Saturday, 30 May 2020

Results By Form Pages Added to Golf Predictor

New Results Form (Tournaments) page for the 2020 Arnold Palmer Invitational

Similar to the existing Compare Form, Field Form and Winners Form pages on Golf Predictor, I have added two new "Results by Form" pages to the site. These new pages are available from the Results menu and also show each golfer's form in previous tournaments. However, these new pages show the results of the tournament, as opposed to the field stats ahead of the tournament.

This means you can now easily see things like the following:
  1. Which golfers have come from nowhere to place well (or win!) the event.
  2. Which golfers have bombed, despite good form leading up to the event.
  3. Which golfers have continued to improve their results and which golfers have continued to slide.
  4. Which golfers have kept their consistently good or bad runs going.
  5. Which golfers were good or bad DraftKings picks (DraftKings salary and average points per game are on the table).
  6. Which golfers played well despite no/little recent form e.g. Tyrrell Hatton in the screenshot above.

Like the other pairs of pages listed above, the first of the new "Results by Form" pages shows the previous ten matching results for each golfer while the second page shows the results from the fifteen previous matching tournaments. You can link from one page to the other using the link on each page.

The notes on the second of these new pages are very similar to those on the "Form Golfer (Field) - Tournaments" page, so please refer to that for more information. In addition, the following notes apply to both now pages:
  1. As this is of lesser use for older events and relatively computationally intensive, I have limited this new functionality to tournament results in the current season. 
  2. Due to the computationally intensiveness of these pages, the information for the entire field on these two new pages is restricted to donors (more below).
  3. As in the other pages mentioned above, hovering over the golfer name shows more information. In these new pages, you get the round scores and total in addition to a summary of the golfers performance in the matching tournaments. This can be seen above for Marc Leishman.
  4. As in the other pages mentioned above, you can also see more information by hovering over the DraftKings salary and the matching tournament columns.
These new pages should prove useful for analysing picks for completed tournaments, especially for DraftKings DFS purposes. This in turn should help with picks for future events. As this is a donor only feature, free site users will only see the data for golfers who finished in 11-25th*. However, you can donate after you log in to see the data for the entire tournament field. So, please consider donating today to reap the full benefits of Golf Predictor, the premium professional golf statistics site.


* Depends on the ties for a particular tournament.

Sunday, 10 May 2020

Compare Form Pages Enhanced on Golf Predictor

New Compare Tee-off Groups Form (Tournaments) page for the 2020 Players Championship

Further to the recent addition of the Form Golfer (Field) - Tournaments page and Winners' Form - Tournaments pages, I have added new versions of the Compare Form and Compare Tee-off Groups Form pages to Golf Predictor. On each page ('Form' menu), this new version is available from the new link below the Tournament drop-down box. There is also a similar link on the new pages (see the screenshot above for the Compare Tee-off Groups Form for the 2020 Players Championship) back to the original Compare Form page. These new pages still list the same golfers, but they differ from the existing Compare Form pages in several ways: please click on the "Form Golfer (Field) - Tournaments" link above to see these differences. 

These new pages showing every tournament in the previous fifteen weeks (if using the "All Tournaments" scope) makes certain things more apparent visually. You can see tournament and rest streaks on the chosen tour* at a glance for each golfer shown, allowing you to get an indication if a golfer has played too much or too little recently. As each column lists the same tournament for each golfer, you can also easily see correlated events in the previous fifteen tournaments by examining the table.

The notes on these new pages are very similar to those on the "Form Golfer (Field) - Tournaments" page linked above, so please refer to that for more information. In addition, the following notes apply:
  1. I have also added Same Region form to the Scope dropdown for both the original and new Compare Form pages.
  2. There are no graphs on these new pages, unlike their original counterparts.That is because there are now gaps in the results which makes these less useful and less visually appealing.
These great new pages should prove very useful for deciding on good picks for upcoming tournaments, particular for match up bets. This information is available for free for all Golf Predictor users, so sign up today to Golf Predictor, the premium professional golf statistics site.


*Doesn't show the golfer's results on the other major tour, unless the new checkbox is selected. Also, note that some weeks have more than one event on a particular tour.


Tuesday, 5 May 2020

"Winners' Form - Tournaments" Pages Added to Golf Predictor


2020 Winners on US PGA Tour

Further to the recent addition of the Form Golfer (Field) - Tournaments page, I have added new versions of the Winners Form (all winners in a GP season) and Winners Form by Tournament (all winners of a particular tournament) pages to Golf Predictor. On each page ('Other Stats' menu), this new version is available from the new link below the GP Season and Tour drop-down box. There is also a similar link on the new pages (see the screenshot above for the curtailed 2020 GP season on the PGA Tour) back to the original Winners' Form pages. These new pages still list each winning golfer, but they differ from the existing Winners' Form pages in several ways: please click on the "Form Golfer (Field) - Tournaments" link above to see these differences.
    These new pages show every tournament in the previous fifteen weeks (if using the "All Tournaments" scope) and make certain things more apparent visually. You can see tournament and rest streaks on the chosen tour* for each winner at a glance, allowing you to get an indication of the optimum level of play a golfer should have in advance of a tournament.

    The notes on this new page are very similar to those on the "Form Golfer (Field) - Tournaments" page linked above, so please refer to that for more information. The main difference with these two new pages is that the "Include results from other tour?" checkbox on them triggers an automatic page post back. This is because there is no button on these pages, unlike the "Form Golfer (Field) - Tournaments" page.

    These new pages should prove useful for deciding on good picks for upcoming tournaments, as they show the form of the winner of previous events with skipped events as well as those played. This information is available for free for all Golf Predictor users, so sign up today to Golf Predictor, the premium professional golf statistics site.


    *Doesn't show the golfer's results on the other major tour, unless the new checkbox is selected. Also, note that some weeks have more than one event on a particular tour.

    Saturday, 2 May 2020

    'Form Golfers (Field) - Tournaments' Page Added to Golf Predictor

    New Field Form (Tournaments) page for the 2020 Players Championship

    Further to the recent addition of the Form Golfer (Field) page, I have added a new version of the page to Golf Predictor. This new version is available from the new link below the Tournaments drop-down box on the original Form Golfers (Field) page, which is available on the Form menu. There is also a similar link on the new page (see the screenshot above for the 2020 Players Championship) back to the original Form Golfers (Field) page. This new page still lists each golfer with his DraftKings salary, but it differs from the existing Form Golfers (Field) page in the following ways:

    1. The table shows all recent tournaments, regardless of whether any given player played in it or not (the original page only shows events each golfer played in). This means there will be gaps in the rows where a golfer has skipped events. You can see these gaps in the image above for all three players listed.
    2. There is no average and standard deviation on this table. Because of the gaps mentioned above, I deemed it not as useful as in the original page.
    3. To compensate for the above omission, I have added five more tournament fields to the table. That means you can can a significant amount of history when viewing the results for a single tour (up to fifteen weeks or about one third of a season if using the "All Tournaments" scope).
    4. There is no "Both" option in the Tour drop-down box, so you must choose either the European or the US PGA Tour.
    5. There is a new "Include results from other tour?" checkbox under the Compare button as some of the bigger names (especially Europeans) play both tours. However, ticking this checkbox could halve the timespan covered in the table, as results for both tours are now shown. Since both scenarios have their advantages and disadvantages, I have provided the ability to see both. Most golfers tend to play on one tour only, so the default view excludes the tournaments from the other tour.

    This new page showing every tournament in the previous fifteen weeks (if using the "All Tournaments" scope) makes certain things more apparent visually. You can see tournament and rest streaks on the chosen tour* for each golfer at a glance, allowing you to get an indication if a golfer has played too much or too little recently. You can also easily see correlated events in the previous fifteen tournaments by examining the results in each column. Since each column now has the result for the same tournament for each golfer, it is possible to see, for example, that in 2020, the Mayakoba event, the Genisis Invitational and the WGC in Mexico seem to have similar good results for many golfers.

    Some notes on this new page (many similar to the notes for the original page) :
    1. As this new page is computationally intensive, this data restricted to the current week's events, and is available after the field stats are created and before the results are input into the system. This is usually approximately from Monday evening to Sunday evening (GMT) of the tournament week. However, The Players Championship was cancelled after it began due to the Coronavirus, so there are no results and the field stats are still on the system (for now!), so you can see this new page for that event.
    2. Further to the above point, you cannot change the GP Season in the drop down box.
    3. To keep things manageable, there is no sorting on the form data. However, you can sort by GP Rank, golfer name and DraftKings salary.
    4. To ensure even the longest names can appear in the space available, the golfer names are displayed in one column in the Lastname, Firstname format.
    5. Golfers with no DraftKings information are assigned "n/a" in the table. The metrics (finishing position, round scores etc.) are colour coded depending on their values, as shown in the screenshot above.
    6. Hovering over a golfer name will show a summary of his performance in the matching (up to fifteen) tournaments.
    7. Hovering over a tournament (T1-15) in the table for a golfer will show more information about that tournament and the golfer's performance in it. This is shown above for the T2 column for Rory McIlroy. You can still hover over the "-" to get the name of any tournament that the golfer skipped.
    8. If there aren't enough matching tournaments to fill out the table, e.g. a new tournament with no course history, the table will be filled out with  "--", with no pop up.
    9. There is a key table at the bottom of the page explaining the column headers.
    10. The original Form Golfers (Field) page has been renamed slightly to the 'Form Golfers (Field) - Results' page to distinguish it more from this new page.
       
    This great new page should prove very useful for deciding on good picks for upcoming tournaments, especially for DraftKings DFS contests. As this is a donor only feature, free site users will only see the data for golfers ranked 11-25 by the GP algorithm. However, you can donate after you log in to see the data for the entire tournament field. So, please consider donating today to reap the full benefits of Golf Predictor, the premium professional golf statistics site.


    *Doesn't show the golfer's results on the other major tour, unless the new checkbox is selected. Also, note that some weeks have more than one event on a particular tour.


    Tuesday, 17 March 2020

    Golf Predictor Donations -Coronavirus Update

    As per my social media post the other day, all valued Golf Predictor donors will have their donation period frozen while the world is in Coronavirus lock down. That way, they will retain access to the extra features for actual tournaments. I will extend everyone's donation periods when things get back to normal in the golf world. Donor's accounts will be extended by the amount of time the tournaments were not held.
     

    Monday, 16 March 2020

    'Tournament Winners by Round Rank' Page Enhanced

    2020 US PGA Tour winners (to date) with new extra stats panel

    Further to this post, I have added a useful new stats panel to the 'Tournament Winners by Round Rank' page on Golf Predictor. This new panel is located under the existing table of winners, as shown in the screenshot above for 2020 US PGA Tour events (up to the week of the Arnold Palmer Invitational). You can now read the season breakdown of the winners' positions after each round directly off the screen or see the breakdown visually with the pop-up charts available on the final row of the new panel. You can also see the average position for the winners after each round and how many rounds this was calculated over. Some notes on this new panel:
    1. To facilitate the easier collation of these stats, I have removed the pager for the winners table on this page.
    2. I have replaced the three non-pop-up charts which were located above the winners table with the three pop-up charts located on the last row of the new panel. These new pop-up charts show the same information as the replaced charts, but are generated differently.
    3. The tournament winners table is now collapsible by clicking on it. This will allow you to see the new stats panel easier for years with a lot of tournaments. You can also click on the link in the introduction section.
    4. This page update shows some interesting stats at a glance, such as the low number of first round leaders that win events. This tends to be about 20% percent for the PGA Tour and around 15% for the European Tour. This goes up to about 60% and 55% for round three leaders for the respective tours in recent years.
    5. You might be surprised about the number of winners that aren't even in th top ten after round one, especially on the PGA Tour!
    Just another way to make Golf Predictor even better! The stats on this new panel should help you make better in-tournament decisions. So, sign up today and reap the full benefits of Golf Predictor, the premium professional golf statistics site.
      

    Monday, 9 March 2020

    2020 - Week 11 Predictions/Statistics Online

    The predictions and statistics for this week, The Players Championship (US PGA Tour) are now available on Golf Predictor. No Tiger Woods, but as usual, there's a very strong field for the so called "fifth major" in Florida, with forty seven of the top fifty in the world rankings teeing it up at Sawgrass. 

    The Magical Kenya Open pres. by Absa due to be played on the European PGA Tour this week has been postponed due to the Coronavirus (Covid-19).

    Sunday, 8 March 2020

    2020 - Week 10 Winners

    Jorge Campillo (ranked 26th by Golf Predictor) won the Commercial Bank Qatar Masters on the European PGA Tour. The 33 year old Spaniard won his second tour title in a battle with David Drysdale. After Campillo had thrown away three shots on the seventieth and seventy-first holes, he finished level with the Scot after the end of regulation play. It then took five extra holes to separate the pair, when Campillo holed yet another long putt to deny Drysdale his first win in 498 starts. Our top ranked player, Mike Lorenzo-Vera, missed the cut and we had twelve of the top twenty one plus ties (12/27) in the weak fielded event on a new course.

    Tyrrell Hatton (ranked 20th by Golf Predictor) won the Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. by Mastercard on the US PGA Tour. The 28 year old Englishman won his first tour title by coming through the field at Bay Hill. On a week of high attrition on the very demanding layout, Hatton saw off nearest challenger Marc Leishman to win by a single shot. Our top ranked player, Rory McIlroy, once again started very well, but faded the rest of the week. He somehow still managed another top five this season (tied 5th), despite a closing 76. Overall, we had nine of the top eighteen plus ties (9/23*) on the testing layout. 


    *Day withdrew again & Molinari didn't play, promoting Morikawa into the top 23 of the rankings.

    Monday, 2 March 2020

    2020 - Week 10 Predictions/Statistics Online

    The predictions and statistics for this week, the Commercial Bank Qatar Masters (European PGA Tour) and the Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. by Mastercard (US PGA Tour), are now available on Golf Predictor. The European Tour stays in the Arabian Gulf this week, where the action moves to Qatar. A new course, a poor enough field and windy weather make it harder to call this year. Meanwhile, there is a much better field in Orlando, where although there is no Tiger Woods this year, ten of the top twenty in the world are teeing it up at Bay Hill. 

    Sunday, 1 March 2020

    2020 - Week 9 Winners

    Sami Valimaki (ranked 59th by Golf Predictor) won the Oman Open on the European PGA Tour. The 21 year old Finn won his first tour title with a play-off victory over Brandon Stone in the windy conditions. Stone had birdied the last to edge out Adrien Saddier, but under pressure, Valimaki birdied two of the last three holes including the difficult final hole, to catch the South African on what was just his sixth tour start. After holing a ballsy putt on the second extra hole to stay in it, Valimaki won with a par on the third extra hole after Stone missed the green and failed to get up and down. Our top ranked player, Thomas Pieters, disappointingly missed the cut and we had only eight of the top eighteen plus ties (8/24) in the weak fielded and weather affected event.


    Sungjae Im (ranked 8th by Golf Predictor) won The Honda Classic on the US PGA Tour. The hard working 21 year old Korean won his maiden tour title on one of the toughest tracks on the PGA Tour. Trailing by three overnight, Im got off to a fast start Sunday with four birdies in his first five holes, That allowed him to get into contention after third round leader Tommy Fleetwood came back to the field. Im then negotiated the difficult Bear Trap in an impressive two under par to post -6. He then had a short anxious wait before a poor Fleetwood approach at the par five last found the water, which led to the Englishman failing to catch him. Our top ranked player, defending champion Brooks Koepka, missed the cut and overall, we had seven of the top seventeen plus ties (7/20).