Monday, 11 December 2017

2017 - Week 49 Winner

Shubhankar Sharma (ranked 40th by Golf Predictor) won the Joburg Open on the European PGA Tour. The 21 year old Indian won his first tour title with an impressive display in Johannesburg. Despite having to sit on a final round lead for two nights, sue to severe storms necessitating a Monday finish, Sharma showed great maturity to hold off a charging Erik van Rooyen for the win. In a profitable first visit to South Africa, Sharma also made me very happy as I had backed/tipped him at 100/1! Our top ranked player, Dylan Frittelli, finished in tied 42nd and we had nine of the top nineteen plus ties (9/26) in this event with a large, poor field and difficult weather conditions!

There was no event on the US PGA Tour this week.

Monday, 4 December 2017

2017 - Week 49 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions and statistics for this week, the Joburg Open (European PGA Tour) are now available on Golf Predictor. The European PGA Tour returns to South Africa for the second running of the tournament in 2017. In addition to a new slot on the calendar on the 2018 European Tour season, the tournament also moves to two new courses, while its usual home gets renovated. Coupled with the usual large weak field, this makes it a bit of a lottery once again. This year, the field seems even weaker than normal, with only two members of the world's top one hundred teeing it up in Johannesburg. On the bright side, one of those is former major champion Louis Oosthuizen, who is the overwhelming favourite for the second week running.

Sunday, 3 December 2017

2017 - Week 48 Winners

Dylan Frittelli (ranked 2nd by Golf Predictor) won the AfrAsia Bank Mauritius Open on the European PGA Tour. The 27 year old South African won his second tour title in a play-off in windy Mauritius. Frittelli prevailed over Arjun Atwal with a birdie at the first extra hole after the pair had finished tied on -16 after 72 holes. Our top ranked player, Louis Oosthuizen, had a costly treble bogey on the 70th hole, but still finished tied 12th. Overall, we had six of the top sixteen plus ties (6/19) in the weak fielded event in difficult conditions. 

Cameron Smith (ranked 4th by Golf Predictor) won the Australian PGA Championship on the European PGA Tour. The 24 year old Australian made it a great weekend for Cameron Smiths by winning his maiden European tour title in a final day battle down with long time leader Jordan Zunic. After his namesake lade the Aussies to victory in the rugby league world cup final, Smith overcame a three shot overnight deficit to prevail on the second extra hole over third round leader Zunic. Our top ranked golfer, Sergio Garcia, finished poorly for tied 24th and despite the weather and limited history in the system, we had eight of the top twenty plus ties (8/23) in total. 

There was no official event on the US PGA Tour this week. Golf Predictor doesn't cover the (very) restricted field junket that is the Hero Challenge, even if Tiger had a promising return to action!

Sunday, 26 November 2017

Tournament/Course Information Panel Replaced on Golf Predictor


Old Tournament/Course Panel on Prediction Page for the 2017 Shriners Hospital for Children Open

New Tournament and Course Information Cards for the Same Event

Further to my recent posts on information cards (e,g. this post), I am pleased to announce that the way tournament and course information on many pages on Golf Predictor has been updated. The original panel, shown in the first screenshot above, has been replaced with cards similar to those described in the linked post above. Some notes on these new cards:
  1. You may have to reload a page to see them. This is because pages you have looked at are cached on your browser for performance reasons.
  2. As can be seen above, the course par and length have been added to the new course card.
  3. The course lengths used are the latest available, so the information may not be 100% accurate for previous seasons. 
  4. Course pars can also change occasionally, e.g. Torrey Pines played to a par 71 for the 2008 US Open. The par used for the tournament is displayed in this new course information card.
I hope you will agree that these new cards are an improvement over the previous panel. Just another way to make Golf Predictor a little better!


2017 - Week 47 Winner

Wade Ormsby (ranked 15th by Golf Predictor) won the UBS Hong Kong Open on the European PGA Tour. The 37 year old Australian finally won his first tour title in an error filled finish in China. As the field bunched down the stretch, thanks mainly to round one-three leader Chawrasia going backwards with a treble on the ninth, Ormsby pipped his competitors by a single shot. Alexander Bjork pulled his short par putt on the last to finish one back, Ormsby closed with a three putt bogey and Cabrera Bello hit a nervy short bunker shot and missed the putt to force a play-off. An emotional Ormsby didn't mind as he put his injury problems and trips to qualifying school behind him. Our top ranked golfer, Justin Rose, finished tied 10th and we had ten of the top nineteen plus ties (10/22) in total. 

There was no event on the US PGA Tour this week.

Monday, 20 November 2017

2017 - Week 47 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions and statistics for this week, the UBS Hong Kong Open (European PGA Tour) are now available on Golf Predictor. It's the first week of the 2018 European Tour, even though it's still 2017 and of course, it's not in Europe! There are several big names and a strong contingent of tour regulars playing in Hong Kong Open this year. The in-form Justin Rose will be hoping to put the disappointment of his back nine mini collapse in Dubai last week behind him.

There is no event on the US PGA Tour this week.

Sunday, 19 November 2017

2017 - Week 46 Winners

John Rahm (ranked 5th by Golf Predictor) won the DP World Tour Championship, Dubai on the European PGA Tour. The 23 year old Spanish Rookie of the Year capped a great début season with victory at the season ending event in Dubai. Rahm finished with a blemish free 67 to pip Kiradech Aphibarnrat and a fast finishing Shane Lowry to the lucrative title. Tommy Fleetwood secured the Race to Dubai title, despite stumbling home on Sunday. Luckily for him, nearest challenger Justin Rose, also faltered on the back nine after being imperious on the front nine. Rose was our top ranked player and still finished tied fourth in the end. Overall, we had fourteen of the top twenty one plus ties (14/23) 

Austin Cook (ranked 59th by Golf Predictor) won The RSM Classic on the US PGA Tour. The 26 year old American rookie won his first PGA Tour title with an assured performance in Georgia. After hitting the front with a second round 62, Cook showed great maturity to hold off the field and win comfortably by four shots in the end. Our top ranked player, Matt Kuchar, finished in tied 29th and in an event that's usually hard to predict, we had only five of the top seventeen plus ties (5/21) overall. 

Thursday, 16 November 2017

More Information Cards added to Golf Predictor

News cards and A-Z Picker on Courses page ('T' chosen)
Further to this post from a few weeks ago, I am pleased to announce that information cards have been added to more pages on Golf Predictor. Some of the stats shown in these new cards will obviate the need to sort the data table underneath them to an extent, while some of other stats are not shown on the data tables at all. As can be seen in the screenshot above showing courses beginning with "T", the stats on the cards are relevant to the page they are displayed on. Cards have been added to the following pages:

Predictions Menu
  1. Prediction Rankings (Streaks)
  2. Prediction Rankings (Odds)
  3. Prediction Rankings (DFS)
  4. Prediction Rankings (Strokes Gained)
  5. Prediction Rankings (Streaks)

Form Menu
  1. Same Course
  2. Same Tournament
  3. GP Season
  4. Last 5 Events
  5. Similar Tournaments
  6. Same Region
  7. Early/Mid/Late/Overall Season
  8. Round Scores
  9. R1 Performance Analysis
  10. R2 Performance Analysis
  11. R3 Performance Analysis

Information Menu
  1. Courses
  2. Tournaments
  3. Tournaments (Course)
  4. Tournaments (Field Strength)
  5. Golfers

Results Menu
  1. Results by GP Season

Other Stats Menu
  1. Winners (World Rankings)
  2. Winners (Pred Rankings)
  3. Tournament Stats
  4. Tournament Stats (Rounds)
  5. GP Season Stats
  6. GP Season Stats (Rounds)

I've also updated the A-Z picker on the Course and Tournaments pages on the Information menu. The new look picker can be seen in the screenshot above. Some notes on the new information cards:
  1. You may have to reload a page to see the new cards. This is because pages you have looked at are cached on your browser for performance reasons.
  2. You may have to reload a page to see the latest stats on some cards as golfers/results etc. are added every week.
  3. Like before, I tried to use appropriate images in the cards. Sometimes, that wasn't possible to do from the choices available in Font Awesome.
  4. The round averages on the Results and Tournament Stats pages shows the values for rounds one to four. For old Bob Hope five round tournaments, the round five average is omitted.
  5. I have added the percentage of the field that the most common nationality makes up on the existing nationality card on the Prediction Rankings page.
  6. All the stats on these new cards are available to all users.
  7. The winner stats cards counts a multiple winner separately each time he wins, e.g. in the count and nationality stats.
  8. The course lengths used are the latest available, so the average/max/min lengths may not be 100% accurate for previous seasons on pages like the Tournaments page.

I hope you will find all these extra new cards useful. A lot of work has gone into providing them and a total of 28 pages have been updated on the site with these great new cards. Just another way to make Golf Predictor even better.
















Monday, 13 November 2017

2017 - Week 46 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions/statistics for this week, the DP World Tour Championship, Dubai (European PGA Tour) and The RSM Classic (US PGA Tour), are now available on Golf Predictor. It's the last event of the season (but not the year!) on the European PGA Tour and the last event of the year (but not the season!) on the US Tour! Although there is no Rory McIlroy or Henrik Stenson this year due to injury, there is still a strong field of tour regulars for the season finale. While seven of the top twenty in the world are teeing it up in Dubai, the field is more modest in Georgia. Mat Kuchar headlines the field and it will be the last chance before January for the lesser lights to put some FedEx Cup points on the board.

Sunday, 12 November 2017

2017 - Week 45 Winners

Branden Grace (ranked 9th by Golf Predictor) won the Nedbank Golf Challenge on the European PGA Tour. The 29 old South African delighted the home crowd by winning "Africa's Major" at Sun City. Despite trailing overnight by three shots, Grace played hit all eighteen greens in an impressive closing 66 (-6) on the tough Sun City layout to overtake Scott Jamieson and Victor Dubuisson. Our top ranked golfer, Tyrrell Hatton, bounced back from a poor finish on Saturday to finish in tied nineteenth place. Overall, we had seventeen of the top nineteen plus ties (17/26*) in total. 

Patton Kizzire (ranked 49th by Golf Predictor) won the OHL Classic at Mayakoba on the US PGA Tour. The 31 year old American held off favourite Rickie Fowler to win his maiden tour title in stormy Mexico. Despite having a three or four shot cushion for most of the final round, Fowler turned the screw on Kizzire with late birdies to cut the deficit to a single shot on the last. However, he wasn't able to repeat the trick on the last and a relieved Kizzire was able to par the last for the win. Fowler was our top ranked player and in an event plagued by weather delays, we had ten of the top fourteen plus ties (10/19).


* Uihlein's withdrawal promoted Sterne into the top 26 of the GP rankings.

Monday, 6 November 2017

2017 - Week 45 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions and statistics for this week, the Nedbank Golf Challenge (European PGA Tour) and the OHL Classic at Mayakoba (US PGA Tour), are now available on Golf Predictor. Race to Dubai leader Tommy Fleetwood will be hoping to rebuild his lead over nearest challenger Justin Rose in South Africa. He'll need the biggest cushion he can get, given how Rose has been playing recently! Meanwhile, Rickie Fowler makes his first appearance in the Mexican tournament this year, headlining the field with defending champion and recent winner Pat Perez.

2017 - Week 44 Winners

Justin Rose (ranked 1st by Golf Predictor) won the Turkish Airlines Open on the European PGA Tour. The 37 year old Englishman won his second title in as many weeks with another impressive final day performance in Turkey. Rose came from two shots back on a packed leaderboard with a closing 65 (-6) to win by a single shot. Even with his good play, it took a great birdie on the last for him to pip Nicolas Colsaerts and Dylan Frittelli to the title. Rose was our top ranked player and we had eleven of the top twenty plus ties (11/22).

Patrick Cantlay (ranked 7th by Golf Predictor) won the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open on the US PGA Tour. The 25 year old American put his injuries and personal problems behind him by fulfilling his early promise and winning on tour. The former amateur star outlasted Whee Kim and Alex Cejka in a two hole play-off in fading light and windy conditions to take the title. In the end, a par was enough for Cantlay, who got the best of his opponents on his third trip down the brutal eighteenth hole on Sunday. Our top ranked player, Tony Finau, finished tied 16th and we had only eleven of the top twenty plus ties (11/31), in an event where many of the lesser lights came to the fore in the difficult conditions.

Saturday, 4 November 2017

Information Cards added to Golf Predictor


New cards on Prediction Page showing tournament information for the 2017 Shriners Hospital for Children Open

I am happy to announce the addition of information cards to the main Ranking page (Predictions Menu) on Golf Predictor. These colourful new cards show useful tournament information, some of which is already available on the Tournament page. The stats displayed on these cards are:
  1. The Field Size and maximum Performance Likelihood in the field.
  2. The Field Strength and average World Ranking in the field.
  3. The number of nationalities in the field and the country with the most golfers.
These new cards are shown in the screenshot above for the 2017 Shriners Hospital for Children Open. This screenshot was taken before the tee-off groups were added, so some of the stats have since changed (see note six below). Some notes on these new cards:
  1. The card colours were chosen to fit with the existing site colour scheme.
  2. I tried to pick the most appropriate image for each card from the options available in the Font Awesome list!
  3. Like in other locations on the site, only subscribers can see the Field Strength metric on the card. Non-subscribers will see a Subscribe link instead. All other card information is viewable by all users.
  4. At any given time, some new golfers on the US Tour may have a nationality of "UNK", which is the default when it is not known. I fix these on a regular basis, but it may make the nationality breakdown for some US events slightly inaccurate for a short period. This problem does not affect golfers on the European Tour.
  5. You may have to refresh the page files in your browser cache to see these cards properly in the first place. The easiest way to do this on Windows is to press Ctrl+F5 on the page. Alternatively, you can clear your browser cache, but this will also affect other sites.
  6. You may also have to refresh the page after the tee-off groups are added (usually on Tuesday evening, GMT). This is because this process can alter the field statistics as players are added or removed from the field.  
  7. Due to the proceeding three points, it is advised to reload this page after the addition of tee groups (usually on Tuesday) to ensure you are looking at the most up to date information.

I hope you will find these new cards useful. I will probably add similar ones to other pages in the future. Just another way to make Golf Predictor a little bit better.



Monday, 30 October 2017

2017 - Week 44 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions and statistics for this week, the Turkish Airlines Open (European PGA Tour) and the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open (US PGA Tour), are now available on Golf Predictor. The European Tour heads back to Turkey for the final three events of the Rolex Series. Although Matt Kuchar pulled out due to security concerns, there are four European members of the top twenty in the world rankings playing, included last week's WGC champion Justin Rose. Meanwhile, the Las Vegas event on the US PGA Tour hasn't got many big names competing in it this year. Only five of the top fifty in the world are teeing it up at TPC Summerlin, so the lesser lights will have another chance to make their mark on tour.

2017 - Week 43 Winners

Justin Rose (ranked 8th by Golf Predictor) won the WGC - HSBC Champions on the European/US PGA Tour. The 37 year old Englishman won his second WGC title with a great final day performance in Shanghai. Rose overcame an eight shot deficit by covering the back nine in 31 strokes for a closing 67 (-5). That allowed him to overhaul runaway leader Dustin Johnson and win by two strokes in the end. It was a terrible day for the former champion and world number one Johnson, who went birdieless and frittered away his commanding six shot overnight lead with a 77 (+5) on Sunday. DJ was our top ranked player and we had nine of the top fifteen plus ties (9/19) in total.

Ryan Armour (ranked 40th by Golf Predictor) won the Sanderson Farms Championship on the US PGA Tour. The 41 year old short hitting American journeyman did something the long hitting world number one couldn't do in China by protecting a significant overnight lead. Leading by five shots overnight, Armour easily kept the field at bay with an impressive short game to win his first title after 105 times of asking. Our top ranked player, William McGirt finished in tied 25th and we had only six of the top eighteen plus ties (6/24) in an event that is traditionally hard to call.

Monday, 23 October 2017

2017 - Week 43 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions and statistics for this week, the WGC - HSBC Champions (European/US PGA Tour) and the Sanderson Farms Championship (US PGA Tour), are now available on Golf Predictor. There is a very strong field again this year for the last WGC of the season. While fifteen of the top twenty in the world will be teeing it up in Shanghai, a second string line up will be battling it out in Mississippi. William McGirt is the only one out of the world's top one hundred that will be playing in the event, so there is a good chance of a surprise winner!

Sunday, 22 October 2017

2017 - Week 42 Winners

Host Sergio Garcia (ranked 2nd by Golf Predictor) won the Andalucia Valderrama Masters hosted by the Sergio Garcia Foundation on the European PGA Tour. The 37 year old Spaniard won his fourteenth tour title and sixth on home soil with an impressive display at Valderrama. Garcia was the defending champion, having won the event on its last staging in 2011 on the same course. Although he was pushed all the way by Joost Luiten, the home favourite successfully defended his title after a six year gap. Our top ranked player, Jon Rahm, couldn't get to grips with the tough Valderrama layout and missed the cut. Overall, we had eleven of the top eighteen plus ties (11/22).
 
Justin Thomas (ranked 1st by Golf Predictor) won The CJ Cup @ Nine Bridges on the US PGA Tour. The 24 year old American continued his great recent play by winning his seventh tour title and sixth in last twelve months in a play-off with Marc Leishman. After opening with a fine 63, Thomas didn't play as well in the more difficult windy conditions over the following three days. However, he just did enough to pip Leishman to the title. Both had chances to win in regulation with fantastic approaches for eagle at the last, but both missed and they went to a play-off. Thomas won on the second extra hole after Leishman found water with his second shot. Thomas was our top ranked player and we had twelve of the top nineteen plus ties (12/22) in the new restricted field event.

Saturday, 21 October 2017

More Tabs Added to Pages

New tabs on Prediction Data page for Justin Thomas ahead of the CJ Cup @ Nine Bridges

Further to this post from around a month ago, I am pleased to announce that more pages on Golf Predictor have been "tabified". In addition to the Golfer page (the first page updated with tabs), the Season Segment Data, Tournament and Prediction Data pages have all similarly been divided into tabs. As stated previously, this allows for better display of related information and easier, more modular development. The following is the list of new tabs:
  1. Season Segment Data Page (4): Overall, Early, Mid and Late season segment performance tabs.
  2. Tournament Page (4): General, Historical, Performance and Results tabs.
  3. Prediction Data Page (9): General Stats, Season/Last Five Event history, Course /Tournament History, Similar Tournament History, Similar Length Course History, Similar Weather History, Region History, Season Segment Stats and Other (DFS, Strokes Gained & Performance comparison table) tabs.
Unlike before, all related information is now displayed together, which should make for easier analysis. For example, in the screenshot above, you can see the Similar Length Course history panel for Justin Thomas ahead of the new CJ Cup @ Nine Bridges, which shows his stats panel and results table together. Previously, his stats panels were near the top of the Prediction Data page and all his results tables were much further down at the bottom of the page. Some notes on these new tabs:
  1. The tab names have been kept short to facilitate their display on smaller screens. If you are unsure about any tab title, simply click on it to see the heading.
  2. The modular development allowed by these tabs is already bearing fruit. I have added new stats to the Season Segment tab on the Prediction Data page and this code is exactly the same code that appears in the relevant tab (Early/Mid/Late) on the Season Segment Data page for the same golfer.
  3. The tabs have been restyled for smaller devices so that the nine tabs on the Prediction Data page are displayed on a single line. Of course, if further tabs are added in the future, this will probably not be possible on very small devices.
  4. You may have to reload/refresh site pages that may be cached on your browser. To do this on Windows, press Ctrl+F5 to reload all the updated files from the server.
As with the tabs added to the Golfer page, it may take a little time to get used to this data reorganisation, but I trust you will find it better in the long run. Just another way to make Golf Predictor a little better!


Monday, 16 October 2017

2017 - Week 42 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions and statistics for this week, the Andalucia Valderrama Masters hosted by the Sergio Garcia Foundation (European PGA Tour) and The CJ Cup @ Nine Bridges (US PGA Tour) are now available on Golf Predictor. The PGA Tour moves into a new part of the world and there is a decent field heading to Jeju Island in South Korea. Of course, the European Tour have held tournaments (Ballantines Championship three times) there before, albeit on a different course. Meanwhile in the revived event on the European Tour, host Sergio Garcia is headlining the field with compatriot Jon Rahm in the first running of the tournament since 2011.

Sunday, 15 October 2017

2017 - Week 41 Winners

Tyrell Hatton (ranked 8th by Golf Predictor) won the Italian Open on the European PGA Tour. The 25 year old Englishman continued his fine recent form by winning for the second week running. After a slow start Sunday, Hatton reeled off four consecutive birdies on the back nine to catch leaders Ross Fisher and Kiradech Aphibarnrat with three holes to go. He left it late to seal the win though, holing a 20 footer on the last for the winning birdie. Our top ranked player, John Rahm, finished in tied 15th and we had seven of the top fifteen plus ties (7/20).

Pat Perez (ranked 5th by Golf Predictor) won the CIMB Classic on the US PGA Tour. The 41 year old American won his third tour title with an impressive display in Malaysia. Perez lead by four shots overnight and finished with ten straight pars to coast home and preserve his cushion over the field. Since I had backed/tipped him at 45/1, I was almost as happy as Perez after his victory! Our top ranked player, Hideki Matsuyama, finished in tied 5th in a welcome return to form and we had nine of the top seventeen plus ties (9/20).

Monday, 9 October 2017

2017 - Week 41 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions and statistics for this week, the CIMB Classic (US PGA Tour) and the Italian Open (European PGA Tour) are now available on Golf Predictor. Like the past few years, the Kuala Lumpur Golf and Country Club is hosting the US Tour. There are a few big names in the Malaysian event this year, including Hideki Matsuyama and double defending champion Justin Thomas, so it should make for a good week of golf. Meanwhile, the latest Rolex Series event in Italy has attracted Spanish heavyweights Sergio Garcia and Jon Rahm and a supporting cast of tour regulars.

2017 - Week 40 Winners

Tyrell Hatton (ranked 5th by Golf Predictor) won the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship on the European PGA Tour. The 25 year old Englishman became the first man to successfully defend his title with another impressive display in Scotland. Leading by five overnight and starting fast, it looked like it was going to be a doddle for Hatton. However, Ross Fisher went on a charge and had a chance of a 59, before settling for a course record 61. That meant Hatton couldn't relax down the stretch and had to settle for a three shot win. Our top ranked player, Rory McIlroy, failed to sign off in 2017 in style and finished in tied 63rd. Overall, we only had seven of the top fifteen plus ties (7/24*).

Brendan Steele (ranked 20th by Golf Predictor) won the Safeway Open on the US PGA Tour. The 34 year old American also became the first man to successfully defend his title in California. In the difficult conditions on Sunday, Steele shot an impressive 69 (-9) to come from two back and win by two shots in the end. Our top ranked player, Phil Mickelson, somehow finished in tied 3rd, despite being all over the place off the tee! Overall, we had fifteen of the top seventeen plus ties (15/27). 


*Withdrawals mean Bourdy & Warren are promoted to the top 24 of the GP Rankings. 

Monday, 2 October 2017

2017 - Week 40 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions and statistics for this week, the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship (European PGA Tour) and the Safeway Open (US PGA Tour), are now available on Golf Predictor. It's the first event of the new 2017/18 US PGA Tour season, but after the Presidents Cup last week, there not many big guns trying to get their new campaigns off to a flying start.While there aren't many big golfing names teeing it up in either event, Rory McIlroy and a solid list of European Tour stalwarts are teeing it up on the three courses in Scotland. It looks like golfers and celebrities alike have the usual difficult weather conditions for the event!

Sunday, 1 October 2017

2017 - Week 39 Winner

Paul Dunne (ranked 23rd by Golf Predictor) won the British Masters supp. by Sky Sports on the European PGA Tour. The 24 year old Irishman claimed his maiden tour title with a brilliant final day performance at Close House. Dunne closed with 61 (-9), to hold off the fast finishing Rory McIlroy. After birdieing the penultimate hole, Dunne gave himself a two shot cushion on the par three finishing hole. However, after he missed the green, the door was slightly ajar for McIlroy. Dunne then proceeded to pitch in to win in style and by three shots in the end. Our top ranked player, Sergio Garcia, missed the cut, and we had nine of the top fifteen plus ties (9/19).

There was no individual stroke play event on the US PGA Tour this week as it is the short close season (and the week of the Presidents Cup!).

Monday, 25 September 2017

2017 - Week 39 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions and statistics for this week, the British Masters supp. by Sky Sports (European PGA Tour) are now available on Golf Predictor. There is no event on the US PGA Tour this week as it is still the short close season and the Presidents Cup is being held (Golf Predictor is not suitable for team matchplay events). Lee Westwood has managed to attract some big European names to the event in England, where the tournament has moved to yet another new course and another new host. This doesn't make the task of forecasting it any easier!

Sunday, 24 September 2017

2017 - Week 38 Winners

Lucas Bjerregaard (ranked 37th by Golf Predictor) won the Portugal Masters on the European PGA Tour. The 26 year old Dane won his first tour title with an impressive front running display in Vilamoura. Leading by one overnight, Bjerregaard shot an eight birdie 65 (-6) to put his poor season behind him and win by four shots. Our top ranked player, Thomas Pieters, finished in 74th and we had only six of the top twenty plus ties (6/24*) at the birdiefest in the Algarve.

Xander Schauffele (ranked 30th by Golf Predictor) won the Tour Championship on the US PGA Tour. The 23 year old American rookie capped a fantastic début season by taking the prestigious title at East Lake. Schauffele showed nerves of steel to hold off a quality field, pipping Justin Thomas with a short birdie putt on the last. Runner-up  Thomas had the consolation of banking the $10 million FedEx Cup jackpot. Our top ranked player, Dustin Johnson, finished in 74th and we had twelve of the top seventeen plus ties (12/18) in the restricted field event.  


 *Gallacher withdrew, promoting Burmester to the top 24 of the GP rankings.

Monday, 18 September 2017

2017 - Week 38 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions for this week, the Tour Championship (US PGA Tour) and the Portugal Masters (European PGA Tour) are now available on Golf Predictor. Only the top thirty in the FedEx Cup rankings are playing in the US season finale this week and it's the usual cream of the crop,with some exceptions e.g. defending FedEx Cup champion Rory McIlroy. The field in Portugal is more modest, but there are a significant number of the bigger regulars on the European Tour and a few US based Europeans playing in the Algarve.
 

Sunday, 17 September 2017

2017 - Week 37 Winners

Romain Wattel (ranked 61st by Golf Predictor) won the KLM Open on the European PGA Tour. The 26 year old Frenchman overcame some poor recent form to land his maiden tour title. Wattel, who played steady golf on Sunday, was helped somewhat by overnight leader Aphibarnrat, who double bogeyed two of the last four holes to finish three shots behind. Our top ranked player, Bernd Wiesberger, finished in tied 9th and in an event where many of the bigger names failed to perform, we had only three of the top nine plus ties (3/13).

Marc Leishman (ranked 20th by Golf Predictor) won the third event of the FedEx Cup play-offs, the BMW Championship. The 33 year old Australian won his third tour title with an impressive wire to wire victory at Conway Farms. Leading by five overnight, Leishman was put under some pressure by Justin Rose and Rickie Fowler before steadying the ship and preserving his lead in the end. After a lacklustre opening three days, our top ranked player, Dustin Johnson, finished strongly with a 64 (-7) for tied 33rd. Overall, we had twelve of the top twenty plus ties (12/26).

Tuesday, 12 September 2017

Tabs & Stats Added to Golfer Page


New Golfer page for Rory McIlroy showing new tabs. The data and chart links in the Season Segment/Region tab are displayed.

Spider Chart for McIlroy's Region Performance, showing relatively poor performance in his home region and to a lesser extent, the Eastern US region.

I am pleased to announce the addition of tabs and more statistics to the Golfer page on Golf Predictor. This page is accessible from clicking on the icon beside a golfer's name on one of the many data pages or the Golfers page in the Information menu. While this has been planned for some time, I also got some user feedback which prompted me into action! The new stats added to this page are:
  1. All the prediction/field stats records in the system for the golfer in one place, i.e. his stats ahead of each event.
  2. All the DraftKings records in the system for the golfer in one place, i.e. his DraftKings stats ahead of each event.
  3. All the strokes gained stats records in the system for the golfer in one place, i.e.. his strokes gained stats ahead of each event.
  4. The season segment (early/mid/late) stats in the system for the golfer, i.e. his up to date data in each part of the GP Season.
  5. All the region stats in the system for the golfer, i.e. his performance in each region he has played in.
To facilitate the addition of all these new stats, I have added tabs to the Golfer page. The four new tabs can be seen in the first screenshot above, which shows the Season Segment/Region tab for for Rory McIlroy. The existing information on the Golfer page was largely focussed on the results and this is now almost all located in the first tab. The only exception is the list of season statistics records, which have been moved to the same tab as the new predictions/field stats table. All these newly added stats were already in the system, but displayed in tournament focussed tables with other golfers (i.e. the field). These new tables added to the Golfer page focus on the golfer and show all his stats in one place. This will save you a lot of time should you be interested in the data for a particular golfer only. Some notes on these changes to the Golfer page:
  1. Most of the tab titles have been abbreviated to save space, particularly for smaller devices such as phones or tablets.
  2. Only the DraftKings/strokes gained data in the database is shown. These are not generally stored forever and may be cleared out at the end of every GP Season.
  3. Most of these newly displayed stats are based on stats generated or used for the prediction/field stats before a tournament. This is particularly relevant for region stats, which do not include the result of the actual tournament itself (if finished) in that region. However, in this case, you can hover over the region to see the result of the last tournament in the region. You can also click on the region name for see the complete Prediction Data page for the golfer for that tournament, which contains his results and further stats for that region.
  4. There are no column keys for the tables on these new tabs. However, most of the abbreviations should be self evident and are almost identical to those on the tables with the same data for the field. For example, the new DraftKings table has very similar columns to the existing Rankings (DFS) page, so you can refer to the key on this table if you are unsure. However, I have renamed some of the columns on these new player centric tables on the Golfer page to make them more obvious.
  5. Two spider charts have been added to the Golfer page, one existing chart for the season segment stats (already available on the Season Segment page) and one new chart for comparing region stats easily. The links for these new charts can be seen in the first screenshot above. This new chart is shown in the second screenshot above for Rory McIlroy. Interestingly, it shows that, despite a few wins, McIlroy's worst performances by a considerable margin over almost all other regions over the past five years have been in his home region*. Also, it shows that in the US, he does worst in the Eastern region, which includes major venues like Oakmont, Baltusrol and Congressional.
  6. You may have to refresh the GP site files in your browser cache to see the new tabs properly. The easiest way to do this on Windows is to press Ctrl+F5 on any GP page. Alternatively, you can clear your browser cache, but this will also affect other sites.

In addition to facilitating the display of large amounts of data, these tabs also allow for more modular development. Instead of one large monolithic page and associated code, I can now divide up the page into logical (and reusable, if necessary) chunks and use one per tab. Therefore, over the next while, I plan to add tabs to other pages on the site, including the Tournament and the main Prediction Data pages. In doing so, no stats will disappear, but some may be moved around, e.g. the course history data panel and associated results might be shown together in one tab. At the moment, the associated results are far down the prediction data page from the course history data panel.

The new regions spider chart brings the total number of charts on the site to 487 and these new stats should be very useful in helping you pick good golfers for your fantasy golf, DFS or betting needs. For the first time, a golfer's statistics are displayed in one place and information such as his relative performance in different parts of the world is displayed. 

Only subscribers can view this new chart and the new golfer centric data tables, so sign up today and reap the full benefits of Golf Predictor, the premium professional golf statistics site.


*Luckily, GP uses the British Isles as a region, which includes Britain and the whole island of Ireland. This allows me to dodge the political minefield!!

Monday, 11 September 2017

2017 - Week 37 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions/stats for this week, the BMW Championship (US PGA Tour) and the KLM Open (European PGA Tour) are now available on Golf Predictor. It's the third leg of the FedEx Cup play-offs in the US this week and the pressure will be on to qualify for the lucrative Tour Championship next week. As usual, the bigger names are still in FedEx Cup contention in America, but there still are a few European players in the top fifty in the world rankings teeing it up in the Netherlands this week.

Sunday, 10 September 2017

2017 - Week 36 Winner

Matthew Fitzpatrick (ranked 7th by Golf Predictor) won the Omega European Masters on the European PGA Tour. The 23 year old Englishman won his fourth tour title by defeating Scott Hend in a play-off in the scenic Swiss mountains. Fitzpatrick trailed third round leader Hend by four shots overnight, but finished strongly to briefly overtake the Australian. However, he bogeyed the penultimate hole and finished level with last year's runner-up in a play-off. Hend, who had a birdie putt to win on the last hole in regulation, also missed a short putt n the second extra hole which was to prove costly. After finding trouble off the tee, Hend could only bogey the third extra hole and Fitzpatrick took the title with a par. Our top ranked player, defending champion Alexander Noren, finished in tied 6th and in an event where many bigger names failed to perform, we had only five of the top sixteen plus ties (5/19). 

There was no event on the US PGA Tour this week.

Tuesday, 5 September 2017

2017 - Week 36 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions and statistics for this week, the Omega European Masters (European PGA Tour), are now available on Golf Predictor. As usual, there is also a decent field of tour members assembled for the popular track in Switzerland this week. The field is led by world number twelve and defending champion Alex Noren, who is joined by several other stalwarts of the European Tour. There is no event on the US PGA Tour this week as it is the rest week in the FedEx Cup play-offs..

Monday, 4 September 2017

2017 - Week 35 Winners

Haydn Porteous (ranked 41st by Golf Predictor) won the D+D REAL Czech Masters on the European PGA Tour. The 23 year old South African won his second tour title in a final day battle with third round leader Lee Slattery. Although trailing by two shots overnight, Porteous reeled in Slattery straight away with two opening birdies, and despite a slight mid-round wobble, reclaimed the initiative and held on to win by two in the end. Our top ranked player, Thomas Pieters, had a disappointing final round (which included a six putt!) and finished 66th Overall, in an event where almost all of the bigger names didn't perform, we had only a disappointing two of the top eighteen plus ties (2/21) in total. 

Justin Thomas (ranked 14th by Golf Predictor) won the Dell Technologies Championship on the US PGA Tour. The 24 year old American won his fifth title of a memorable season with a three shot win over Jordan Spieth. After an amazing front nine on Sunday where most of the top players came out all guns blazing, the scoring cooled considerably on the back nine. Most fell away down the stretch,  including Spieth, who had to chase his good friend late on. That allowed Thomas to win his first FedEx Cup event reasonably comfortably in the end. Our top ranked player, Dustin Johnson, finished in tied 18th and we had nine of the top eighteen plus ties (9/21).

Monday, 28 August 2017

2017 - Week 35 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions and statistics for this week, the Dell Technologies Championship (US PGA Tour) and the D+D REAL Czech Masters (European PGA Tour), are now available on Golf Predictor. As usual, there is a strong field in Boston for the second play-off event, with seventeen of the top ten in the world rankings jockeying for position in the FedEx Cup. Meanwhile, the field in the Czech Republic is not quite as impressive, with only two members of the top fifty in the world playing in Prague.

Sunday, 27 August 2017

2017 - Week 34 Winners

Julian Suri (ranked 15th by Golf Predictor) won the Made in Denmark on the European PGA Tour. The 26 year old American won his first tour title in a final day battle with David Horsey. After opening with five birdies in the front nine on Sunday, Suri overturned Horsey's two shot overnight lead. However, the Englishman hit back and it was nip and tuck until the final tee. Trailing by a shot, Horsey had a nightmare trying to put pressure on the leader, losing his first ball left and finding the water right with his provisional. That effectively handed the title to Suri, who could relax up the last and finish with a blemish free 64 (-7). Our top ranked player, defending champion Thomas Pieters, disappointingly missed the cut and we had only seven of the top nineteen plus ties (7/22).

Jordan Spieth (ranked 3rd by Golf Predictor) won The Northern Trust on the US PGA Tour. The 24 year old American won his twelfth tour title in a close battle down the stretch with world number one Dustin Johnson. Despite leading by five at one stage early on Sunday, Spieth was caught by DJ and the duo fought it out on the back nine for the title. It looked like it was going to be decided on the final hole after DJ found deep rough off the tee and was forced to lay up. However, the world number one showed great resolve to drain an eighteen foot putt for par and force a play-off. On the first extra hole, DJ played the eighteenth perfectly with a fabulous drive, flick with a wedge and five foot putt to land the title. DJ was our top ranked player and we had a whopping sixteen of the top twenty plus ties (16/24) in total.

Saturday, 26 August 2017

New Strokes Gained Chart Added to Golf Predictor

Field Strokes Gained chart for 2017 Northern Trust, showing Rickie Fowler's data

As above, with highlighted good performance areas

I am pleased to announce a useful new strokes gained chart for Golf Predictor. This new chart is available on the Rankings (Strokes Gained) page on the Predictions menu and it shows at a glance the strokes gained tee to green and strokes gained putting for the field. This new chart is shown above for the 2017 Northern Trust and shows the strokes gained tee to green on the vertical axis and strokes gained putting on the horizontal axis. As shown graphically in the second screenshot above, anyone near the right hand side of the chart is a relatively good putter and anyone in the upper half of the graph has a relatively good long game. The ideal location on the chart for a golfer is the upper right quadrant, where the two shaded regions above overlap. This signifies golfers with relatively good strokes gained values in both categories. One such golfer is the highlighted Rickie Fowler, who has a great value for putting in particular.

Some notes on this great new chart.
  1. It is similar to the Field DraftKings Dollars per Point chart previously described here. However, this chart has two average lines instead of the one average line in the DFS chart.
  2. The horizontal yellow line in the middle of the chart is the field average for strokes gained tee to green. The vertical blue line is the field average for strokes gained putting. These lines make it easy to identify the golfers with the best and worst strokes gained in each category at a glance.
  3. These average values for strokes gained tee to green and strokes gained putting are shown above the chart, as can be seen in the screenshots above. You can also hover over the lines to examine the values in the hover text. On each line, one co-ordinate (the average) will remain constant as you move along the line in question.
  4. Like the DraftKings chart mentioned above, this is also zoomable. Please click on the link in the first note above for a description of how this works.
  5. Like other strokes gained features on the site, this chart is only available for the US PGA Tour. Strokes gained are not available on the European Tour.

This great new strokes gained chart chart brings the total number of charts on the site to 486. Only subscribers can view this new chart, so sign up today and reap the full benefits of Golf Predictor, the premium professional golf statistics site.

Monday, 21 August 2017

2017 - Week 34 Predictions/Statistics Online

The predictions and statistics for this week, the Made in Denmark (European PGA Tour) and The Northern Trust (US PGA Tour), are now available on Golf Predictor. It's the first week of the lucrative FedEx Cup play-offs on the US PGA Tour and once again, there is an impressive line up for the re-branded event. Sergio Garcia is the only top ten player in the world not teeing it up at Glen Oaks Club. That doesn't leave much top talent for the European Tour event, but Thomas Pieters is back to defend his title in Denmark.

Sunday, 20 August 2017

2017 - Week 33 Winners

Adrian Otaegui (ranked 13th by Golf Predictor) won the Saltire Energy Paul Lawrie Match Play on the European PGA Tour. The 24 year old Spaniard stunned local favourite Marcel Siem with a 2&1 victory in Germany. Despite being three down at the turn and two down with five to play, Otaegui reeled off three late birdies to turn the match around and snatch his first tour title. Our top ranked player, Bradley Dredge, fell at the first hurdle in the restricted field match play event.

Jason Norris (ranked 75th by Golf Predictor) won the Fiji International on the European PGA Tour. The 44 year old Australian won his first tour title with a fairytale victory in the South Pacific. Norris shot a final round 67 to win by four shots and secure the biggest victory of his twenty one year career. In doing so, he overcame two near death experiences, including an horrific accident in which his jaw was broken in fourteen places. He also is battling the yips on the green and almost gave up the game several times, contemplating a career as a forklift driver! Our top ranked player, Scott Hend, finished in tied 24th and we only had eight of the top twenty four plus ties (8/29) in this weak fielded event.

Henrik Stenson (ranked 1st by Golf Predictor) won the Wyndham Championship on the US PGA Tour. The 41 year old Swede won his first title since his sensational 2016 Open Championship victory with an impressive display at Sedgefield Country Club. Stenson finished strongly with four birdies in his last six holes for a one shot winning margin over fellow fast finisher Ollie Schniederjans. Stenson was our top ranked player and in an event where most of the bigger names failed to perform, we had only a disappointing four of the top sixteen  plus ties (4/23) in total. 

Tuesday, 15 August 2017

Spider/Radar Charts added to Golf Predictor

Jordan Spieth's average finish in multiple historical metrics ahead of the 2017 US PGA Championship. Shows him relatively strong in his last five events and relatively weak in similar weather.

Comparing the field rankings for multiple golfers (tee-off group) ahead of the 2017 US PGA Championship. Love in particular doesn't have FR data for many metrics, so he is assigned the large default value for those.

As above, but with Padraig Harrington's data highlighted for extra legibility.

I am pleased to announce the addition of useful new spider (also known as radar and less commonly, star) charts to Golf Predictor. Spider charts are a type of statistical chart that show the difference in multiple parameters visually at a glance and as such, are very useful for comparing certain stats on Golf Predictor. This can be seen in the screenshots above, for the 2017 US PGA Championship. The main components of a spider chart are:
  1. The spokes emanating from the centre of the chart. The spokes are displayed equidistant from each other and there is one spoke per parameter displayed.
  2. The data points are shown on the spokes. The further away the point is from the origin at the centre, the bigger the value is. On Golf Predictor, this means the worse the stat is.
  3. The points (the parameter values that make up the data set) are joined together to form a polygon. The number of sides to the polygon and its shape depends on the number of parameters displayed on the chart and their values.
  4. There may be more than one data set (polygon) displayed on the same chart, e.g. the data for more than one golfer may be displayed with different colour polygons. This is shown in the second screenshot above, where the polygons for the golfers in a tee-off group for the 2017 US PGA Championship are plotted in different colours.
  5. The concentric grid lines on the spider chart are for scale purposes. It is possible to number this scale, but it doesn't look good and was somewhat confusing with the charting library (see below) that was used.

While ideally, a golfer should have the best statistics possible, in the real world, most top golfers will have some mixture of relatively good, so-so and bad stats. A spider chart tells you immediately where a golfer's relative strength and weaknesses are. For example, the first screenshot above, you can see the average finishing position for Jordan Spieth in multiple relevant historical categories. This shows that his recent performances (last five events) have been relatively good as this value is close to the origin. This, of course, is thanks mainly to his win in The Open! You can also see at a glance that his results in similar weather to what was forecasted for Quail Hollow are relatively bad, being furthest from the origin of the chart.

The ideal spider chart for golfer performance (where small values are good) is a polygon with all data points being as close to the origin as possible. Spieth's chart above is not that far off this, except for his similar weather performance. Some notes on these new spider charts:
  1. There has to be at least three data points to draw a spider/radar chart (you can not draw a polygon without at least three points!).
  2. Initially, I wasted a lot of time trying to use the Flot spider charts plug-in (Flot is used for all the other charts on site, bar the box plots), but I was not happy with the features or the documentation. Eventually I found RGraph, which has some attractive and easy to use spider charts, so I switched to them instead.
  3. Zero data points (i.e. missing values) are left off the single polygon spider (i.e. single golfer) charts. This proved to be the best way to handle this situation. The number of omitted zero point categories is printed above the chart. Leaving them in caused readability issues for certain data sets, as did defaulting them to a high number, e.g. 250.
  4. Zero data points are included on the multiple polygon (i.e. multiple golfers) spider charts, as some of the golfers charted may have a value for that parameter. In this situation, the best option was to have the missing values default to a value slightly above the highest value plotted. When this happens, a message is printed above the chart with the default value. 
  5. Despite the above point, some of the polygons (i.e. data for some golfers) on a multiple polygon spider chart may be difficult to read, depending on the values for the golfers chosen. For example, if you chose to compare stats for someone like Rory McIlroy and someone with poor or no stats, McIlroy's polygon will be hard to read, due to having to plot very good and very bad stats on the same chart. The only workarounds for this are to omit the golfer(s) with poor/no stats from the comparison or compare the stats for similar level golfers (this obviously is not an option if you are comparing a tee-off group!).
  6. Similar to above, a polygon on a spider chart with one or two bad values may be hard to read if all other values are good values. For example, the field ranks stats for Jordan Spieth ahead of the 2017 US PGA Championship are unbelievable, except for his tournament history rank (and his cut streak rank to a much lesser extent). This makes his field rank chart somewhat difficult to read.
  7. On multiple polygon (i.e. multiple golfers) spider charts, you can click on the golfer names in the legend (key) to highlight the values for that golfer. That is very useful for charts with data for more than one golfer, especially where the data overlaps considerably. This is shown in the third screenshot above, where the polygon for Padraig Harrington in the tee-off group for the 2017 US PGA Championship has been highlighted.
  8. The number of polygons (i.e. golfers) on a spider chart is limited to a maximum of four for legibility reasons. However, any more than two can be difficult to read,  but as mentioned above, you can highlight a polygon to see the data for a golfer more clearly.
  9. Also for legibility reasons, polygons on multiple polygon spider charts are not filled in, while they are on single polygon charts.
  10. It was not possible to show the data point values on the chart. However, you can hover over a point to see its value, as shown in the first two screenshots above.
  11. The chart scales automatically, based on the biggest value to display. They may mean that a spider chart for a golfer with all good values may look similar to a chart for a golfer with all bad values. Clicking on a data point will indicate whether the values or all good or bad.
  12. Some of the new spider charts have average values displayed above the chart, where this is useful, e.g. the overall average on the early/mid/late season chart (see below).
  13. I have added a new icon for spider charts. At the very small size (14x14 pixels), it was difficult to create one that didn't just look like a blob! 
  14. You may have to reload any page you have opened in the recent past in order to see these new chart links.
  15. The overview table on the Compare Groups page had slightly different columns from its counterpart in the Compare Golfer page. That has been corrected and the same region performance has been added to the table on the Compare Groups page instead of the world ranking (this is available by choosing the last option in the 'Stats to Compare' dropdown list.
  16. Only subscribers can see the great new multiple polygon charts on the compare pages (see below), so sign up today to see these useful new golfer comparison charts.
There has been a total of six new spider charts added to the pages on the site that show statistical information for a golfer or set of golfers. Specifically, the spider charts have been added to the following pages:
  1. Prediction Data page: two single polygon (i.e. single golfer) spider charts; one for field ranks and one for historical performance (e.g. same course, season, last five events etc.) for each golfer in the field. These two new charts are accessible from the General panel.
  2. Golfer Data page: one single polygon spider chart for regular/major/WGC/FedEx average result in each golfer's career.
  3. Season Segment Data page: one single polygon spider chart for early/mid/late season performance for each golfer.
  4. Compare Golfer/Compare Groups page: one multiple polygon (i.e. multiple golfers) spider chart for the historical performance (e.g. same course, season, last five events etc.) of the chosen golfers/tee-off group.
  5.  Compare Field Ranks/Compare Groups page: one multiple polygon spider chart for the field ranks of the chosen golfers/tee-off group (see last two screenshots above).
This brings the total number of charts on the site to 485. I trust you will find these new spider charts useful as a graphical representation of (multiple) golfer performance in certain key metrics. Just another way to make Golf Predictor even better!