his streak of winning all his events in the month from mid August! Pieters had built up a four shot cushion on the back nine, but a good finish by Adri Arnaus meant the final winning margin was a single shot. Our top ranked player, Bernd Wiesberger, finished 30th and we had only five of the top eighteen plus ties (5/23) in the weak fielded event. 

    Justin Thomas (ranked 6th by Golf Predictor) won the second event of the FedEx Cup play-offs, the BMW Championship. The 26 year old American won his tenth tour title with an impressive victory at Medinah. Leading by six overnight, Thomas was put under some pressure by Patrick Cantlay and others, with his lead being reduced to two shots at one stage. However, he steadied the ship down the stretch and won by three in the end. Our top ranked player, Brooks Koepka, finished well for tied 24th and we had twelve of the top nineteen plus ties (12/23).

    Monday, 12 August 2019

    2019 - Week 33 Predictions/Statistics Online

    The predictions and statistics for this week, the D+D REAL Czech Masters (European PGA Tour) and the BMW Championship (US PGA Tour), are now available on Golf Predictor. It's the second leg of the FedEx Cup play-offs in the US this week and the pressure will be on to qualify for the lucrative Tour Championship next week. As usual, the bigger names are still in FedEx Cup contention in America and the top twenty four players in the world are teeing it up at Medinah. The field in the Czech Republic is obviously not quite as impressive, with only seven members of the top hundred in the world playing in Prague. However, with a five week hiatus since the last regular event, the European Tour players will be chomping at the bit!


    Sunday, 11 August 2019

    2019 - Week 32 Winner

    Patrick Reed (ranked 11th by Golf Predictor) won The Northern Trust on the US PGA Tour. The 29 year old American won his seventh tour title in the first FedEx Cup play-off event in New Jersey. Leading by one shot overnight, Reed fell behind Jon Rahm after the front nine on Sunday. However, a couple of dropped shots by the Spaniard in conjunction with two birdies and a gutsy par save by Reed meant he reclaimed the lead. Despite a tight back, Reed then saw it home, beating Abraham Ancer by a single shot with a closing par. Our top ranked player, Brooks Koepka, finished tied 30th and despite several of the stellar field not performing, we had ten of the top eighteen plus ties (10/20) in total.

    There was no event on the European PGA Tour this week.  

    Monday, 5 August 2019

    2019 - Week 32 Predictions/Statistics Online

    The predictions and statistics for this week, The Northern Trust (US PGA Tour), are now available on Golf Predictor. It's the first week of the lucrative FedEx Cup play-offs on the US PGA Tour and once again, there is an impressive line up in New Jersey. It's a different course this year and there are forty two of the top fifty players in the world teeing it up at Liberty National this week.

    There is no event on the European PGA Tour this week.   

    2019 - Week 31 Winner

    J.T. Poston (ranked 87th by Golf Predictor) won the Wyndham Championship on the US PGA Tour. The 26 year old American won his first tour title with an impressive display at Sedgefield Country Club. Poston became the first player since Lee Trevino in 1974 to win a tournament by going bogey free. Poston was in a final day battle with Byeong Hun An, who was also bogey free for the week until the fifteenth on Sunday. That bogey gave Poston some breathing space and when An also bogeyed the final hole, he fell to third behind tournament favourite Webb Simpson. Simpson was our top ranked player and in an event where many of the bigger names failed to perform, we had six of the top nineteen  plus ties (6/21) in total.  

    There was no event on the European PGA Tour this week.   

    Monday, 29 July 2019

    2019 - Week 31 Predictions/Statistics Online

    The predictions and statistics for this week, the Wyndham Championship (US PGA Tour), are now available on Golf Predictor. There are not many big names competing in America  this week, with the Wyndham Championship coming right before the play-offs and after two big tournaments. However, there is a host of middle tier guys trying to improve/maintain their place in the FedEx Cup standings ahead of those play-offs.

    There is no event on the European PGA Tour this week.   

    2019 - Week 30 Winners

    Brooks Koepka (ranked 1st by Golf Predictor) won the WGC - Bridgestone Invitational on the European/US PGA Tour. The 29 year old American won his first WGC title and second title of the season in the tournament's first staging in Memphis. Despite only arriving at the course less than an hour before his tee time, Koepka won easily, finishing three shots clear of Webb Simpson. The final round shoot-out with his final round playing partner Rory McIlroy never materialised, with the Northern Irishman closing another up and down tournament with a poor performance. Koepka was our top ranked player and we had twelve of the top twenty plus ties (12/23) in total.

    Colin Murikawa (ranked 7th by Golf Predictor) won the Barracuda Championship on the US PGA Tour. The 22 year old American rookie secured his first tour title with an impressive finish in the modified Stableford event. Morikawa birdied four of the last five holes to win by three points, thus realising his early potential. Our top ranked player, Martin Kaymer finished in tied 31st and we had eleven of the top eighteen plus ties (11/24*) in the second tier event. 


    *Vegas withdrew due to the arrival of his new son, promoting Sloan to the top 24 of the GP Rankings.

    Monday, 22 July 2019

    2019 - Week 30 Predictions/Statistics Online

    The predictions and statistics for this week, the WGC - FedEx St. Jude Invitational (European/US PGA Tour) and the Barracuda Championship (US PGA Tour), are now available on Golf Predictor. While there aren't many big golfing names teeing it up in Reno this week, the WGC makes up for it with the vast majority of the world's top fifty golfers!

    2019 - Week 29 Winners

    Shane Lowry (ranked 36th by Golf Predictor) won The Open Championship on the European/US PGA Tour. The 32 year old Irishman delighted the huge home crowd with a brilliant victory at Royal Portrush, which was hosting the tournament for the first time since 1951. Leading by four overnight after a brilliant 63 on Saturday, Lowry was never really threatened in the extremely difficult conditions on Sunday and won by six shots in the end. Our top ranked player, Brooks Koepka, started poorly on Sunday, but still finished tied 4th and we had eleven of the top twenty plus ties (11/29) in the weather affected tournament. 

    Jim Herman (ranked 96th by Golf Predictor) won the Barbasol Championship on the US PGA Tour. The 41 year old American overcome some poor form to win his second tour title in Kentucky. Despite only making Sunday twice in nineteen events this season, Herman came out on top by one stroke at the birdie fest, pipping Kelly Kraft to the title. Our top ranked player, Jhonattan Vegas, finished in 64th and we had seven of the top eighteen plus ties (7/21) in total in this second tier event.